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According to the professors, it will.
States that are very close to a 50-50 split, the authors warn, can fall in an unexpected direction.
Granted, the election is still months away, and given that Berry and Bickers plan to update their model later, this forecast could change.
Desperate times breed desperate actions!
Originally posted by antar
reply to post by Eurisko2012
Do you know who the electoral/ collegiate voters are? They are chosen by a broken system of deceit. The very same fatcats who took the GOP nomination away from Ron Paul.
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Originally posted by FlyersFan
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Politico reports ...
Politico is wrong. Obama is clearly ahead. If Romney can't pull in Florida, he hasn't got a chance. We'll know more after the 'convention bumps' and the debates. The real numbers won't settle out until after those ...
It's not the Politico.
They just report the story. It's the professors who are simply looking at the presidential
elections we have had in the past. - History repeats itself -
Truth be told - no president has been re- elected with unemployment rates this high
since FDR.
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Originally posted by antar
reply to post by Eurisko2012
Do you know who the electoral/ collegiate voters are? They are chosen by a broken system of deceit. The very same fatcats who took the GOP nomination away from Ron Paul.
Yes, i know but the Electoral College actually makes sense.
Hillary Clinton briefly spoke out against the Electoral College but then quickly reversed
course. You just have to think it through.
Originally posted by pajoly
The flaw in this study it is pure reliance on what's typically happened. I would argue that today things are different, the stakes are higher than voting purely based on economic well being. There is a sense by independents like me that this is also about whether we go headlong in to what will essentially be a masked theocracy or not.
Additionally, unlike in previous cases, polls show very clearly that the vast majority of Americans still do not hold Obama responsible for the bad economy.
So the report is flawed, deeply. But it may yet be a close race, though my gut says in the end it will be a blow out for Obama. There are simply too many reporters out there trying to make a name for themselves by finding some of the stuff that the very opaque Romney refuses to reveal.
Originally posted by buster2010
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Originally posted by antar
reply to post by Eurisko2012
Do you know who the electoral/ collegiate voters are? They are chosen by a broken system of deceit. The very same fatcats who took the GOP nomination away from Ron Paul.
Yes, i know but the Electoral College actually makes sense.
Hillary Clinton briefly spoke out against the Electoral College but then quickly reversed
course. You just have to think it through.
The electoral college made sense back when people still used horses for their main source of transportation. Today it is useless and needs to be done away with.
Originally posted by buster2010
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Originally posted by FlyersFan
Originally posted by Eurisko2012
Politico reports ...
Politico is wrong. Obama is clearly ahead. If Romney can't pull in Florida, he hasn't got a chance. We'll know more after the 'convention bumps' and the debates. The real numbers won't settle out until after those ...
It's not the Politico.
They just report the story. It's the professors who are simply looking at the presidential
elections we have had in the past. - History repeats itself -
Truth be told - no president has been re- elected with unemployment rates this high
since FDR.
It seems both you and the professors forgot about Reagan. His unemployment rate was at 7.4 percent and he was reelected even with his war on the middle class.
Originally posted by antar
reply to post by Eurisko2012
Each district chooses who they want as the vote, that is what I saw personally. It is always one of their yes men. Now as far as how it is divided between the 2 choices, not the many such as libertarian, constitutionalists, etc, but the 2 main parties that the media acknowledges, I really do not know at this point. It is antiquated system that has failed in the past only to resurface under a different nation , name or idealism.
Originally posted by buster2010
reply to post by Eurisko2012
If he fixed Carters mess then why was unemployment at 7.4 percent when he was reelected. Not to mention the national debt went up 186% while under Reagan. And Carter created more jobs than Reagan. So how did Reagan fix anything?
Originally posted by jjf3rd77
Originally posted by buster2010
And a tropical storm coming down on top of your convention really screams God is on our side.
I hope this was a joke. Even if a republican said this in a joking manner you democrats would be laughing and saying, no no they truly believe this. So I'm going to do the same.
You believe God wants Obama to win and in so doing he will destroy the convention.
PS A category One Hurricane is nothing. Florida locals know this. I lived there for four years!edit on 23-8-2012 by jjf3rd77 because: (no reason given)