Predictions, in next 48 hrs will hit strong eartqveke or volcano event

reply to post by Forevever


Foreverer...SPOOKY!!! We BOTH posted 11/11 at 6:31...one more minute and our mutual post would (que scary music) 6+3+2 = eleven.

Powerball???

reply to post by Glinda


Thank you Glinda
I tried too ♥


I'm convinced all my other efforts are futile.

lets not get the wool pulled over our eyes by 'geologists' then ^^ or 'experts' from any field .

they KNOW the comet will do the damage it will, they 'll make up every excuse to say they 'dont'

Originally posted by Chadwickus
reply to post by heineken

 

Hmm so we have had two X flares so far this year, One, as you say on March 10....


So the other one.... You know on Feb 14, bigger than the March flare.... So why does that never get a mention with the flares = earthquake crew???

Hmmm?

Select only the evidence that suits your argument and ignore the rest.


Way to go!

The one on Feb. 14th wasn't earth-directed and the one on March 10th was a "glancing blow".

Maybe that's why it effected the earth on March 11th and no major earthquakes happened directly after Feb. 14th?

Just something to ponder... the direction of the flares.

Originally posted by pryingopen3rdeye

Originally posted by cluckerspud
reply to post by Dalke07

 

What? How do geomagnetic storms effect tectonic plates and volcanoes? I think you should find some time to answer this.

if you have such question go look it up, this connection between sun activity and earthquakes has been spoken of for quite some time.

the man is making a prediction, not presenting you with a scientific journal approved by some recognized panel,

i suspect the entire purpose of your post is to introduce doubt into readers minds, but whats the freakin point of that here in a prediction thread, it aint a science debate, its gorram predictions!!

Yes granted, but his prediction is based on that premise and thus it should be his duty to provide us with at least a credible link....so far there hasn't been. I know there are seismologists who would love to find a definitive link between the sun and earthquakes but it just really doesn't seem to be there at all. It's not a case of ignoring or cherry-picking. This would be a career-making' discovery and they're not ignoring it, just not coming to any conclusions yet because there is no observable link, nor any consistency to the claims (flare a appeared to preceed a heightened period of earthquakes yet flare b was bigger and at the same angle and yet there was no associated swarm etc etc....and the same can be said for the Moon).

good thing it's an eartqveke and not an earthquake, phewww

reply to post by AstroBuzz

I agree thats something to ponder. From my source...

If Earth is in the path of that shockwave, our planet's magnetic field will react to the event. It's similar to what happens if you put a weak magnet next to a strong one. The weak magnet's field will align itself to the strong magnet's field. A magnetic shockwave from the sun could cause the alignment of the Earth's magnetic field to shift unpredictably

source

Sometimes the field completely flips. The north and the south poles swap places. Such reversals, recorded in the magnetism of ancient rocks, are unpredictable. They come at irregular intervals averaging about 300,000 years; the last one was 780,000 years ago. Are we overdue for another? No one knows

Source: Nasa, forgive me


There are lots of article like this one
Shift in magnetic North Pole causes Tampa International Airport to close, rename main runway

Published January 7, 2011 though... the closest "significant" CME before that date I could find was on December 14th - bit of a stretch

Based on just this, I can't discount the idea that a massive CME coming directly at us would affect us - but determining how much or how little is another story.

I'm too tired to do it I'll wait till after October 28th (thats the last prediction of this year right? god I hope so)

I hope nothing to bad happens planet earth can't take to much more. If it does though I hope people will be
ok

The latest 'major' earthquakes vs solar data( just picked the biggest earthquakes from that year)


Solar and geomagnetic data July 2011
vs
Earthquakes july 2011
----------------------------------------
Solar and geomagnetic data march 2011
vs
Earthquakes march 2011
-----------------------------------------
Solar and geomagnetic data Feb 2010
vs
Earthquakes feb 2010
-----------------------------------------
Solar and geomagnetic data sept 2009
vs
Earthquakes sept 2009

.......


feel free to check for yourself
www.solen.info... (change the year in the url, choose month, choose indices.html to get an overall view)
earthquake.usgs.gov...

reply to post by Forevever


Who knows the earth has an iron core? They just made that up to get their other theories work.
What about the hollow earth theory or the flat earth theory??
Damn we are getting nowhere...hoping for the end....restart game

reply to post by Forevever


I don't see how the opinion of a couple of blogs refutes what scientists actually say.

What you gave are links on the opinion by someone sugesting the auroras were artificially created by HAARP. But this person just claims so, he/she didn't present any proof whatsoever just his own biased opinion.

I hate having to once again repost what actual peer-review scientific papers say, but to refute your stance here they are again. I have posted over the years dozens of similar peer-reviewed research, these are not the only ones.

Solar activity as a triggering mechanism for earthquakes

John F. Simpsona, b

a Goodyear Aerospace Corporation, USA

b University of Akron, Akron, Ohio, USA

Received 7 November 1967; revised 16 December 1967. Available online 28 October 2002.

Abstract

Solar activity, as indicated by sunspots, radio noise and geomagnetic indices, plays a significant but by no means exclusive role in the triggering of earthquakes. Maximum quake frequency occurs at times of moderately high and fluctuating solar activity. Terrestrial solar flare effects which are the actual coupling mechanisms which trigger quakes appear to be either abrupt accelerations in the earth's angular velocity or surges of telluric currents in the earth's crust. The graphs presented in this paper permit probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, and when used in conjunction with local indicators may provide a significant tool for specific earthquake prediction.

linkinghub.elsevier.com...

SCIENCE WITHOUT BORDERS. Transactions of the International Academy of Science H & E.
Vol.3. 2007/2008, SWB, Innsbruck, 2008 ISBN 978-9952-451-01-6 ISSN 2070-0334
217
ABOUT POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF SOLAR ACTIVITY UPON SEISMIC AND VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES: LONG-TERM FORECAST

*Khain V.E., **Khalilov E.N.
*Moscow State University named after M.V.Lomonosov,
**International Academy of Science H&E (Austria, Innsbruck)

It has been determined that in the period of solar activity increase (11-year
cycles) there increase seismic and volcanic activities in the compression zone of
Earth and at the same time there decreases the activity in the tension zones of Earth.
On the basis of the discovered stable 11-year and 22-year cyclicalities in the seismic and volcanic activities and their high correlation with solar activity there has been made the long-term forecast until 2018. The next maximum of seismic and volcanic activity with very high amplitude for the compression zones of Earth is forecasted for the period 2012-2015.

www.khalilov.biz...

BTW, if you want to know who Elchin Khalilov (Khalilov E.N.) is here are a few facts that anyone can corroborate...

Dr.Prof. Elchin Khalilov (Azerbaijani: Elçin Xəlilov (born On April, 26th 1959, Baku, Azerbaijan) is a famous scientist in the sphere of geodynamics, seismology and tectonics.

en.wikipedia.org...

A relationship between solar activity and frequency of natural disasters in China
Journal Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Publisher Science Press, co-published with Springer-Verlag GmbH
ISSN 0256-1530 (Print) 1861-9533 (Online)
Issue Volume 20, Number 6 / November, 2003
DOI 10.1007/BF02915516
Pages 934-939
Subject Collection Earth and Environmental Science
SpringerLink Date Sunday, June 08, 2008

Wang Zhongrui1 , Song Feng2 and Tang Maocang1

(1) Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 730000 Lanzhou
(2) Climate and Bio-Atmospheric Sciences Group, School of Natural Resource Sciences, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Received: 7 September 2002 Revised: 6 June 2003

Abstract The relationship between the length of the solar cycle, a good indicator of long-term change in solar activity, and natural disasters (drought, flood, and strong earthquakes) in China during the last 108 years is analyzed. The results suggest that the length of solar cycle may be a useful indicator for drought/flood and strong earthquakes. When the solar activity strengthens, we see the length of the solar cycle shorten and more floods occur in South China and frequent strong earthquakes happen in the Tibetan Plateau, but the droughts in East China as well as the strong earthquakes in Taiwan and at the western boundary of China are very few. The opposite frequencies occur when the solar activity weakens. The current study indicates that the solar activity may play an important role in the climate extremes and behavior in the lithosphere.

www.springerlink.com...

Solar activity and global seismicity of the earth

Journal Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences: Physics
Publisher Allerton Press, Inc. distributed exclusively by Springer Science+Business Media LLC
ISSN 1062-8738 (Print) 1934-9432 (Online)
Issue Volume 71, Number 4 / April, 2007
Category Proceedings of the XXIX All-Russia Conference on Cosmic Rays
DOI 10.3103/S1062873807040466
Pages 593-595
Subject Collection Physics and Astronomy
SpringerLink Date Wednesday, May 16, 2007

S. D. Odintsov1, G. S. Ivanov-Kholodnyi1 and K. Georgieva2

(1) Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radiowave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, Troitsk, Moscow oblast, 142190, Russia
(2) Laboratory of Solar—Terrestrial Coupling, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sophia, Bulgaria


Abstract Results of studying the character and possible succession of cause-effect relations (in going from a disturbance source on the Sun to a response in the lithosphere in the range of periods from several days to the 11-year solar cycle) have been presented. It has been indicated that the maximum of seismic energy, released from earthquake sources in the 11-yr cycle of sunspots, is observed during the phase of cycle decline and lags 2 yr behind the solar cycle maximum. It has been established that the maximum in the number of earthquakes directly correlates with the instant of a sudden increase in the solar wind velocity.

Original Russian Text © S.D. Odintsov, G.S. Ivanov-Kholodnyi, K. Georgieva, 2007, published in Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Fizicheskaya, 2007, Vol. 71, No. 4, pp. 608–610.

www.springerlink.com...

Relationship between global seismicity and solar activities

Journal Acta Seismologica Sinica
Publisher Seismological Society of China
ISSN 1000-9116 (Print) 1993-1344 (Online)
Issue Volume 11, Number 4 / July, 1998
DOI 10.1007/s11589-998-0096-5
Pages 495-500
Subject Collection Earth and Environmental Science
SpringerLink Date Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Gui-Qing Zhang1

(1) Beijing Astronomical Observatory, Chinese Academy of Science, 100101 Beijing, China

Received: 4 July 1997 Revised: 25 November 1997 Accepted: 25 November 1997

Abstract The relations between sunspot numbers and earthquakes (M≧6), solar 10.7 cm radio flux and earthquakes, solar proton events and earthquakes have been analyzed in this paper. It has been found that: (1) Earthquakes occur frequently around the minimum years of solar activity. Generally, the earthquake activities are relatively less during the peak value years of solar activity, some say, around the period when magnetic polarity in the solar polar regions is reversed. (2) the earthquake frequency in the minimum period of solar activity is closely related to the maximum annual means of sunspot numbers, the maximum annual means of solar 10.7 cm radio flux and solar proton events of a whole solar cycle, and the relation between earthquake and solar proton events is closer than others. (3) As judged by above interrelationship, the period from 1995 to 1997 will be the years while earthquake activities are frequent. In the paper, the simple physical discussion has been carried out.
Key words solar activity - sunspot numbers - solar radio flux - solar proton events

These results supported the exploration and studies of some researchers to a certain extent.

This work is supported by Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (major item).

www.springerlink.com...

Annales Geophysicae (2003) 21: 597–602
c European Geosciences Union 2003

High-energy charged particle bursts in the near-Earth space as
earthquake precursors
S. Yu. Aleksandrin1, A. M. Galper1, L. A. Grishantzeva1, S. V. Koldashov1, L. V. Maslennikov1, A.M. Murashov1,
P. Picozza2, V. Sgrigna3, and S. A. Voronov1
1Space Physics Institute, Moscow State Engineering Physics Institute, Kashirskoe shosse 31, 115409 Moscow, Russia
2Dept. of Physics, Univ. of Rome ”Tor Vergata” and INFN Sez. Rome2, via della Ricerca Scientifica 1, I–00133 Rome, Italy
3Dept. of Physics, Univ. of Rome ”Roma Tre”, via della Vasca Navale, 84, I–00146 Rome, Italy
Received: 21 July 2001 – Revised: 21 May 2002 – Accepted: 11 July 2002

Abstract. The experimental data on high-energy charged
particle fluxes, obtained in various near-Earth space experiments
(MIR orbital station, METEOR-3, GAMMA and
SAMPEX satellites) were processed and analyzed with the
goal to search for particle bursts. Particle bursts have been selected
in every experiment considered. It was shown that the
significant part of high-energy charged particle bursts correlates with seismic activity. Moreover, the particle bursts are observed several hours before strong earthquakes; L-shells of particle bursts and corresponding earthquakes are practically the same. Some features of a seismo-magnetosphere connection model, based on the interaction of electromagnetic emission of seismic origin and radiation belt particles, were considered.

Key words. Ionospheric physics (energetic particles,
trapped; energetic particles, precipitating; magnetosphereionosphere
interactions)

hal.archives-ouvertes.fr...

Title:
Climate determinism or Geomagnetic determinism?
Authors:
Gallet, Y.; Genevey, A.; Le Goff, M.; Fluteau, F.; Courtillot, V.
Affiliation:
AA(Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4 Place Jussieu, Paris, 75005 France ; [email protected]), AB(Centre de Recherche et de Restauration des Musees de France, Palais du Louvre, Porte des Lions 14 quai Francois Mitterrand, Paris, 75001 France ; [email protected]), AC(Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4 Place Jussieu, Paris, 75005 France ; [email protected]), AD(Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4 Place Jussieu, Paris, 75005 France ; [email protected]), AE(Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4 Place Jussieu, Paris, 75005 France ; [email protected])
Publication:
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2006, abstract #GP51A-0940
Publication Date:
12/2006
Origin:
AGU
AGU Keywords:
1503 Archeomagnetism, 1521 Paleointensity, 1605 Abrupt/rapid climate change (4901, 8408), 1616 Climate variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513)
Abstract Copyright:
(c) 2006: American Geophysical Union
Bibliographic Code:
2006AGUFMGP51A0940G

Abstract

A number of episodes of sharp geomagnetic field variations (in both intensity and direction), lasting on the order of a century, have been identified in archeomagnetic records from Western Eurasia and have been called "archeomagnetic jerks". These seem to correlate well with multi-decadal cooling episodes detected in the North Atlantic Ocean and Western Europe, suggesting a causal link between both phenomena. A possible mechanism could be a geomagnetic modulation of the cosmic ray flux that would control the nucleation rate of clouds. We wish to underline the remarkable coincidence between archeomagnetic jerks, cooling events in Western Europe and drought periods in tropical and sub-tropical regions of the northern hemisphere. The latter two can be interpreted in terms of global teleconnections among regional climates. It has been suggested that these climatic variations had caused major changes in the history of ancient civilizations, such as in Mesopotamia, which were critically dependent on water supply and particularly vulnerable to lower rainfall amounts. This is one of the foundations of "climate determinism". Our studies, which suggest a geomagnetic origin for at least some of the inferred climatic events, lead us to propose the idea of a geomagnetic determinism in the history of humanity.

adsabs.harvard.edu...

Possible impact of the Earths magnetic field on the history
of ancient civilizations

Yves Gallet a,⁎, Agnès Genevey b, Maxime Le Goff a, Frédéric Fluteau a,c,
Safar Ali Eshraghi d

a Equipe de Paléomagnétisme, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4 place Jussieu, 75252 Paris cedex 05, France

b Centre de Recherche et de Restauration des Musées de France, UMR CNRS 171, Palais du Louvre, Porte des Lions,
14 quai François Mitterrand, 75001 Paris, France

c UFR des Sciences Physiques de la Terre, Université Denis Diderot Paris 7, 2 Place Jussieu, 75251 Paris cedex 05, France

d Geological Survey of Iran, Azadi sq., Meraj blvd., PO Box 13185-1494 Tehran, Iran
Received 30 November 2005; received in revised form 3 April 2006; accepted 3 April 2006
Available online 19 May 2006
Editor: R.D. van der Hilst

Abstract
We report new archeointensity results from Iranian and Syrian archeological excavations dated from the second millennium BC.
These high-temperature magnetization data were obtained using a laboratory-built triaxial vibrating sample magnetometer.

Together with our previously published archeointensity results from Mesopotamia, we constructed a rather detailed geomagnetic field intensity variation curve for this region from 3000 BC to 0 BC. Four potential geomagnetic events (“archeomagnetic jerks”), marked by strong intensity increases, are observed and appear to be synchronous with cooling episodes in the North Atlantic.

This temporal coincidence strengthens the recent suggestion that the geomagnetic field influences climate change over multi-decadal time scales, possibly through the modulation of cosmic ray flux interacting with the atmosphere. Moreover, the cooling periods in the North Atlantic coincide with episodes of enhanced aridity in the Middle East, when abrupt societal changes occurred in the eastern Mediterranean and Mesopotamia.

Although the coincidences discussed in this paper must be considered with caution, they lead to the possibility that the geomagnetic field impacted the history of ancient civilizations through climatically driven environmental changes, triggering economic, social and political instability.
© 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

www.ipgp.fr...


The above are actual abstracts of scientific peer-reviewed papers.

We're suppose to have a thunderstorm coming in tonight... I can see the clouds building up above. This is going to be a good one for sure

reply to post by ElectricUniverse


thanks hun my error was corrected a few pages ago
I made a mistake of not reading the articles


I believe I have since made up for it.
My apologies for my earlier confusions.

Meanwhile, I can't read that wall of words because frankly, I've wasted more energy on this than I ever intended to. If I hadn't made the mistake I made, I wouldn't still be here. I'd be back in 2 days to see if it was right or not.

I predict its wrong.

reply to post by intergalactic fire


Again, you like some others are trying to find a linear correlation between high solar activity and earthquakes when there is no such thing.

You have to understand that the strength of earth's magnetic field also influences how solar activity and other sources from outside the Solar System will affect the Earth. There is not just one factor that will provide a linear correlation between seismicity on earth and Solar activity.

Fluctuations in solar activity act as triggers under the right circumstances. Not all solar flares are directed at Earth, which is important don't you think?, alongside other factors such as a weakening in certain parts of Earth's magnetic field.

Also during times when the solar activity is low, the interplanetary field which shields the Solar System from outside influences is more open, and allows energy, radiation and more charged particles to enter the Solar System which in turn affect every planet including Earth.

Oh God. What a lame prediction.

Not one accurate prediction.

If ANY event occurs you will claim victory and that will prove you a fruit loop of gigantic proportions

reply to post by daggyz


the worse part is how people take up half a page with replies before completely reading the thread...

some required reading for friends - Apophenia.

Oh look

It's THIS thread again

reply to post by SpringHeeledJack


Jack I'm finally proud to give you a star.
619 is mine


you can take it from here - I think your usual sarcastic wit will be more effective ♥

reply to post by Forevever


What can I say?
We all know the drill


I almost didn't comment due to me being the 57586th member to brush the threat off.


Honestly, I hope something big does happen. My next semester doesn't start for 2 more weeks and I am booored!

reply to post by Dalke07


I expect a thread with an apology for the fear mongering and fake predictions come 72 hours from now ....


Apology better be in full and heart felt... I want you to explain why you mislead people with baseless ideas and what we can do in the future to help counter the prediction phases of some ats members


ty carry on ...