Quake Watch 2011

reply to post by boo1981


The Babuyan quake is a bit like the Vancouver Island one. Not unknown and not particularly significant:

Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2011-03-20T08:26:10.000Z,19.03470,121.24990,5.9000,31.4000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-12-16T06:23:32.000Z,19.30830,121.27870,4.4000,32.5000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-10-04T12:08:27.000Z,19.67120,121.77470,4.9000,38.9000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-10-04T01:38:30.000Z,19.35000,122.16000,5.5000,30.0000,BABUYAN ISL REGION PHILIPPINES
2010-10-04T01:38:29.000Z,19.36230,122.18930,5.5000,32.0000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-09-30T09:00:24.000Z,19.75850,121.43600,5.6000,15.3000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-07-21T01:14:43.000Z,19.14180,121.23400,4.6000,31.8000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-05-10T18:56:33.000Z,19.05040,121.18030,4.9000,24.8000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines
2010-04-19T00:02:36.000Z,19.60630,120.40900,4.8000,37.9000,Babuyan Islands region. Philippines

Source: My own database drawn from USGS and other sources.

humm, The USGS have changed there earlier reading? They said it was a 6.1 now they put it at a 5.8? Do they usually do that?
Also, jeez those recent quakes are deep !!

Listen to this radio broadcast and then read my mutterings.

www.sciencefriday.com...

I was going to post this yesterday and explain how well the Chileans prepare and deal with large earthquakes.
I'll let you search and find out what they're doing right.

At first I thought this was a marvelous broadcast and I thought the geophysicist was entertaining and informative. But the something bugged me about what I had just heard. I had heard the original airing, and recently I went back to listen again so I could put the Japanese earthquake into context. For some reason I hesitated to post, and began to wonder why I was puzzled.

Well, it's because the geophyicist was wrong. He was wrong to state that Darwin was the father of geology. This is what bugged me. I remembered that Hutton was the supposed father of modern geology. Yes, Hutton. So, I went back and made sure I knew what I was talking about and found that indeed Hutton was the inspiration. Darwin wasn't even born when Hutton was looking at funny rock formations and wondering, what's up with that?

It gets better. Hehehe. If you search "father of geology", you'll get lots of other supposed "fathers of geology.

Charles Lyell
William Smith
Robert Mallet (considered the father of modern siesmology) (but, an Irish exhibit called him the "father of modern geology)

www.irishtimes.com...

And I'm search there was some "wild ideas" before Hutton. No discovery, or idea is very truly unique in every aspect. Although I criticize the "established geologists" of our time, I could do it there was no data, or scientific papers to debate. Just like earthquakes, they are not single events. They are processes. Just like the moon. The tides, and the whole life support systems here on earth. Not forgetting the other bodies in our solar system which created viable world.

So I applaud all your efforts here. It's part of a larger dynamic. All I'm really trying to say is that you need to look at the whole picture and understand the history of science. You need to accept that there is a great volume of knowledge, but at the same time, there is still a vast voids in our understanding of the world. For example, we very little about life in our deep oceans. There are really cool bacteria living in thermal vents. I could go on and on explaining how much we don't know.

Did the moon causes any quakes during the "Supermoon"?
I don't know?
Well, it doesn't neccessarily cause earthquakes directly in the first place. It is a triggering mechanism. Which only happens in a very complex manner. And it is really only seen when you look at statistical data over a long period. You need supercomputers to calculate all the data. And even then it is subtle and poorly understood. It is also preplexing because it can be counter-intuative. I have a study which says exactly this, but I don't have a clue where to find it at the moment.

I can only state what I've observed. I have been watching the lunar cycle and I see acting differently at different times depending on what kind of fault you are watching. To say the very least, it is absolutely preplexing. And that's why I love this study. It forces me to reassess my views constantly. It keeps me lookin for clues and patterns.

I have only observed one conclusive earthquake event that was triggered by the lunar cycle. Sorry, two events.
The Yellowstone Lake Swarm of 2008/2009.
And the Madison Plateau Swarm starting on January 15th, 2010.

As far as the recent world-wide quakes, it's impossible to define any earthquake as related to the moon because we had a tremdous siesmic event that changed the whole equation before the "Supermoon" ever happened.

Do know what event I think is the strangest of all? It's the Florida mystery movement. I could make an argument that it was from the "big earthquake". Shifting sands and a methane release. Or even come up with an argument for the moon. It was a tidal shift which lead to a methane release. Or it could be a combination of both factors which caused sudden change off the shores of Florida. The cause isn't the most important part anyway. It's the fact we're curious and we want to explore the possiblities. And that's science in a nutshell.

Science is observation.
We are scientists.
Keep watching.

Originally posted by zenius
#

* Reference Number: 3481489
* NZDT: Sun, Mar 20 2011 9:47 pm
* Magnitude: 5.1
* Depth: 10 km
* Details: 10 km east of Christchurch


* Reference Number: 3481486
* NZDT: Sun, Mar 20 2011 9:43 pm
* Magnitude: 3.0
* Depth: 5 km
* Details: 10 km west of Lyttelton

The ones earlier today further south seem to have settled.

geonet

edit on 20-3-2011 by zenius because: link

There was also a 4th Mag 4 quake near Twizel, to the SE of the other 3 and significantly deeper
Mag, Lat, Long, Date/Time UTC, Depth
4.469, 3481316, -44.42447, 170.06039, 2011/3/20 0:39:23, 92, Not Felt
magma.geonet.org.nz...
Well I'm of two minds now about Ken Ring, Jim Berkland etc being able to make predictions based on the moon/tides.
Although a 5.1 is just a moderate quake in the big scheme of things, thats a significant Lyttelton aftershock, with 34 MM6 intensity (slightly damaging) reports to Geonet www.geonet.org.nz... and it can't be discounted as an accurate prediction.
Perhaps the 4 x Mag 4 quakes down by Twizel earlier in the day took some of the pent up strain away from the Bromley hit.
This is the 5th Mag 5 aftershock of the Lyttelton/Port Hills segment 6.3 quake, and if you hold the view that these are still all part of the Darfield 7.1 then its the 18th Mag 5+ aftershock of that
NZ Mag 5+ earthquakes 1930-2011

Just came across a fascinating article that ATS member "soficrow" posted in a brand new ATS thread called ATS Thread - Strong Earthquakes Increasing. Disrupting Planet's Magnetic Field?

Here's a bit of the article:

Some scientists theorize that the sudden melting of glaciers due to man-made climate change is lightening the load on the Earth's surface, allowing its mantle to rebound upwards and causing plates to become unstuck.

These scientists point to the historical increase in volcanic and earthquake activity that occurred about 12,000 years ago when the glaciers that covered most of Canada in an ice sheet several kilometres thick suddenly melted.

The result was that most of Canada's crust lifted -and is still rising.

Scientists have discovered that the accelerated melting of the Greenland ice sheet over the last 10 years already is lifting the southeastern part of that island several millimetres every year.

Source - Scientists Link Melting Glaciers To Earthquakes

Food for thought.

ETA - Robin, I'm really looking forward to your thoughts about this one.

reply to post by UtahRosebud


The weight of molten ice is the same as water, so the molten ice enters into the oceans making them heavier.
By this theory then, ocean and sea floors should be subsiding?

reply to post by UtahRosebud

Sounds plausable, but where are the earthquakes on Greenland

Iceland?

Originally posted by UtahRosebud

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 4.4
Date-Time Sunday, March 20, 2011 at 04:20:39 UTC
Saturday, March 19, 2011 at 09:20:39 PM at epicenter

Location 49.910°N, 128.216°W
Depth 9.9 km (6.2 miles)
Region VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION

USGS Source

I couldn't find this earlier
EQ Canada say 3.8ML (thats classed as "minor")
earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca...

Moon above earth 2030 hrs

hisz.rsoe.hu...
20.03.2011 12:45:29 4.6 Asia Japan Ukedo
20.03.2011 11:45:13 3.0 Asia Turkey Balatcik
20.03.2011 12:45:20 5.1 Asia Japan Nagasakicho
20.03.2011 11:50:13 2.1 North America United States California Dinsmores
20.03.2011 12:45:12 4.8 Asia Japan Niiyamahama
20.03.2011 13:45:34 5.3 Pacific Ocean - East Tonga Nopapu
20.03.2011 13:45:24 2.8 Asia Turkey Caksirlar
20.03.2011 13:45:15 5.8 Asia Japan Otsuchi ***
20.03.2011 14:00:24 3.2 Pacific Ocean New Zealand Woodville County Aranui
20.03.2011 14:45:22 5.0 Asia Japan Ukedo
20.03.2011 14:45:12 2.1 Europe Greece Nerotrivia
20.03.2011 14:40:14 2.4 North America United States Hawaii White Sands Beach Estates
20.03.2011 15:50:35 4.7 South-America Colombia La Mari
20.03.2011 15:50:25 4.9 Pacific Ocean - Middle Solomon Islands Temuo
20.03.2011 15:50:15 3.0 Asia Turkey Seklik
20.03.2011 16:55:52 5.1 Asia Japan Nagasakicho ****
20.03.2011 20:00:21 4.8 Asia Japan Nagasakicho
20.03.2011 21:00:53 4.5 Asia Japan Nagasakicho
20.03.2011 16:55:42 2.1 Europe Greece Glifa
20.03.2011 16:55:32 5.1 Asia Japan Ena
20.03.2011 16:55:23 5.0 Australia & New-Zealand New Zealand Okiwi*****
20.03.2011 16:55:12 2.5 Europe Spain Vilaller
20.03.2011 21:00:43 4.5 Asia Japan Tomioka
20.03.2011 17:55:22 5.0 Asia Japan Ena
20.03.2011 17:55:13 4.9 Asia Japan Ena*
20.03.2011 18:55:42 5.4 Asia Japan Futawatashihama*****
20.03.2011 18:55:32 5.2 South-America Chile Yolanda Norte*****
20.03.2011 20:00:12 4.6 Asia Myanmar Kawmat
20.03.2011 18:55:22 4.9 Asia Japan Niiyamahama
20.03.2011 18:55:12 2.6 Europe Greece Ayios Andonios
20.03.2011 18:45:18 2.2 North America United States California Mountain Home
20.03.2011 19:05:14 2.4 North America United States Alaska Tanacross
20.03.2011 19:10:15 2.4 North America United States Oregon Beaver
20.03.2011 21:00:33 4.2 Asia Japan Tono
20.03.2011 21:00:23 4.7 Asia Japan Terama
20.03.2011 20:55:13 3.1 North America United States Alaska Happy Valley
20.03.2011 20:35:12 2.1 North America United States California Curry Village
20.03.2011 21:00:13 2.1 Europe Italy Casa Sampieri
77 earth movements since midnight good many japan,new zealand, .chiles on the radar as well

reply to post by gringoboy


I see what your trying to say there, and appreciate the work put into it, but if you take out the >mag 5's and the Japan aftershocks, it doesn't leave much that is different than any other day does it

Thats why I can't really buy into the lunar influence 100%

In fact if you take Japan out of the equation, there ain't much happening at all really. < 5.0

Last 7 Days without Japan
5, 2011/03/20, 19:46:57, -25.092, 179.542, 513, .1 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS
5, 2011/03/20, 15:20:28, -31.072, -179.835, 312, .3 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
5.3, 2011/03/20, 11:47:44, -18.8, -174.927, 138, .6 TONGA
5, 2011/03/20, 17:12:25, -24.892, -70.03, 47., 2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
5.5, 2011/03/20, 8:00:51, 22.396, 121.421, 17., 3 TAIWAN REGION
5.9, 2011/03/20, 8:26:10, 19.035, 121.25, 31., 4 BABUYAN ISLANDS REGION, PHILIPPINES
5, 2011/03/20, 14:05:01, -3.506, 145.829, 9.5, NEAR NORTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G.

5.4, 2011/03/19, 8:35:00, -22.075, -68.441, 101, .3 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
5.3, 2011/03/19, 18:43:03, -10.206, -13.205, 10., 0 ASCENSION ISLAND REGION
5.3, 2011/03/19, 12:11:17, -19.475, 167.955, 42., 9 VANUATU REGION
5, 2011/03/19, 20:08:11, 6.68, 38.499 , 15, ETHIOPIA
5.2, 2011/03/19, 2:33:47, 0.812, 97.439 , 32, NIAS REGION, INDONESIA

5.2, 2011/03/18, 23:34:31, 24.243, 125.279, 34., 1 SOUTHWESTERN RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN

5.1, 2011/03/17, 11:14:24, -32.518, -71.537, 19., 2 OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE
6.3, 2011/03/17, 2:48:00, -17.339, 167.743, 15., 2 VANUATU
5.1, 2011/03/17, 0:55:03, -32.465, -71.531, 23., 3 OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE
5.4, 2011/03/17, 1:00:08, -57.913, -25.685, 85., 8 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
5.8, 2011/03/17, 8:03:04, -17.283, 167.899, 27., 8 VANUATU
5, 2011/03/17, 15:34:33, 40.512, 79.057, 18.7, SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA

5.1, 2011/03/16, 0:10:09, -21.217, -176.7, 268, .3 FIJI REGION
5.4, 2011/03/16, 13:42:34, 19.033, -67.918, 56., 0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION
5, 2011/03/16, 18:23:09, 29.412, 141.806, 23., 7 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
5.3, 2011/03/16, 22:36:17, -32.469, -71.424, 24., 7 VALPARAISO, CHILE

5, 2011/03/15, 3:25:20, 1.781, 31.298 , 10, LAKE ALBERT REGION, UGANDA

5, 2011/03/14, 20:41:25, 50.995, 156.495, 133, .9 KURIL ISLANDS
5.3, 2011/03/14, 3:17:00, -17.625, -174.802, 206, .9 TONGA
earthquake.usgs.gov...

graph of that


Note the Christchurch Bromley 5.1 ML last night (20th) didn't make the list, USGS gave it a 4.5ML/mb rating

I know this may seem small, but Bali had a small quake last night
* Earthquakes
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Magnitude 4.3 - BALI REGION, INDONESIA
2011 March 20 16:29:21 UTC

Versión en Español

* Details
* Summary
* Maps
* Scientific & Technical

Earthquake Details

* This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 4.3
Date-Time

* Sunday, March 20, 2011 at 16:29:21 UTC
* Monday, March 21, 2011 at 12:29:21 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 8.497°S, 115.024°E
Depth 9.6 km (6.0 miles) (poorly constrained)
Region BALI REGION, INDONESIA

A friend who lives there said they never get quakes on the island, maybe had one or two her entire life. That whole area I think (and PM may disagree) has become more active since Japan.

reply to post by UtahRosebud


Listen carefully to the scientist in this interview on NASA's assessment of the axis movement. He describes how changes affects our rotation. He mentions glaciers melting. A change in glaciers will change stress loads and lead to quakes. But there's another factor. Glaciers acted as an insulator. Without the glaciers, magma under Iceland and etc, will become hotter and more explosive. All of this is following the basic laws of physics.

www.sciencefriday.com...

reply to post by zenius


For the past 2 years I have the following data. I have put the ones off shore in italics

Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2011-03-20T16:29:21.000Z,-8.49680,115.02400,4.3000,9.6000,Bali region. Indonesia
2011-03-10T17:08:36.000Z,-6.86240,116.76480,6.5000,508.1000,Bali Sea
2011-03-05T19:34:23.100Z,-7.92000,116.73000,4.0000,302.0000,BALI SEA
2011-02-26T05:06:30.700Z,-8.58000,115.11000,4.5000,165.0000,BALI REGION INDONESIA
2011-01-30T16:37:35.000Z,-7.14160,117.20870,4.3000,600.6000,Bali Sea
2010-12-12T15:59:19.000Z,-6.00380,117.70530,5.4000,32.6000,Bali Sea
2010-12-12T09:31:52.100Z,-7.76000,117.25000,4.4000,295.0000,BALI SEA
2010-08-22T16:12:46.000Z,-7.46000,115.31000,4.2000,312.0000,BALI SEA
2010-04-16T05:46:26.000Z,-7.97000,117.58000,4.5000,10.0000,BALI SEA
2010-03-02T04:55:10,-6.94000,115.78000,4.6000,510.0000,BALI SEA
2010-01-18T08:18:25.000Z,-6.32330,114.31190,5.3000,511.5000,Bali Sea
2009-09-19T02:40:12.000Z,-9.26550,115.67450,4.3000,82.8000,south of Bali. Indonesia
2009-09-18T23:06:57.000Z,-9.17060,115.60730,5.7000,74.1000,south of Bali. Indonesia
2009-09-08T15:18:18.000Z,-7.79650,117.41370,5.1000,285.5000,Bali Sea
2009-06-14T03:36:02.000Z,-7.66280,117.23390,5.4000,35.0000,Bali Sea
2009-01-20T12:34:34.000Z,-10.65250,115.07490,4.9000,35.0000,south of Bali. Indonesia

Source: My database based on USGS et al.

Granted it does not leave many on land - 6 in 2 years, I guess the current ones may have something to do with the 6.5 on the 10th March this year despite the great depth.

As you say, worth watching.

Anyone noticing a significant amount of late 4's to late 5 earthquakes around the pacific rim today. Typical Honshu concentration but a large number appearing:

quakes.globalincidentmap.com...

There a concentration on the lower west side and what appears to be larger than normal hits to Chile and Columbia..

reply to post by jimmy909


I believe Colombia was a 4.7 and the last bigger on was 02 March and was a 5.6. The Chile quake is a 5.0 which is nothing out of the ordinary for Chile, in fact on the 06 March they had a 6.2.

By the way that site is missing data in the North Atlantic, a 4.8 on the Northern Mid Atlantic Ridge on the 16th but maybe they consider that too old. It still shows in USGS data on Google Earth.

reply to post by muzzy


This is true but observation from a slightly different angle and how the theory seems to be the pacific ring goes in cycles japan,chile,new zealand ,clockwise.same time .

20.03.2011 18:55:42 5.4 Asia Japan Futawatashihama*****
20.03.2011 18:55:32 5.2 South-America Chile Yolanda Norte*****

There has been strange observations of the moon since the quake,especially tychos region www.abovetopsecret.com... ,however I have not witnessed it first hand yet,I will be looking soon to observe if the axis of earths tilt has altered the angle of view of the moon,nevermind the celestials.Earthquakes and the moonnews.nationalgeographic.com...

Most earthquakes occur on preexisting tectonic lines, and the vast majority do occur as a result of geophysical processes, but there may be some correlation [between the moon] and earthquakes," Chester said. For example, he said that in general there is a higher incidence of earthquake activity in the Northern Hemisphere when the moon is north of the Equator and an increase in earthquake activity in the Southern Hemisphere when the moon is south of the Equator.

and axial tilt move ! www.presstv.ir...

According to Italy's National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, the 8.9 magnitude earthquake in Japan on March 11 has also shifted the position of the Earth's figure axis, and moved the whole planet by 25cm.

just saying theres a lot to observe,this is just another viewpoint,remember what happened after chile,the scientists are baffled ?Now this,something odd going on,I do agree nothing disasterous to report on the supermoon ,but it has to reorbit lower in its ecliptic southward,which it is heading to right now over the coming days and according to the national geo article at its apex,is the watch hour .www.youtube.com...

Thats how much the earth needs the moon and the sun,and not to forget all are moving at 220 km a second through the galaxy,as thats the spped the suns moving at,and earth and moon keep up with it,big picture,big think !.Forgot physicsworld.com... and phases dates www.new-age.co.uk... and suns speed earthsky.org...

There are various estimates for the speed the sun travels through the galaxy, but its speed is about 140 miles per second.

All seems wacky but really ,what we all fail to know in reality is the bigger perspective is way out there and way wacky.
peace[

Is something wrong with USGS or has earthquake activity worldwide really come to a near standstill in the last couple of hours? It sure is quiet. It's a little unsettling. I should get familiar with the other sites that monitor earthquake activity...

Originally posted by thinkingthing
Is something wrong with USGS or has earthquake activity worldwide really come to a near standstill in the last couple of hours? It sure is quiet. It's a little unsettling. I should get familiar with the other sites that monitor earthquake activity...

Seems usual to me,.
Over all the daily activity was quite a bit
but I still think we will see some quakes soon,.

I have a question for whoever wants to answer it that has been bugging me. I don't know if it has been discussed or not, so my apologies if it has.

The Chile earthquake happened on Feb 27 2010, then exactly 188 days later on Sept 4, the Christchurch NZ 7.2 earthquake happened. Then exactly 188 days more, the Japan earthquake happened.

Is this just a coincidence or is something else going on every 188 days to have some kind of influence on the planet to cause these quakes? It does seem strange to me. Just curious.. Anyone?

ETA; 188 days from the Japan quake will be Sept 15. Does this date have any kind of meaning to any of you?

reply to post by kennylee
what was before the Chilie quake?
my interest is up