posted on Feb, 22 2012 @ 08:50 AM
I do believe that NM could experience a big one 'soon' but find your arguments poor at best. How about a little 'science', maybe like this
There is a long approx east west failed rift from east Texas thru Oklahoma in to Arkansas and possibly beyond. This intersects of comes damn close to
the Reelfoot rift which underlies NM. So what would activate these old rifts. Allow me to suggest 'post glacial rebound'
en.wikipedia.org...
The north central US was under miles of ice during the last ice age. With it gone the land is now rising, and the land south of the glaciers is
'sinking'. Not a great amount but this has been going on for thousands of years.
From the above link
The combination of horizontal and vertical motion changes the tilt of the surface. That is, locations farther north rise faster. This effect is seen
in lakes, where land rises at the northern end and sinks at the southern end. The Great Lakes of North America lie approximately on the 'pivot' line
between rising and sinking land. Lake Superior was formerly part of a much larger lake together with Lake Michigan and Lake Huron, but post-glacial
rebound raised land dividing the three lakes about 2100 years ago.[9] Today, southern shorelines of the lakes continue to experience rising water
levels while northern shorelines see falling levels.
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This places stress on the earth's crust and the old rifts are weak spots in the crust which will react to the stress. Look at it like a saltine
cracker with the 'seam' east/west. Lie it flat, push down just north of the seam and lift the far northern end. SNAP! Yes, Reelfoot runs mostly
north south but it is still a weak spot subject to reacting to stress.
Given the thickness of the earth's crust, when bending due to stress, the bottom will split open, allowing magma to enter/rise, and/or the top will
compress.
And, recent technology allows science to detect magma plumes. So, IMO, they know where it is prone to happen but the when and magnitude are not an
exact science..