Advanced Warning of Double Major Storms For UK Next Week - In Depth Analysis (Be Prepared)

reply to post by diamount
I have been informed by two weather guys from Anglia TV to expect the end of next week to be extremely nasty. and to prepare even it it moves off before Wednesday. We could still get a storm serge down the rivers. I am hopeing it misses us but take care.

Anyone got a link for the met office warning for Friday NOT for the Tuesday storm?
They dont appear to show weather warnings for that far ahead

First let me start by saying thank you for your hard work and expertise, it is very refreshing.

Now can I ask, is anyone as exicited as me at the possibilty of seeing our small isle's 'mother nature' at its best? Seriously, I am really looking forward to seeing the pure, powerful force of nature.

Could be because I was born (at home in a dog basket) during the great storm of 87.

Stay safe.

ALS

reply to post by jrmcleod


Madre Mia! Deity help the UK! - And I am not an easy panicking person.

That image right there laves me speechless. 920 mbar over the UK, that's 690 mmHg which is 17 mmHg below my record. In the winter? Something's definitely very wrong here. I've never seen such a deep storm system over those parts of the world before. And though my life is pretty short, and I'm not in the UK I must concur with jrmcleod. Prepare for unforeseen consequences! That storm system is a possible killer. I can only hope it will abate and avoid the UK altogether. I have nothing more to add, completely speechless. Wow, England must have angered some deities real bad. Tied down your knickers and trampolines!

reply to post by jrmcleod


I want to commend you on your post last week regarding the first storm. I watched it closely and you were dead on and a bit conservative in your wind gust estimates. I will surely watch this storm as well. You have truely contirbuted to preventing loss of life and given everyone fair warning. I appreciate your extensive graphs and I hope the word gets out for next week. Thanks again!

Originally posted by RumET
reply to post by jrmcleod

 

Madre Mia! Deity help the UK! - And I am not an easy panicking person.

That image right there laves me speechless. 920 mbar over the UK, that's 690 mmHg which is 17 mmHg below my record. In the winter? Something's definitely very wrong here. I've never seen such a deep storm system over those parts of the world before. And though my life is pretty short, and I'm not in the UK I must concur with jrmcleod. Prepare for unforeseen consequences! That storm system is a possible killer. I can only hope it will abate and avoid the UK altogether. I have nothing more to add, completely speechless. Wow, England must have angered some deities real bad. Tied down your knickers and trampolines!

edit on 10/12/2011 by RumET because: Deity wrath thoughts added.

edit on 10/12/2011 by RumET because: Bolded username.

You are right RumET but the reason you havent seen a model like that is because it would be a record breaker for the UK, no one since records began have see this...

reply to post by RumET

Wow, England must have angered some deities real bad

Or angered the controllers of HAARP perhaps?

ALS

Originally posted by diddy1234
Anyone got a link for the met office warning for Friday NOT for the Tuesday storm?
They dont appear to show weather warnings for that far ahead

The MetO will be watching the models VERY closely over the next few days before they issue the alert. I would imagine they will issue it on Sunday Night/Monday. If this storm verifies, expect an extensive Red Alert

Met office have a (yellow) be prepared alert for 12/13th for most of south England and Wales:



Nothing for the 15th/16th yet.

www.metoffice.gov.uk...

ALS

Hi folks .

Though the models look pretty ominous at this stage , there is still time for the storm to break down .
We are in a unique position here , where we can inform our friends and family without scaring the pants off them .
Please , Please try not to worry . Again , have a great weekend , keep checking for updates and do your best to prepare should the worst happen .


Keep smiling , folks .


Terry

reply to post by ALOSTSOUL


I'll stick with Deities to keep the provocations at minimum. I do believe we need to focus on the weather. I just warned my friend in Bicester. I did tell her she should not attend the town party at the 16th, sadly she laughed the seriousness of the situation off. So I had to bring in the bribes, that did the trick. Though I owe her a Russian bearhat now ><

No seriously, the GFS says one thing, OP could you reference WRF with the highest resolution?
I found this, it is wind streams at high altitude (200 mb) for 144 hours ahead, they look pretty nasty as well.




Another WRF model for Thursday 2100 UTC surface pressure. I hope the image works... The isobars look wicked. (Choose more - surface pressure and your time/date) Sorry I couldn't find any more WRF models, they are all payware, and my computer refuses to compile my own CUDA WRF model. I could use some help with that by the way.


www.meteocenter.eu...

reply to post by RumET


Looking at that picture you provided it shows 90+mb directly over my area of England. Can I ask in layman terms what that means?

ALS

reply to post by jrmcleod


I normally travel home at Christmas time every year and usually spend the week before I am due to go watching weather conditions. There has been many a year that we have left later or earlier than planned due to adverse weather conditions in Scotland, which nearly always affects the A9 (road from hell !!! )
These last few years it has been the weather in the South East that has given us the biggest headache so I will be keeping a close eye on whats happening in the next few days.

Originally posted by ALOSTSOUL
Met office have a (yellow) be prepared alert for 12/13th for most of south England and Wales:

Nothing for the 15th/16th yet.

www.metoffice.gov.uk...

ALS

edit on 10-12-2011 by ALOSTSOUL because: (no reason given)

Looks to be an interesting week ahead of us.

Just found this on Accuweather:

The dry reprieve will not last for much of the U.K. as another major storm approaches western Europe early next week.

The strong low pressure system is forecast to bring rain to southern England and western France, including Paris. Farther north, snow will accompany the storm across Scotland, including Edinburgh, and northern England.

Being an unusually strong storm, the system will rough up seas in the north Atlantic. Wave swells of over 40 feet are forecast off the coast of western Ireland early Tuesday morning.

The storm also has the potential to bring another round of high wind speeds that could be similar to the recent storm in some areas.

This storm will be slow to depart leading to unsettled weather and gusty winds through at least Wednesday, with the worst of the storm expected to occur Monday night into early Tuesday when a cold front pushes through the United Kingdom.

www.accuweather.com...

ALS

reply to post by ALOSTSOUL


Of course you can I'm no professional meteorologist, but usually the lower the pressure the nastier the weather. The white lines are borders separating air pressure and showing its gradient. Usually each line is valued 5 mbar. Just to outline where the low pressure system is located. The closer they are together usually the stronger the winds. You need to see fronts and precipitation to get half of the full picture. And remember it's a forecast, things could change, there are endless factors working on a cyclone. I hope that somewhat explained it for you. For deeper information turn to Wikipedia about synoptic charts and millibars / isobars and to OP, he seems to be knowledgeable in weather.

hi op first off s and f for your excellent post . secondly you say that the south coast of england will be hit by the storm on thursday/friday. do you have any ideas if it will affect the channel islands?

Ok off topic slightly but on still on the weather subject. My Facebook has exploded with pics of the moon with a huge circle around it, apparently due to ice crystals in the air. Is this true? I'm in SE England also this is a sign or apparent bad weather approaching

reply to post by ThePeaceMaker


Yeah it is true. I saw it about an hour ago, I saw it the other day too. It is a sight.

ALS

Thanks for the warning,i live in the south west by the coast so it gets pretty hectic when it's windy..this time last year i had a scooter,glad i'm off that in the bad weather we're having.