posted on Sep, 6 2006 @ 12:50 AM
The problem with the assumption that it will be a regular forces attack with FAC/FPB using Shkval or similar SCT weapons is that these vessels are
relatively easy to spot and engage.
If you are a low running board 'PCI' (Patrol, Coastal, Interceptor) or 'FIAC' (Fast Inshore Attack Craft) you can be on the other side of a
fishing boat, junk trader or oil tanker and nobody will notice. Even as they are _much_ cheaper to buy and use.
If the Iranians are monkeys it is because they skulk like them, hiding behind front agencies rather than standing up to be hammered like a nail by
airpower.
This is what we have taught the world unfortunately: That if you act out in a way which advertises (to you) your pride and nationalism, you will get
your spleen handed to you. But if you do things like a bandit, the 'uncertainty' over attacking a nation 'not at war' with the U.S. will cause no
harm to be rendered unto the nation which hosts the capability.
In any case, three things need to be stated:
1. Metal Storm doesn't work underwater. There are technologies (including mini interceptor torpedoes and water wall explosive drogue cables) which
do and these are generally good enough GIVEN you can indeed engage the target after the attack. As soon as the SCT is combined with a mine system
like CAPTOR (particularly a 'swimmer' version which can itself be launched from shore as much as a dedicated layer), large parts of inshore waters
may effectively denied for quite awhile.
2. Metal Storm, like any CIWS or Close In Weapons System is designed to be layered with other approaches covering the _full range_ of the Inner Air
Battle Zone or just 'inner zone'. The reason for this is that, ballistically, any caliber small enough to be stacked simply will not fly out far
enough (before gravity pulls it to the water as drag slows it down) to engage missiles more than about 4,000-6,000ft.
And at these distances, you are usually no more than 3-5 seconds from even a subsonic AShM impact. Even what are nominally called 'close aboard'
detonations can cause damage to electronics and mountings so really, you don't want to be detonating warheads (the one sure way to stop a missile)
any closer than about 500-800ft out. Which makes things even tighter. When you go to supersonic weapons and weapons which have 1,000-2,000lb
warheads like the Sunburn, you are basically never going to get a decent engagement surety in terms of avoiding blast and frag damage, even if you hit
the round.
3. While separating rounds by inches does much to tighten up the kill volume through which the missile must fly and thus the amount of strikes it
suffers that may be critical, there are other means available to ensure that the weapon is killed further out with single rounds. One of which being
variable muzzle induction fuzing of rounds in the 35mm and up category. Using a 'bar code scanner' type approach which programs each round to
explode next to the missile position _as it exists when the round leaves the muzzle_ in real time instead of by mechanical preselection, you can
destroy targets by detonating larger charges much closer to the inbound threat weapon, much farther out from the protected vessel. This helps
compensate to a large degree for the slower traverse and firing rates of larger guns. And it is the 'big guns' which small boats also fear and hate
because a single round will shred them long before they can either enter or leave an engagement envelope for their own weapons.
For much the same reason, if someone is shooting a GPMG or light cannon (or RPG) at you from a wildly pitching small boat deck, you DO NOT want to go
'muzzle to muzzle' with him using a posted machine gun on the rail. Rather you want to have weapons which specifically can compensate for target
motion and have a sufficiently sized warhead to score a decisive first round kill. This is why systems like Stinger have been and are deployed by
either ships crew or a dedicated Marine detachment on most major combattants and why Javelin will probably also become a key aid in future battles.
Never fight the enemy. Kill him outright or deny him the ability to reach you. But fighting is for fools who have something to prove and the only
certainty of the present day warfighter paradigm is that platforms designed for blue water ops where your principle enemies are nature and logistics,
cost more than the the systems which can destroy them utterly, close inshore. This is why airpower is such a powerful leverage because it removes
lines of sight even as it mediates asset values by vastly extending the engagement ranges.
KPl.