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(visit the link for the full news article)
For half a century, the global energy supply's center of gravity has been the Middle East. This fact has had self-evidently enormous implications for the world we live in -- and it's about to change.
By the 2020s, the capital of energy will likely have shifted back to the Western Hemisphere, where it was prior to the ascendancy of Middle Eastern megasuppliers such as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait in the 1960s. The reasons for this shift are partly technological and partly political. Geologists have long known that the Americas are home to plentiful hydrocarbons trapped in hard-to-reach offshore
But since the early 2000s, the energy industry has largely solved that problem. With the help of horizontal drilling and other innovations, shale gas production in the United States has skyrocketed from virtually nothing to 15 to 20 percent of the U.S. natural gas supply in less than a decade. By 2040, it could account for more than half of it. This tremendous change in volume has turned the conversation in the U.S. natural gas industry on its head; where Americans once fretted about meeting the country's natural gas needs, they now worry about finding potential buyers for the country's surplus.
Meanwhile, onshore oil production in the United States, condemned to predictions of inexorable decline by analysts for two decades, is about to stage an unexpected comeback. Oil production from shale rock, a technically complex process of squeezing hydrocarbons from sedimentary deposits, is just beginning. But analysts are predicting production of as much as 1.5 million barrels a day in the next few years from resources beneath the Great Plains and Texas alone -- the equivalent of 8 percent of current U.S. oil consumption. The development raises the question of what else the U.S. energy industry might accomplish if prices remain high and technology continues to advance. Rising recovery rates from old wells, for example, could also stem previous declines. On top of all this, analysts expect an additional 1 to 2 million barrels a day from the Gulf of Mexico now that drilling is resuming. Peak oil? Not anytime soon.
Emboldened by economic strength and growing military power, China is emerging as a challenger to US dominance in the Pacific. But its promised peaceful rise has done little to convince regional powers that it will not use force to press longstanding territorial claims or attempt sea-denial operations in Asia’s lucrative trade routes. Uncertainty about Beijing’s intentions could thus beget a new, unpredictable arms race as states scramble to protect their interests. For the short term, however, they are weighing up how far their interests may be served by cooperating with China and ushering it into the role of a responsible superpower, while hedging their bets with traditional alliances and military modernisation.
Jonathan Holslag, Research Fellow at the Institute of Contemporary China Studies (BICCS), launched his new Adelphi Book on the topic, 'Trapped Giant: China's Military Rise', on Friday 11 March.
But since the early 2000s, the energy industry has largely solved that problem. With the help of horizontal drilling and other innovations, shale gas production in the United States has skyrocketed from virtually nothing to 15 to 20 percent of the U.S. natural gas supply in less than a decade.
Originally posted by SLAYER69
I don't know.
I'm sure many here will consider it BS or MSM propaganda etc.
The world is changing. There is no doubt that there is a lot more oil than what is being let on about.
Originally posted by JennaDarling
Actually it will be China with Thorium reactors, you know the reactors, that cannot make bombs.
Originally posted by JennaDarling
Actually it will be China with Thorium reactors, you know the reactors, that cannot make bombs.
Terrapower is pushing ahead with a reactor design that uses a nearly inexhaustible fuel source.
Originally posted by SLAYER69
I don't know.
I personally would love to see the world get off it's Petroleum addiction and move onto to something more eco friendly. If this article is true then we will continue to fight over it while potentially polluting ourselves to a point worse than we already have.
www.foreignpolicy.com
(visit the link for the full news article)edit on 15-8-2011 by SLAYER69 because: (no reason given)
Most of the oil sands of Canada are located in three major deposits in northern Alberta. These are the Athabasca-Wabiskaw oil sands of north northeastern Alberta, the Cold Lake deposits of east northeastern Alberta, and the Peace River deposits of northwestern Alberta. Between them they cover over 140,000 square kilometres (54,000 sq mi)—an area larger than England—and hold proven reserves of 1.75 trillion barrels (280×109 m3) of bitumen in place. Wiki