posted on Jun, 26 2011 @ 04:06 PM
Russia may have some weapons of mass destruction, but the maintenance level and actual capabilities are likely to be degraded with the way the nation
has gone since the Berlin Wall fell. I don't see them wanting to really mix things up with anyone in military actions where the outcome is not
assured.
China has heavily invested in the US and the West as a whole. If anything, I see them as wanting the same life outcomes we have taken for granted for
decades, our standard of living is compelling. It is not logical that they would go into combat with us directly. Sure, they want our money, but
they want for the next century as well.
This said, I think the poster is relatively close on events to transpire. However, I see things this way:
Libya accelerates with US intervention - a flash point, like a weapon of mass destruction, is needed to be used by Pro-Ghaddifi forces
Turkey and Syria go to war from a border flash point
Palestinians and Hezbollah (Lebanon) join in the fighting against Turkey and Israel is attacked
Iran is attacked by Israel preemptively and Iran joins the fray
Russia suddenly has its hands full with Chechnya and other neighboring Islamic republics
China mobilizes, but waits
North Korea, seeing the US and NATO tied up in the Middle East attacks south into South Korea
China joins the US in quelling the war in Korea
Events in Pakistan, Iraq, and Afghanistan go red hot
Events in the balance of Africa get crazy with lines drawn on ethnic, tribal, and religious lines
India finds it has its hands full with Islamic rebels within and war breaks out with Pakistan
China sends vast numbers of troops to assist the US in fighting from Afghanistan all the way across North Africa and south in the balance of Africa
South Africa joins with the US to fight Islamic forces north
All of this and we haven't even looked at the balance of Asia, the South Pacific to include Indonesia, and South and Central America. These areas
are also points of potential conflict if a nation feels it can get an edge.
End state:
US and the NATO nations control nearly of all of Africa
China and the US share the oil reserves and other assets of the Middle East and Iran
India negotiates and is given a fair share of access to oil for its defeat of Pakistan, which is reincorporated into India
Afghanistan and other formerly independent nations are brought back into the Russian sphere of influence
I could see Turkey going in on this, there is a lot of formerly Ottoman Empire lands they could claim and the government and educated elite of Turkey
realize that the Islamic revolution is a dead end
This is my guess, and just that, a guess.
The specter of vast reeducation camps for those of the Islamic faith looms in my mind
The outright declaration of Islam as a violation of human rights and a non-faith, outlawed in the whole of the West, Russia, and much of Asia
Extraordinary efforts to remove children and women from Islamic men and place them in government controlled schools
Old languages are forbidden in favor of English, Chinese, and Russian in the occupied lands
Interesting point: The Chinese experiment to limit population by allowing families only one child has lead to a huge disparity in the numbers of males
as opposed to females. China could easily send some 20 to 30 million men overseas, and have them stay there, in place, with local wives and families
as large as they choose. The alternative China faces is continued discontent of men not able to find wives, or even mates.