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With fewer than nine months to go before Election Day, The Signal predicts that Barack Obama will win the presidential contest with 303 electoral votes to the Republican nominee's 235.
How do we know? We don't, of course. Campaigns and candidates evolve, and elections are dynamic events with more variables than can reasonably be distilled in an equation. But the data--based on a prediction engine created by Yahoo! scientists--suggest a second term is likely for the current president. This model does not use polls or prediction markets to directly gauge what voters are thinking. Instead, it forecasts the results of the Electoral College based on past elections, economic indicators, measures of state ideology, presidential approval ratings, incumbency, and a few other politically agnostic factors.
Originally posted by Angelicdefender2012
reply to post by Vitchilo
Is this a JOKE?!?!
Lol....pleaseedit on 17-2-2012 by Angelicdefender2012 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by Angelicdefender2012
reply to post by Vitchilo
Is this a JOKE?!?!
Lol....pleaseedit on 17-2-2012 by Angelicdefender2012 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by Vitchilo
Originally posted by Angelicdefender2012
reply to post by Vitchilo
Is this a JOKE?!?!
Lol....pleaseedit on 17-2-2012 by Angelicdefender2012 because: (no reason given)
Which part? You think Mittens or Frothy mix will win?? No way in hell.
You think Ron Paul will be allowed the nomination? Or even a fair debate/election? No way in hell.
Obama will win. Simple as that.
Originally posted by jazzguy
dont stop supporting RP, please.
even if he cannot win, how else are we going to wake up all the zombies. his message of understanding money, foreign policy and following the constitution must not stop.
...the data--based on a prediction engine created by Yahoo! scientists
Scientists hired by yahoo to do statistical analysis I'd imagine
We have examined the last 10 presidential elections and found that the Yahoo! model, which is the work of Yahoo Labs economists Patrick Hummel and David Rothschild, would have correctly predicted the winner in 88 percent of the 500 individual state elections.
Originally posted by Ittabena
reply to post by RealSpoke
Scientists hired by yahoo to do statistical analysis I'd imagine
Really? You don't think it is one of those garbage general terms that is meant to lead us to believe there are some guys with some sort of credentials hangin' around Yahoo!?
What kind of scientists I wonder? Maybe it's Miss Cleo with a new gig. Remember her?
Yahoo! scientists Honey, I am going to be a Yahoo! scientist, I even get a little plastic name tag that says so.
"That's nice dear. That'll be better than the 7-11, huh?"
Uh oh! They just yanked my free email account. Okay, okay you guys are scientists. I believe you.
Obama will just have one term.
I hope that mittens or poodles or whomever gets in is better.