*UPDATE* Jim Berkland (Geologist), W Coast Quake window starts March 19 2011 *ATS Experiment Added*

Originally posted by swordprince
reply to post by JohnnyAnonymous

 

The way I'm reading it is that there is a 90% chance of an earthquake of at least 3.5 in magnitude to hit those four areas. I've just proven that a 3.5 magnitude quake is not a rare occurrence in a 140 mile radius from either Mount Diablo or Los Angeles.

If I'm reading what he's saying incorrectly, I apologize and would appreciate an explanation as to what exactly he means.

It's a variable of 3.5 to 7.0 in magnitude with the minimum being of 3.5.. from what I understand, each 'full' step up is a magnitude that is 10x greater than it's last (I'm probably not describing that correctly), it gets larger exponentially in magnitude as it increases.


MARCH 19-26, 2011 PREDICTIONS
The extremely clear March window has a 90% chance of producing the following quakes: with at least one meeting each of the following criteria:

(1) 3.5 - 7.0M within 140 miles of Mt. Diablo
(2) 3.5 - 7.0M within 140 miles of Los Angeles.
(3) 3.5 - 7.0M with an epicenter located in Washington or Oregon.
(4) 7.0 + M major quake globally, probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire.


Now at least we have some locations..

...To put that in perspective...

The Loma Prieta earthquake, also known as the Quake of '89 and the World Series Earthquake, was a major earthquake that struck the San Francisco Bay Area of California on October 17, 1989, at 5:04 p.m. local time. Caused by a slip along the San Andreas Fault, the quake lasted 10–15 seconds and measured 6.9 on the moment magnitude scale (surface-wave magnitude 7.1) or 6.9 on the open-ended Richter Scale. The quake killed 63 people throughout northern California, injured 3,757 and left some 3,000-12,000 people homeless.

ALL birds are back on the Harbor.. Ingets,Ducks,Geese... a bunch... They we not there...

But back.
Still skipping Bay Area trip next week

Ok so I woke up from a dream this morning and didn't want to mention it because it seems to far fetched but I have read post about dreams before the quake in Japan so here is mine it wasn't detailed all I know is in my dream LA had just had a massive 9.3 quake although nothing in the dream could give me an idea when but with all the reports of dreams before the Japan quake I felt obligated to mention it.

No one where I live is reporting strange actions recently by there pets I live in Southern Oregon and I have not checked missing animals yet but will after a bit. I am still feeling the same as yesterday so no change there with the headaches, ear ringing and popping, extreme vertigo. thanks

since im not going to be able to listen to music probably till monday with my weekend full i figured it would be good for me to put on jerry garcia and friends - fire on the mountain... i felt it completely apropriate for my friday mood. stay safe everybody... just in case ya know.www.youtube.com...

reply to post by jalosangeles


Every single one of those quakes was in a 140 mile radius of downtown Los Angeles. Put the coordinates into Google Maps for yourself if you want to find out for yourself.

reply to post by JohnnyAnonymous


I very much realize the differences in magnitude between 3.5 and 7.0. But the way it reads to me is that a minimum magnitude 3.5 earthquake will hit within 140 miles of Mount Diablo and within 140 miles of Los Angeles. The fact that magnitudes scale exponentially doesn't change the fact that a magnitude 3.5 quake isn't super uncommon in California.

reply to post by swordprince


140 Miles is not "near" Los Angeles my friend.

I have not followed this thread……….I guess I have been too busy releasing info concerning synthetic microbes and attempting to track potential radiation plumes…….

I do have great interest in this topic and if someone could answer this simple question I would appreciate the response……..

From what I have gathered in reading the last couple of pages in this thread there is a 90% potential possibility “based” on his prediction of one of these quakes occurring?

Thanks anyone for the quick response……..

Originally posted by swordprince
Every single one of those quakes was in a 140 mile radius of downtown Los Angeles. Put the coordinates into Google Maps for yourself if you want to find out for yourself.

There really is no need for a squabble on semantics. The bottomline here is that if it were only a 3.5 EarthQuake that Mr. Berkland had foreseen (by his model/template) as a possible earthquake, I highly doubt that he would be getting any "media airtime" with a proclamation of a possible "major quake" occurring during this 'window of time'..

Gosh, I only hope it can be a smaller 3.5 versus a 6+ and above quake (if indeed we do get hit by one).

Johnny

Originally posted by Cloudsinthesky
From what I have gathered in reading the last couple of pages in this thread there is a 90% potential possibility “based” on his prediction of one of these quakes occurring?

Yes.. that is correct. Mr. Berkland who predicted the 1989 EarthQuake is predicting another major earthquake in the Pacific West Coast

www.newsweek.com...

The Scariest Earthquake Is Yet to Come and then mentions California.

But the rest of the article focus's on Japan. so the warning is in the title.

reply to post by JohnnyAnonymous

The Berkland shotgun method of earthquake prediction. Make that shotgun/horseshoes method.

A 3.5 within 140 miles of LA? That's a pretty safe bet. Between 1973 and 2010 there was a mean of 3 per month.

A 7.0 in the Pacific? A little tougher but not much, 0.7/month

A multiple choice prediction with "any of the above" making it valid. Really sticking his neck out there. It's not a prediction, he's playing the odds.

reply to post by Mercurio


Wow..destroyed by waves! Well I was also thinking that earthquakes involve waves, too..just something to consider

reply to post by JohnnyAnonymous


When he predicted the world series quake he cover a large geographical area namely California and Mexico. Now that is one hell of a big area to make a prediction over.

1989 World Series Earthquake four days before it struck, predicted (inferred) an earthquake will strike California and/or Mexico between March 19 to the 26th.

As to making a prediction that there is going to be a quake somewhere in a 150 mile radius with a magnitude of somewhere between 3.0 - 7.5 is a little general.

Since our Earthquake in New Zealand on the September 4th 2010 we have had more than 4500 aftershocks that were greater than 3.0. We are about 25 3.0+ mag quakes per day.

So I predict that in the next week (19th to the 26th March) somewhere within a radius of 300 kms of Christchurch there will be a 3.0 - 7.5 mag quake. Hell right now I could predict to the day a 3.0+ mag quake.

well i live in auckland new zealand i don't know if this is of any help but for the last year i have this ringing noise that comes and goes it's usually in my left ear and last from 30sec to a min

last night i had got home and started to cook dinner for my partner when all of a sudden my right ear started ringing much louder than what im used to, then i had a wave of dizzyness or more like motion sickness i was curled over the bench my partner told me to sit down i felt as if i was going to faint i lied down and my head was spinning but after 10min i felt much better im not sick don't have any health problems and i rarely get sick maby once or twice a year so this feeling was very strage and the first time ive felt like so sick to my stomach

don't know if this will be of any help thought i would post anyway no animals in my area im city center and live in an apartment sorry i could help on that side of things

karma

star and flag great thread hope nothing comes of this the world has already got enough going on atm it does not need another blow!

Originally posted by JohnnyAnonymous


(4) 7.0 + M major quake globally, probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire.

Have to have a laugh at this prediction, that sure does cover one hell of a large area Globally. Annually there are on average 15 7.0+ mag quakes globally. With many of them on the ring of fire.

Last year (2010) we had 21 7.0+ M quakes globally.

Originally posted by greenfruit

Originally posted by JohnnyAnonymous


(4) 7.0 + M major quake globally, probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire.

Have to have a laugh at this prediction, that sure does cover one hell of a large area Globally. Annually there are on average 15 7.0+ mag quakes globally. With many of them on the ring of fire.

edit on 18/3/2011 by greenfruit because: (no reason given)

I Agree 100%, hence why it is in the "predictions" area. This thread wouldn't even exist if Mr. Berkland had not made a public appearance in the mainstream news. I have always had my suspicions when it comes to what some in the geosciences frontier make claims as to having some 'model' for predictions. Although I do believe that there may be something to some type of indicators such as animals turning up missing or other factors involving wildlife acting not normally.

I don't think anyone has stumbled upon being able to put all the pieces together yet, but I do find some theories interesting, hence this little experiment in trying to collect some data/information. For the most part, much of it will be flawed even if a major quake happens, but still it might lead to some interesting results if only on the human side of how some information might influence responses (even if that is in the psycho-semantic realm).

Originally posted by greenfruit
reply to post by JohnnyAnonymous

 

When he predicted the world series quake he cover a large geographical area namely California and Mexico. Now that is one hell of a big area to make a prediction over.

1989 World Series Earthquake four days before it struck, predicted (inferred) an earthquake will strike California and/or Mexico between March 19 to the 26th.

As to making a prediction that there is going to be a quake somewhere in a 150 mile radius with a magnitude of somewhere between 3.0 - 7.5 is a little general.

Since our Earthquake in New Zealand on the September 4th 2010 we have had more than 4500 aftershocks that were greater than 3.0. We are about 25 3.0+ mag quakes per day.

So I predict that in the next week (19th to the 26th March) somewhere within a radius of 300 kms of Christchurch there will be a 3.0 - 7.5 mag quake. Hell right now I could predict to the day a 3.0+ mag quake.

edit on 18/3/2011 by greenfruit because: (no reason given)

what does "or Mexico" means? The city of Mexico or like in this picture, some other states of Mexico who are under California?

reply to post by jalosangeles


Actually 140 can be "near" to Los Angeles, depending on the quake. Last year's Easter quake on the Cali/mexi border was felts several hundred miles away. I felt it fairly strong and I was 200+ miles from it.

If it hasn't been mentioned already.
Check the "missing pets" section of your newspaper, or their website.

Also regarding Berkland.
He strikes me as a common sense man, in a world of Chicken littles.
The Land has tides. and the Sun and Moon like to play with them like silly putty.
It's common sense.
Pay attention to Jim.

Originally posted by manticorex5
1989 World Series Earthquake four days before it struck, predicted (inferred) an earthquake will strike California and/or Mexico between March 19 to the 26th.

what does "or Mexico" means? The city of Mexico or like in this picture, some other states of Mexico who are under California?


I can not say for sure but if I were to take a guess, i would assume that Mr. Berkland is covering for all areas of the the "Ring of Fire" in the Pacific Northwest.

But that is just a guess on my part.

Johnny