Hurricane IRENE's Path

where's expected to be hit worst?

Originally posted by ignant


where's expected to be hit worst?

looks like below Cape Hatteras is gonna get hit full on at this time., but don't worry too much yet...they have been adjusting it's track farther east every day.

The path looks to be moving more easterly, and none of the GFS ensemble models have it making landfall in the Carolinas anymore. Landfall is looking more and more like Maine or New York.

www.wunderground.com...

Originally posted by ignant


where's expected to be hit worst?

The Bahamas. It is forecast stay offshore of the eastern seaboard and lose strength.
www.nhc.noaa.gov...?large#contents

reply to post by Phage


ergo Bahama..after it skirts the Bermudas' ...as the pressure systems over the continent push it offshore


i have been nervous that it might track to Carolina>Myrtle Beach SC
because there is nary a cent of 'home owners insurance' on this retro-fit property

~yo--- living dangerously
at least until Dec 23rd when my LTCG & dividends get paid out

Are we doing predictions here? Because when I look at the Nation Hurricane Center website, it shows the center going up into Cape Hatteras which means it could swing left or right, nothing its yet written in stone....I still recommend if you live along the possible path like I do, that you stay vigilant and not be complacent.

National Hurricane Center from NOAA
www.nhc.noaa.gov...

im hearing more and more talk of this storm hitting new york

reply to post by Starwise

The question was where would be worst hit.
It's quite probable that South Carolina and parts north will see some heavy storm activity.

As a Gulf Coast Resident,I urge anyone in the path to evac as soon as possible. If you don't evac, make sure you have plenty, plenty, plenty water and a week's worth of food that does not need refrigeration. Also, if evacing, cook the meat in your fridge/freezer before leaving. If the power goes out for a long period of time with meat (esp seafood) in your appliance, you will have to buy a new one. No amount of scrubbing will erase that funk. I think it's gonna be ok, but always be prepared!!!!!!
I'm relieved it's not headed for us, but my thoughts and good will go to those in the path. Be careful, be empathetic, and be patient. Evacuation traffic and power outages suck, but nothing is worse than treating your neighbor, who's going through the same thing, like spit.
God bless

reply to post by louieprima


thanks for the advice...
but i'm staying...hunkering down even if there is a forced evacuation imposed

we have 2 ea. crank up radios, and plenty of water in tanks, also 4 tanks of propane for an extended -off grid- existance... by then the infrastructure should be back on line...

i'm more worried about these overgrown, 60' pines crashing through my roof !
theres the immediate risk of 11 trees that are too close, and another 13 pine trees that might cause problems,
let alone the 5 live Oaks nestled on this property

According to current tracking Phage is right on the money. The hardest hit area should be the Bahamas as a Cat 3. The storm is projected to remain a Cat 3 as it makes it's way up the coast. Other than some good surfing, Florida and Georgia should miss it the hurricane. Myrtle Beach looks like it will get the outer bands but the eye should stay off shore, still projected as a Cat 3. The eye is projected to pass over land in North Carolina on Saturday around the Wanchese area still as a Cat 3 but weakening as it makes it's way up the coast into Virgina Beach. The current 5 day tracking ends around Delaware as a Cat 2 on Sunday.

reply to post by louieprima

The Gulf Coast. You mean the Gulf of Mexico?
Irene will not get anywhere near the Gulf of Mexico.

Whups..sorry. Not paying attention.

Originally posted by St Udio
reply to post by louieprima

 

thanks for the advice...
but i'm staying...hunkering down even if there is a forced evacuation imposed

we have 2 ea. crank up radios, and plenty of water in tanks, also 4 tanks of propane for an extended -off grid- existance... by then the infrastructure should be back on line...

i'm more worried about these overgrown, 60' pines crashing through my roof !
theres the immediate risk of 11 trees that are too close, and another 13 pine trees that might cause problems,
let alone the 5 live Oaks nestled on this property

Depending on exactly where you are I would not be too worried about trees coming through your roof. However, if you do have trees that close to you I would strongly suggest going outside and taking a close look at those trees. Look for weak branches or anything that appears it may snap easily and cut those branches off yourself. Nothing worse than watching a window get taken out when you could have easily prevented it.

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by louieprima

 

The Gulf Coast. You mean the Gulf of Mexico?
Irene will not get anywhere near the Gulf of Mexico.

I dont think he is saying it will, I think he is simply giving some advice as a resident in a hurricane prone area.

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by louieprima

 

The Gulf Coast. You mean the Gulf of Mexico?
Irene will not get anywhere near the Gulf of Mexico.

As someone who has been through 5 big ones in the last decade, I was offering advice. Been awhile since the east coast caught a really big one. I did say "I'm relieved it's not coming for us" or something to that effect.
Can't stress the meat in the freezer thing enough (unless you really like to vomit)

reply to post by louieprima

I know. I caught my goof too late.

As long as Georgia isn't hit then I'll be fine!

Safe wishes to all

I'm on the west coast of FL...looks like we'll be spared this one. May not even get any rain off of it. Though it is a pretty big storm. Will likely be a category 3 by the next official update... That's when I actually treat them seriously....(I've been through too many cat 1's and 2's)...

I think this year is probably the LEAST I've been prepared. Not sure why, though of course, money is tighter all around. Usually, by now, I'm stocked up with about 2 weeks of non-perishable food and water...but not yet this year. (maybe a week, tops, in a pinch)...

At least I have big metal shutters that can come down and bolt over the windows (and I'm in a good zone vs. flooding, etc.). In fact, we have a shelter (a high school) right across the street... Been a while since we had to hole up. (and now my battery TV no longer works, as it isn't digital).

At least we have smartphones now though, which we can use to check things, follow the storm if the power is out...., assuming the towers are ok.

I live in Portsmouth, VA, and I have a bad feeling about this one. I don't know why, but I think the eye of this one is going to pass right over my house. I'm almost certain I'll lose power. My brother is checking out my generator to make sure it's working OK, it's old Navy surplus, weighs a ton and solid as a rock, but loud as hell. Fortunately I just bought a new 1300 watt power inverter a few weeks ago. I'm charging up the batteries in my boat in case I need the extra power. I need to get some more batteries, gas, and lamp oil. May as well stock up on cigarettes and tequilla too.

I'm not one to panic when it comes to hurricanes. I've lived in this area nearly all my life, and I usually don't worry when the local news hypes them up. But like I say, I think this one has Hampton Roads in it's crosshairs.

reply to post by VictorVonDoom

Booze is a must in any hurricane situation!
(Can you tell I'm from Louisiana?)