I have been a long time lurker on ATS and enjoy reading the banter quite a bite. Unlike a recent post entitled 'I am a scientist' I do NOT watch
ATS for amusement. As well shown by T.S. Kuhn's 'The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, the majority of truly breakthrough new scientific
paradigm changes come from the edges of the intellectual world, and ATS is just such a place.
The ongoing debate over Elenin is just such an example. After reading one too many will cause a catastrophy/will not cause a catastrophy debates, I
decided to actually read in detail Mensur Omerbashich's work 'Astronomical Alignments as the cause of M6+ seismicity'
The full paper is available here:
Astronomicall Alisgnments as the cause of M6+
seismicity
To summarize:
1. Omerbashich's paper DOES prove beyond any reasonable doubt that ALL Magnitude 6+ quakes are linked to long astronomical alignments. It is
important to realize that by 'long', Omerbashich is referring to alignments that last for longer than 3 days due to the combination of speed and
size of the bodies involved.
2. The paper IS NOT about Elenin. He wrote this paper to provide further proof for his own unique conception of physics, and Elenin is a minor
player in the overall argument. His new physics seems to be very compatible with my own work in advanced topology of infinitely lorge one sided
objects, so I owe a big thanks to ATS for bringing this to my attention. That is why I read this site.
\3. His ENTIRE point is that it is NOT the mass of the bodies in alignment that are realated to the occurance of Eathquakes. Let me repeat that.
It is NOT THE MASS that is important. This is really important as much of the hysteria surrounding Elenin comes from the common sense yet incorrect
assumption that for any body like Elenin to be a cause of the earthquakes in New Zealand, Chile, and Japan, it must have a huge mass, and therefore
must be a brown dwarf. This has led to the rather dramatic ideas promoted by someone known as Terral03 and is completely unjustified. Although
Terral03 quotes Omerbashich regularly, he must not have read the work of has another agenda. If you are believing these ideas, please read
Omerbashich's work. Terral03's ideas are 100% based on this work and he has read it completely wrong if he read it at all.
4 AT THE SAME TIME, those who dismiss the potential effects of Elenin from the common sense yet incorrect view that if Elenin was a brown dwarf,
it would have huge effects on all planets in the solar system are missing something really significant in his work. It is inarguable that M6+
seismicity is linked with these long alignments, and since the mass of Elenin is obviously not enough to cause such an effect, Omerbashich is pointing
to an as yet misunderstood mechanism.
As a final word, the last place I would want to be in a eriod of incfreased seismicity is inside a cave. Be well ATS