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Originally posted by Bout Time
There has to be a policy first, no?
"record Breaking"?
A matter of perspective, no? One man's $300 extension against a following year's rebate does not equal another man's zero Dividends Tax.
Frankly, I care deeply, though you're new enough to not know I'm a former Republican ( sorry about that personal info protocol breach, again! ). About that ITAA, which commissioned these studies that show no empiracal data as to how they arrive at their numbers: the ITAA has an arm called ETC - the Electronic Technology Council. Their niche? E-voting machine manufacture & voter roster tabulation. You have such storied & stellar companies as Diebold, Sequioa, and ES&S....maybe you remember the 2000 voter role tabulations? Or the refusal by forward thinking legislators, nationally, to not certify their non-receipt generating kiosks? Or maybe the fact that each is headed by a Bush Pioneer level campaign contributor......even a state's GOP party Chairman? And that this is the preemminent ( = big money )group within the ITAA?
Or how about that Jack Snow, the other source of heresay in these information sources? Might Bush's Treasury Secretary be inclined to side with his boss & their benefactors? Mr. Snow presdied over a former client of mine, Sea-Land, where he did such a horrible job, he makes Bush's CEO experience seem almost competent.
Getting back to those unsupported figures, they are "forecasting" a 60K/per yr addition of IT jobs over the next 5 years....nationally......ina market of 10.5 MILLION that grows with every graduating class by the 100's of thousands. The way outsourcing works is to first identify key employees & rebadge them - everything stays the same ( with a usual decrease in pay), just now they're paid by Siemens, EDS IBM or whomever the vedor is.
Is it a "creation" of 60k jobs? In one sense, yes, the outsourced vendors headcount has increased. But in reality, the net net is that no jobs were added. The spurrious jump to pinpoint a direct line correlation between potential increases in a companies bottom line due to outsoucing with job creation for an industry, is just that - a leap of partisan inspired faith. Companies have increased their profits dramatically, while having zero or negative vector changes on employee headcount. Citing American worker productivity figures is great......as a smokescreen. This isn't Six Sigma efficient practice in play - it's leveraging a depressed market in order to retain workers who are too scared to leave. What Architect is going to jump with both feet into a market that is paying Help Desk wages?
Too much news, too much CSPAN....just not the Fox & CNN sources you've been quoting. SUre, I view that material for a pulse of what's being fed to the masses, but form an opinion based on that muck? No. You seem to be a person of tremendous faith, something normal to admire. That the faith is in the Mayberry Machevellis is where the admiration loses steam. Again, growth from a point of loss that still keeps you at a net loss is nothing to quote as historic - any person of sound math skills and a smathering of economic know how would be forced to look behind the hype & to see the grand misdirection.
A key to help you? THe more official or Apple Pie sounding the name, the more partisan and whore-ish they are. Here's somthing you missed on the ITAA:
According to a recent survey by the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA), unless there is a dramatic recovery in the US economy within the next year, a return to normal levels of hiring and compensation among IT workers in America is not likely to happen.
**************
The study shows demand for IT workers is continuing to drop in the United States, even as the number of lay offs has slowed and the overall size of the IT market has stabilized at around 10.3 million workers. One of the major factors contributing to this trend is the increasing use of offshore people with management and programming expertise to do work that ends up being used in America.
www.midrangeserver.com...
So, they get paid to do two studies on the same topic....yet come to different conclusions?
Originally posted by Skadi_the_Evil_Elf
First of all, even though I want Buish out, is kerry a proper alternative?
For one, hes a friggin Catholic. Hes a new england style liberal. In my opinion, that makes him on par as dangerous as Bush.
For starters, i have seen his opinions and platforms. He has no plans to end this friggin war. he has no plans to bring home our troops from overseas, only close down bases here at home and whittle the military that way. His Un friendly attitude bothers me as well. Is he the lesser of two evils? No. Put him in office, and in my opinion, he will be as dangerous as Bush.
Originally posted by Flinx
Wow, I didn't think this thread would become this big. There's been too much said for me to try to respond, so all I can say is....continue talking. Tis interesting.
Originally posted by radardog
Originally posted by donguillermo
Objectively, you don't know what you are talking about. You are just mouthing Republican talking points.
I don't own a copy of any talking points. I'm just citing what has been floating around in the news.
the last President to talk about the economy turning the corner was when Herbert Hoover said that prosperity was just around the corner.
So? And the last person that used "help is on the way" on a campaign is Cheney. These points are nonsensical.
I am aware that you can cite statistics to show the economy is in good shape.
GDP is the way the judge a nation's wealth/economy ala Adam Smith. We have had GDP gains of almost 8% in a single quater.
I am aware that you can cite statistics to show the economy is in good shape. I can cite many more to show it is not. Consumer spending is 2/3 of all economic activity. Consumer spending has been down two months in a row. Another leading economic indicator, new factory orders, has been down two months in a row. The stock market, a reliable leading economic indicator, is down for the year, and for Bush's entire Presidency.
After three months of good job creation, the latest month showed only 112,000 new jobs created, not enough to cover growth in the labor force.
Analysis of employment statistics shows that real wages, adjusted for inflation, are declining, and that the new jobs being created pay less than the jobs that were lost.
Are you suggesting that low paying jobs are worse than no-paying jobs?
Wages depend on the wage market, not the government.
Even after the recent good numbers on job creation, more than a million jobs have been lost since Bush became President.
It doesn't follow that they were lost because of Bush being president. Remember, the economy started showing signs of decline in late 1998, and after 9/11, all industries were hurt in some way.
Contrast that with the 22 million jobs created during the eight years of the Clinton Presidency
What comes up, must come down. The "dot-com-bubble" was a moment of temporary inflation, where the nation was actually over-employed.
In four years, Bush has taken the federal government from a budget surplus of over $200 billion to an estimated budget deficit of $445 billion.
Yes, wars tend to cost a lot of money.
If you're going to vote for Kerry because of a deficit, I would recommend actually looking into his comments: Kerry wants to give health care to every person in the unitedstates to which he states he doesn't care if it makes the US go red.
Moreover, he wants to bring more troops to Iraq (that costs money, too).
After declining during the Clinton years, the national debt as a percentage of GDP is once again rising.
Clinton didn't fight a war where most of the resources were coming directly out of the US' pocket.
Adding to the already massive national debt is foolishly mortaging the country's future for short-term gain. The huge deficits created by Bush's irresponsible tax cuts are going to create serious long-term problems for the economy.
Not in keynsian economics; the tax less and spend more philosophy is intended to create jobs, and therefore more tax payers. It all evens out in the long run.
Finally, oil futures are now hovering around $44/barrel. High energy prices create intractable problems for the economy. Higher energy prices mean consumers have less to spend, thus further reducing consumer spending. Higher energy prices mean higher costs, thus lower profits for businesses.
Bush doesn't control oil prices. He can only encourage getting more sources for oil (domestic -- which he has done), or alternative power supply funding (which he has done). Kerry has wanted to impose even more taxes on gasoline in the past, and that would increase the cost for gasoline.
The reality is that the economically illiterate George Bush has driven the economy into a ditch. Are we going to trust his assurances that he knows how to get us out of the ditch, or are we going to hire a new driver?
What Bush has been doing has made perfect sense in the Keynsian economic school of thought.
It seems you have a superifical view of macroeconomic principles.
Originally posted by Skadi_the_Evil_Elf
One thing I DONT tolerate is some lefty pinko trying to tell me how to vote.
Originally posted by Skadi_the_Evil_Elf
One thing I DONT tolerate is some lefty pinko trying to tell me how to vote.
Originally posted by Skadi_the_Evil_Elf
And for my fellow third party folks, keep voting third party. Dont listen to this nonsense. Because we alone know its a pointless race anyway, you lose whether Bush or kerry, twin evils and traitors to America. The only way the third party system has any hope is for us to keep voting our way, keep pushing them as an option, and eventually, when this syetm crumbles, we shall have our day in the sun.