The Pattern Of Disastrous Weather And Extreme Swings: Will It Get Worse In 2012?

Related thread:

The Weather Is Going Mad
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by alldaylong
started on 4/3/2012 @ 05:21 AM

Originally posted by alldaylong
Last week in Scotland the temperature was 23.6C. Today they have heavy SNOW. What the hell is going on with the weather? I have seen extremes before but this is getting more common:-

Snow In Aboyne The Week After Record Spring Temperature
www.bbc.co.uk...

Related thread:

A Look Into The Strange Weather This Spring, And What Is To Come
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by usmc0311
started on 4/4/2012 @ 09:44 PM

March 2012 Recap

Item

U.S. sees warmest March in recorded history, NOAA reports
April 09, 2012|By Sean Morris, CNN Meteorologist
articles.cnn.com...

March 2012 will go down as the warmest March in the United States since record-keeping began in 1895, NOAA said Monday.

A staggering 15,292 warm temperature records were broken, (7,755 record highs and 7,517 record high overnight lows), according to Chris Vaccaro, spokesperson for NOAA. "That's tremendously excessive. The scope and the scale of warmth was really unprecedented, Vaccaro said.

articles.cnn.com...

Item

Record-breaking warm weather alarms some meteorologists
By The Associated Press
Published: Monday, April 09, 2012
nhregister.com...

WASHINGTON — It's been so warm in the United States this year, especially in March, that national records weren't just broken, they were deep-fried.

Temperatures in the lower 48 states were 8.6 degrees above normal for March and 6 degrees higher than average for the first three months of the year, according to calculations by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That far exceeds the old records.

"Everybody has this uneasy feeling. This is weird. This is not good," said Jerry Meehl, a climate scientist who specializes in extreme weather at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. "It's a guilty pleasure. You're out enjoying this nice March weather, but you know it's not a good thing. It's not just March."

"It's been ongoing for several months," said Jake Crouch, a climate scientist at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in Ashville, N.C.

In March, at least 7,775 weather stations across the nation broke daily high temperature records and another 7,517 broke records for night-time heat. Combined, that's more high temperature records broken in one month than ever before, Crouch said.

"When you look at what's happened in March this year, it's beyond unbelievable," said University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver.

nhregister.com...

Item

MAPS: March Was an Epically Weird Weather Month
motherjones.com...
By Julia Whitty| Tue Apr. 10, 2012 12:25 PM PDT

March was a whole new breed of insane for the record books according to NOAA's State of the Climate report for the month.

First up, the mega tornado outbreak early in the month spawned 2012's first billion-dollar disaster, as warmer-than-average conditions created a juicy environment for severe weather. There were 223 preliminary tornado reports in March, a month that averages 80 tornadoes. The majority occurred during the 2-3 March outbreak across the Ohio Valley and the Southeast. Forty people died and damages exceeded $1.5 billion.

Other March *highlights:*

It was the warmest March on record for the contiguous United States, a record that dates back to 1895.

The average temperature of 51.1 degrees F was 8.6 degrees F above the 20th century average for March and 0.5 degrees F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910.

Of the more than 1,400 months that have passed since the U.S. record began, only one month, January 2006, saw a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012.
motherjones.com...

Map Of March 2012 Temperature Difference From Average Temperature (°F)

www.ncdc.noaa.gov...
www1.ncdc.noaa.gov...

Meanwhile, in Alaska...

Anchorage breaks 57-year-old record for snow in one season
usnews.msnbc.msn.com...
By msnbc.com staff

Anchorage on Saturday surpassed a 57-year-old record for snowfall in one season, the National Weather Service reported.

The old record of 132.6 inches in Alaska's largest city occurred in 1954-1955, it said. But 3.4 inches of snow that fell from midnight to 4 p.m. local time pushed the season total to 133.6 inches -- more than 11 feet, the National Weather Service said.

The total is nearly double Anchorage’s normal amount, The Associated Press said.

The city was 2.5 inches short of the record going into Easter weekend, NBC station KTUU said.
usnews.msnbc.msn.com...

edit on 4/11/2012 by this_is_who_we_are because: typo

Related threads

Another Wierd weather thread...More proof that something isnt right.
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by KingJod
started on 4/10/2012 @ 03:21 PM

NOAA: March 2012 the Warmest on Record - North America and where else?
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by BiggerPicture
started on 4/9/2012 @ 09:20 AM

A Chink in the Armor For Global Warming? Record Snowfall in Anchorage.
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by The Old American
started on 4/8/2012 @ 08:39 AM

Global (Weather) Weirding (Documentary from 2012 included )
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by WiseThinker
started on 4/6/2012 @ 09:36 AM

Originally posted by WiseThinker
I have seen alot of threads about the weather, how its either:
Getting more frequent or just more people/instruments recording
Its getting more intense or the world is smaller due to internet so we just hear about more
Its caused by weather warefare or its caused by global warming

Now as far as i could tell, no other forum (including Tv, news papers and internet) was discussing this with a serious attitude.

However the other day i found a recent BBC Horizon episode, which tackles just that problem.

[color=yellowSomething weird seems to be happening to our weather - it appears to be getting more extreme. In the past few years we have shivered through two record-breaking cold winters and parts of the country have experienced intense droughts and torrential floods. It is a pattern that appears to be playing out across the globe. Hurricane chasers are recording bigger storms and in Texas, record-breaking rain has been followed by record-breaking drought. Horizon follows the scientists who are trying to understand what's been happening to our weather and investigates if these extremes are a taste of what is to come.

Well at least its not just us who think the weather is becoming funkier every month, enjoy and id love to hear your thoughts on the documentary.

Global (Weather) Weirding (Documentary from 2012 included )
www.abovetopsecret.com...

Is everyone enjoying the first annual National Severe Weather Preparedness Week?

Kicking Off National Severe Weather Preparedness Week
Posted by: Craig Fugate, Administrator
April 22, 2012
blog.fema.gov...

Today marks the beginning of the first ever National Severe Weather Preparedness Week. This week, we’re partnering with NOAA to provide information to the public about the hazards of severe weather and steps people can take to ensure they’re prepared.

Every year, thousands of people are impacted by severe weather threats such as tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. Last year was the most active year in disasters in recent history, with more than 1,000 weather related fatalities, more than 8,000 injuries.

This week was chosen because of the largest and deadliest tornado outbreaks in the United States one year ago that resulted in 321 deaths.

Extreme Weather Week: Always Be Prepared
www.iberkshires.com...

WOW~!! Just WOW~! 2 full pages of data ..my mind is swimming in data! but I'm loving it~! Thx you. Been living in the Pac NW for 5 decades..

yes.. the weather isn't what it is normally; partly due to 'weather manipulation' (chemtrails) and partly due to 2012 in general. Personally, and I'll keep saying this till I'm blue in the face, since there's a severe draught around the world, the only way they can combat it IS with Weather Modifcation.

2 days ago, we have perfect spring weather here in the PNW, blue sky @ in upper 70's; early last night after they sprayed, it's raining again, like clockwork.

Getting interesting, isn't it.

A first in recorded history, 2 named tropical storms on E & W coast before season officially starts
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by UberL33t
started on 5/19/2012 @ 07:36 PM

Should we expect a devastating hurricane season? What are the experts saying?

The forecast for much of the central and eastern United States for Thursday June 28, 2012: HOT!



Check on your friends and relatives. Especially the elderly. And please keep your pets hydrated.

Here's a link for your consideration:

National Weather Service Heat Safety
www.nws.noaa.gov...

yes. the weather is going to continue to get worse. thanks for putting all this together in one post. kind of scary though...

Here is another thread of interest:

Thousands of records broken: Jet stream pulled up towards Canada, out of whack says meteorologists
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by murkraz
started on 7/9/2012 @ 03:20 AM

Originally posted by murkraz
I know there's a thread for the extreme heat in the US, but I wanted to pull more attention towards Canada, the UK and other places that are experiencing odd climate, too.

People have been preaching 2012 for a while, and at this point I'm questioning why this year is so different it seems. Why have so many records been shattered since winter?

While temperatures throughout Canada and the US don't look too bad on this map, I'm looking more towards further up North on Tuesday. (Link to 5-day maps below)

If Alberta/Saskatchewan/NWT sees as much as a 5 degree increase from the map above then surely heaps of records will become broken further up North for the month of July.

I believe the next week or two will shatter many temperature records for Canada while the South gets somewhat of a break (and hopefully rain in places that need it.)

As of the past few weeks I cannot even rely on the weather forecast as it is shifting every few hours to something entirely different than the hours beforehand. It's a total mess.

UK weather: No sign of sun for the next ten days, say forecasters

Rain rain go away: How the Jetstream is blocking a UK summer

Russia's Weather to Become More Extreme, Scientist Says

Heat wave: Midwest plain 'out of whack' as records shatter

Canada's top weather forecaster calls for hot, dry summer across the country

Recent extreme weather in U.S. will become new normal, scientists predict

United States Broke 2,284 Daily High Temperature Records in June

U.S. Heat Wave Persists, Kills 30

US - 4500 record highs broken

It’s not that the Midwest hasn’t been extremely hot before, and it’s not that it hasn’t been incredibly dry. But it’s unusual for a vast swath of the Midwest to be so very hot and so very dry for so very long — particularly this early in the summer. The current heat wave — which is spurring comparisons to the catastrophic heat of 1936 — is “out of whack,” meteorologist Jim Keeney said Friday in an interview with the Los Angeles Times. “Even on the East Coast today, temperatures are 100 or above” — basically, Keeney said, the heat wave extends from Kansas all the way to the East Coast. “It’s a good chunk of the eastern half of the country, barring the far northern states, of course. So it’s pretty intense.”

Temperature records are being broken and residents are suffering in what Keeney called a “corridor of extreme heat,” generally through Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and into western Kentucky. Heat records are being shattered as are records for the number of days in a row the temperature has hit 100 or higher, he said. Take St. Louis, for example. The last time the city was this hot for this long was in 1936, said Keeney, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service Central Region Headquarters in Kansas City, Mo. Then, the city recorded 13 days in a row of temperatures 100 degrees Fahrenheit or over. That devastating heat wave of the mid-’30s killed thousands of people and destroyed many crops.

The culprit in the current wave is a dome of high pressure that has been hovering over the eastern part of the U.S., said NWS spokesman Pat Slattery in an interview with The Times on Friday. “It’s kicked the jet stream way to north, in some places into Canada, so there’s no way for the normal rotation of weather systems to get here into the middle of the country, which would bring us some moisture. So drought becomes more and more a major factor.”

UK - It could rain until September

BRITAIN is facing its “worst ever” summer with cold wet weather ruining family holidays and blighting the Olympics, forecasters warned last night. August is set to be a washout following a miserable July and the wettest June since records began – meaning summer is effectively over.

Gloomy forecasts suggest dire weather will continue as officials last night put Britain on flood alert after torrential downpours yesterday wreaked havoc.

As the Environment Agency warned of a “potential danger to life” with rivers swelling to breaking point in the Midlands, Yorkshire and Wales, Government forecasters were on standby to brief the Cabinet if severe floods strike.

The agency last night issued 51 flood warnings – meaning flooding is expected – and 135 alerts. Monsoon-like downpours hit 85,000 music fans at the T In The Park festival in Kinross, Scotland, and 28,000 Formula 1 spectators camping for the British Grand Prix weekend at Silverstone. Race meetings today in Nottingham and Carlisle were cancelled while play was delayed on all courts at Wimbledon – other than Centre Court.

Helpful links:

Jetstream - NOAA - TOR:CON - Intellicast

NA - 5-Day Weather Map

Global Real-time Weather Maps

1936 North American Heat Wave

edit on 9/7/12 by murkraz because: links, links, links

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Nice compilation of threads/articles. Lots to read here.

A recent thread of interest:

Extreme Weather: Get Ready to See More of it, Scientists say
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by Ben81
started on 7/10/2012 @ 10:12 PM

Originally posted by Ben81

Extreme Weather: Get Ready to See More of it, Scientists say

www.cnn.com

A map of significant climate events for the United States in June looks almost apocalyptic: hellish heat, ferocious fires and severe storms leaving people injured, homeless and even dead.

That followed a warm winter and early season droughts. News came Monday that the mainland United States experienced its warmest 12 months since the dawn of record-keeping in 1895.

(visit the link for the full news article)



Related AboveTopSecret.com Discussion Threads:
Ben81 End of Times Thread
Amid unrelenting heat, frustrations rise for tens of thousands still without power
What happened to the Winter in Canada .. It is almost spring and we had 3 little snowfall .. WTH

Originally posted by Ben81

That is very troubling news but doesnt surprise anyone
People saying that all the worst is behing now are wrong

Russia are under heavy flooding .. the worst in decades
and in the west we have baking heat
the fire in Colorado .. no one started them
at some place it is so dry that it doesnt take long to burn
any metal thing or glass in the forest .. at this temp
it will make a fire .. probably more big fire will come
because of all the junk we have in the forest

Remember Hurricane Irene? Or the floods in Thailand and southern China and the deadly drought in the Horn of Africa? Heavy rains in Brazil caused massive landslides and much of Europe suffered through a sweltering heatwave.

The four classes of extremes -- high heat, heavy precipitation and floods, duration and intensity of droughts and extremes related to higher sea levels -- have changed in the last 50 years, Field said.

"Increasingly, we are loading the dice towards these very damaging kinds of extremes," he said.

But that's not to say every weather event is related to warming temperatures.

Southern Greenland, northern Russia, and the eastern two-thirds of North America have felt the greatest warmth in 2012, but many places -- Alaska, Mongolia and most of Australia -- have been cool anomalies.

Like many have predicted .. 2012 would be a eventfull yrs
we just need to hold on to our hats ladies and gentlemen

Always stay in a cool zone and dont force your body
working with this heat can kill
Be safe during the troubling time ahead
protect and help anyone in need

Godspeed

www.cnn.com
(visit the link for the full news article)

edit on 7/10/2012 by Ben81 because: (no reason given)

Got drought?

U.S. declares drought-stricken states largest natural disaster area ever
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by silent thunder
started on 7/12/2012 @ 10:21 PM

Originally posted by silent thunder

U.S. declares drought-stricken states largest natural disaster area ever

news.yahoo.com

The United States Department of Agriculture has declared natural disaster areas in more than 1,000 counties and 26 drought-stricken states, making it the largest natural disaster in America ever.

(visit the link for the full news article)

Update

The NOAA State of the Climate 2011 Report came out a few days ago. Here's an article from Science Daily that discusses it, a capture of highlights as featured in the article, as well as a direct link to the report itself.

Back-To-Back La Niñas Cooled Globe and Influenced Extreme Weather in 2011
www.sciencedaily.com...

www.sciencedaily.com...

State of the Climate in 2011
www.ncdc.noaa.gov...
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Climatic Data Center
"The State of the Climate in 2011 is a supplement to the July 2012 issue (Vol. 93, No. 7) of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)."

Fantastic thread! A lot of posters could learn a thing or two about putting together information and producing a quality thread from what you have here.


As far as I'm concerned, weather is getting too unpredictable to tell what is really going to happen in the future.


I thought I read somewhere that before the last ice age (the little ice age) temps actually rose a considerable amount before suddenly dropping drastically. Anyone with knowledge about this topic able to confirm?

Google doesn't work on ym computer, but this is what Jeeves had to say about the question I brought up.

The Little Ice Age




Here's a picture from the page given above that shows what the temp was like before it dropped.

My question has now become, what are the chances something similar to this could happen? Anyone think this outcome is instore for parts of the world?

I now direct your attention to the current heat wave gripping much of the United States and Canada:

The Heat is On: U.S. Temperature Trends:
Trends In Average Temperature Changes, 1970-2011
Claudia Tebaldi, PhD Senior Scientist
Dennis Adams-Smith Data Analyst
Nicole Heller, PhD Collaborating Scientist
www.climatecentral.org...
Source



Record-breaking heat and growing drought in U.S. continues
earthsky.org...
WeatherGlobe by Matt Daniel
JUL 14, 2012

July 2011 to June 2012 is warmest 12-month period recorded in contiguous U.S. since record-keeping began in 1895. Over 60% of U.S. has moderate drought, or worse. Expect food prices to rise.
earthsky.org...

Heat Wave Bakes Canada
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by Ben81
started on 7/15/2012 @ 12:04 AM

Item

China: Worst Rainstorm in 60 years
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by Anim8tr
started on 7/23/2012 @ 08:41 PM

Originally posted by Anim8tr
State of Emergency in Beijing! The Chinese metropolis is plagued by the worst rains in 60 years. The fierce storm claimed 37 lives already. And the death toll could still rise: Countless residents are missing!

BBC NEWS LINK

This weekend was the first time in history, Beijing declared the alert level orange. The color is the second highest warning on the four-color scale for rain storms and floods in China. More flooding around the Yangtze River is being expected during the next few days.

If you take a look at RSOE EDIS you can also see an increase of flash-floods in India, Japan and Nigeria.

Hope everything plays out alright with this crazy weather our earth is having at the moment, droughts all across the USA, wildfires in south europe, floods in asia,...feels like something is stirring up.

www.abovetopsecret.com...

PS

If you haven't noticed, it's been pretty dusty lately:

Increase In Dust Storms


Coming Soon To Your City?

edit on 7/23/2012 by this_is_who_we_are because: typos

Item

Possible Derecho ~ Severe Storm Threat in Midwest/Northeast Thursday
(July 26th, 2012)
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by RealSpoke
started on 7/25/2012 @ 05:06 PM

Originally posted by RealSpoke

Severe Storm Threat in Northeast Thursday ~ Possible Derecho

www.weather.com

The potential exists for widespread damaging winds from parts of New York and southern New England to Ohio. In addition, large hail and a few tornadoes are also possible.

In fact, our Severe Weather Expert Dr. Greg Forbes says that it's possible that a derecho, a widespread damaging wind event, could be ongoing during the morning hours from portions of New York State to central and southern New England.

A frontal system is on the move out of the Great Lakes and is set to bring a significant threat of severe thunderstorms from the Northeast to the Ohio Valley on Thursday.

(visit the link for the full news article)



www.abovetopsecret.com...

Originally posted by RealSpoke
So another Derecho may hit the same areas it did last month. They are supposed to be very rare. The one last month did a lot of damage.

What the last one caused; 22 deaths, millions in damages, and millions without power

In total, 22 people were killed across seven states and the District of Columbia.[17] At least six and possibly seven of those deaths were in Virginia, all of them due to fallen trees.[15] Two of the deaths were in New Jersey, after two children were killed by falling trees at a campground at Parvin State Park, three deaths were reported in Maryland and one death was reported in Ohio after the storm.[18] As it occurred in the midst of the record Summer 2012 North American heat wave, conditions on following days were problematic, particularly for seniors and vulnerable people. Scattered structural damage also occurred along the path of the derecho, from both falling trees and the winds themselves. Some of the damage included siding torn off houses, roofs removed from houses, businesses and apartment buildings, mobile homes heavily damaged, barns and garages destroyed and airplanes flipped.[2]

On July 19th, 2012, President Barack Obama declared three counties in New Jersey (Atlantic, Cumberland, and Salem) federal disaster areas. This assured disaster relief through federal assistance to local and state governments and some non-profit organizations

en.wikipedia.org...


www.weather.com
(visit the link for the full news article)

www.abovetopsecret.com...