posted on Nov, 2 2005 @ 09:33 AM
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I know the old saying "Don't judge the book by its cover" but to be honest, what one really does look more technology advanced?
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Which one looks like it's better maintained? LO is all about keeping the materials and coatings 'fresh' and smooth. The ability to do this on a
jet with a flat paint scheme is highly indicative. To which I would add that putting hard edges on soft curves /in plastic/ indicates superior
ability to dictate, not just manufacturing tolerances but smoothness of shape.
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The raptor has BVR, stealth and a so called "Emp" radar to shut down enemy electronics. So in theory, no plane will be able to see it if their
radar isn't working
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The Su-27SM/30 with the S400 mod (Ks-172) missile has superior 'BVR' pole reach. Which is the beginning of a complex argument:
1. Flankers (substitude Berkut's if you wish, 20,000lbs more thrust, decidedly worse aeros) can easily outrun F/A-22s.
2. Flankers which try to 'defend' their airbases are going to be trapped and obliterated on a guilt-by-spatial-association basis.
3. Flankers which run from their airbases are not going to be able to generate sortie #2 thru Next because their airbases will be obliterated.
4. If F-15's and 16's and 18's are the coursing horses in a fox hunt, the F/A-22 is little more than a dog to flush the game and give 'spirit to
the chase'. i.e. On a money'd asset vestiture and embarrassment basis, it is /vastly/ more important (and easier) to catch the huntsmen (they who
bringeth the most bombs) or the elephant houdah (E-2/3/8/10) than it is to pretend to notice the dogs.
Because the way 'BVR' works in the F/A-22 is X launches his AIM-120C6 or 7 at a full 25nm with perhaps a Mach 4.8 flyout (20 seconds off the top of
TOF) stretch. While Y -guides- that weapon from 50nm further back or 20nm offset. Using the new weapon digital datalink facility which is much more
sophisticated and multiuser PIN code friendly than the old analogue 'tether' system.
And also because ANY tactical airframe which generates a random tac-turn variation in it's heading will likely be able to outextend a lightweight (At
360lbs AMRAAM is terribly anemic) AAMs terminal E-Pole footprint past the point of a 'sure thing' endgame intercept. i.e. the NEZ is short and
small no matter what, it's the speed (in seconds) from launch to impact that counts.
Comparitively, if an Su-30 spends 6 million dollars launching 4 of 20 giant killer missiles (800-1,500lb category) in Outer Swabovia's AF inventory,
it had damn well better hit /something/ worthy of note. Because it's chances of surviving to RTB are always going to be pretty slim (it will expend
90% of it's fuel in a sprint away from the baselanes to intercept).
In this, the _S-37_ (it is not productionized and thus doesn't deserve the Su-47 moniker) is pretty pathetic because it's wings are not really
designed for external stores (certainly not of the AAAM-L category) and it's centerline bay is small, as it is on all internal carriage 'fighter'
class airframes.
In any case, the real question is whether you want to play SWWWWING! (Batta-batta-batta) at ghosts or hit something with a your long lances. And in
this, BVR is designed as much as defined by it's target class reference point.
EMP (Electro Magnetic Pulse) is generally restricted to nuclear events. HPM or High Power Microwave systems are another matter. One thing to be
clear on is that radar power varies by the square of it's transmission distance just as radar returns are a 4th power variable. Even given the
APG-77 has a massive TRM count (1,500 'cells') I would not want to put excess trust in it's ability to interfere with threat systems (in a
destructive way) over 20 miles or an interfering way over 30. Both of which potentially place the Raptor in severe 'harms way' threat overlap with
longwave surface radars perfectly capable of both outhumping it's power threshold by an order of magnitude at least. And of guiding missiles to a
fuzzy-soft return.
There are other variables (average and peak power and inband vs. secondary frequent harmonic effects) but you are generally better off NOT
transmitting because you can see some real problems with rise in pseudo noise thresholds against the background ether on even an LPI radar.
Better by far to adopt a weapon like Meteor which takes a real 60nm pole and sustains the midcourse energy to preserve both flyout times and terminal
endgame thresholds on target evasion.
As to what others have said, the notional ability to remain invisible is based largely on a false presumption that optical processing (literally the
ability to passively sort pixel detector stimulation to generate on-plane quantum photon level 'stereo from zero' baseline time and phase) remains
relatively primitive compared to the highly evolved RF equivalents.
This is NOT true and particularly for the F/A-22's prefered (high, cold, dry) operating environment, it will not remain so. Which generally implies
that passive detection by IRST/EO complexes is going to largely replace shooter RF based targeting with a kind of hotdot flyout and track via missile
targeting once the weapon is inside the minimum threshold for either it's own optical (including LIDAR) or a complex waveform RF seeker. The latter
able to generate a range of sympathetic, instantaneous, waveforms which bypass RAM's ability to resonantly change inbound RF to heat in generating a
'warble' echo. So-called 'Noise' seekers and MicroMechanicals are already headed this way.
If the silent indian option is transient/fleeting at best (for distance, atmospherics and networking ability); the only remaining variable to work is
to try and defeat his arrows.
In this, NONE of the existing airframes are worth diddly dip. Because they have a man onboard. And that limits instantaneous onset rates to about
11.5G and sustaineds to about 8-9. Such is just not the way to defeat a threat missile, in particular because you are never going to be operating
above 250 knots if you really decide to crank on the alpha. A UCAV can theoretically pop (accelerative vice natural post stall) 'wheelies' at
upwards of 400-500 knots in the 12-15G range. And so it has a MUCH better chance of defeating threat weapons with hyper intelligent terminal
seeker/fuzing combos and 'scheduled' (conserved) terminal intercept profiles which delay maximum-rate lead plays on the missile (A2A or S2A) until
they 'overlap' the target reference state for energy and plane of motion.
The notion then being that you can shift towards an ability to soak the BVR long-shots (miss-ile ironically meaning it hits or misses, on one roll of
the dice with no secondary reattack option) by spotting the inbound weapon itself (passive MAWS) while keeping the general airframe simplistic enough
and _light enough_ that a MiG-21 type performance profile is still able to force closure to a visual merge. At which point, pack tactics rip the
enemy to pieces.
Of course the big deal here is that of costs associated with developing a new breed of robotic interceptor specifically to defeat the technology
spiral of a 340,000 dollar AMRAAM and a 117 million dollar F/A-22. Using a 5-10 million dollar airframe equipped with 200,000 dollar K-30 or
equivalent (MICA-IR, Python 4, ASRAAM etc.) short range weapons. While performing no other mission to support an OFFENSIVE warfare option in
multirole attacks on ground targets.
A better choice may be something more akin to the Ba-349 Natter in which you pull the 'middle men' altogether, even if they are R2 units.
A target drone equivalent technology effectively /soaks/ the threat shots and can still be recovered 5-10 times using a parachute and airbag system.
Yet at 1 million dollars each (the cost of the AAAM-L) you can buy FIFTY such weapons for the same cost as a late mod Su-30. For the Berkut, this
number is probably closer to 70-100.
If I put 50 missiles into the air, each one capable of orbiting for 30 minutes at a distance of 200nm from the launch point; I have largely defeated
the F/A-22 altogether. I may not be able to catch it specifically but it will never be able to kill of me either (literally, it will run out of
missiles first).
Furthermore, I can form a skirmish line and sweep forward across a given frontage 'on command'. Using the simplest of Ding Hao type raid warnings.
And that will put the kaibosh on ever manned _subsonic_ (F-teen or F-35) platform out there. Since the target drone will be attacking them as they
come over the fence, heavy with gas and bombs. And it will, unlike a missile, be able to stage 'formating attacks' with multiple repass options as
well as pack-member tap-bounce cued runins.
The only thing which can defeat such a massed attack is DEWs. And given that lasers are just as much a threat to the manned platform as they are to
the missiles (and far easier to package in a ground installation where the fuels and cooling and electrical generation may take several semi-trailers
worth of volume), it hardly makes sense to try and use an airborne approach (ATL on F-35'D' for instance).
Since the airborne approach will not really cover wingmen. And it's total shot count (2, 4 second, impulses, split by a 15-20 second cooldown
interval for a total of 20-25 separate engagements) is so low.
CONCLUSION:
The Russians and now Chinese are stupid monkey-see-do plagiarists. NOT because of any specific similarities between airframes (though the Su-47 has a
lot of similarities with one of the Grumman ATF concepts). But because they insist on meeting apples with apples. Rather than defining a system
which invalidates the similar-fruit concept of same-scale, same-technology-level, warfare metric altogether. It is the latter pursuit of ego (beat
you at your own game rather than devising my own) which always puts them a 'generation behind U.S.', not a basic technology level or engineering
community shortcoming.
KPl.