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As fascinating as the history of Yellowstone volcano is, however, most professional geologists who study the site are not concerned that the park is on the brink of a catastrophic eruption. The bulge on the bottom of the lake may have been there for thousands of years, but not noticed until the recent survey. Changes in the geyser activity is not unusual. New geysers have appeared throughout the history of the park, while others go dormant. Rangers often shut down parts of trails or alter them as needed.
The idea that Yellowstone may be "overdue" is also faulty. With only three catastrophic eruptions and two intervals between to go on there is not enough data to say that another one should be occurring in the near future.
Originally posted by MMPI2
it may very well erupt...in the next 10,000 years or so.
it will not erupt in the next 10 generations of humans.
Originally posted by kalenga
reply to post by Klassified
I started this thread as I tried to post on the Yellowstone bulging thread but it said I could not. I am linking this to that thread as this is obviously a new development after these articles were written?
www.abovetopsecret.com...
Originally posted by Klassified
There were two threads on the topic, and a mod shut the one you tried to post in down. The active thread is here: www.abovetopsecret.com...
I'm with you on this one. While we can't say conclusively that it occurs at regular intervals, the previous 3 eruptions created 2 intervals that are reasonably similar, so I don't think it's grasping at straws to say that maybe, just maybe, the next interval will also be in the same ballpark as the last 2 intervals!
Originally posted by Klassified
How is it that it "MAY be overdue" faulty, if there isn't enough data to say either way? Sounds more like what he's saying is we simply don't know. It may, or may not be.
I'm glad you found the information at that link helpful. I'd like to add that I don't agree completely with some of the stuff at that site, such as the heading saying it's about to blow, at least not on a human time scale, though an eruption may (or may not) be imminent on a geologic time scale which means within the next 200,000 years based on the previous 2 intervals. That site is a mixture of some really whacky far out stuff (that I don't agree with, from the obviously failed prediction it would erupt in 2004 to visions), to some useful information.
Originally posted by kalenga
reply to post by Arbitrageur
Thanks so much for the link at the bottom of the map. There is a lot to read so I haven't finished yet.
But I am overjoyed to see links to the 'Super Volcano' documentary series.
Well if you want to be scared about something, there's a long list of things you're far more likely to die from than Yellowstone. On that basis I'm not too scared. Let's say it will blow sometime in the next 200,000 years and kill 2 billion people when it does, that's 10,000 deaths a year on an annualized basis.
Originally posted by kalenga
reply to post by Klassified
I don't even live in the US and I am scared if this does blow!