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Originally posted by quietone77
S&F airspoon for such an eloquent post...
Some of us have considered the angles, as you posit in your OP. I think an essential attribute of the modern truth-seeker, infowarrior or what have you is to take any information in with a grain of salt...
I for one was eagerly awaiting the leak, expecting evidence of complicity in prisoner transfers, violations of the Geneva Conventions, etc. Like you say, we have no way of knowing if or if not the whole thing is a disinfo op, and likely never will.
As other posters have stated, the whole thing seems to reinforce the agenda of TPTB...I find myself looking elswhere and wonder what the purpose of the show is, what I am missing elsewhere.
Like you stated, i find myself WANTING to believe the whole WL fairytale...and thus I am wary...edit on 30/11/2010 by quietone77 because: edit to add
Originally posted by arufon
well i guess we know now who the government (dis)information operatives are in ATS.
Originally posted by backinblack
Originally posted by backinblack
reply to post by airspoon
Airspoon...
I'm just curious where your feelings really lie in regards to these leaks..
You have this thread pointing out they could be dangerous disinfo etc.
Then you start another thread accepting them as facts..The Saudi thread..
Where are you, you're all over the shop..????edit on 29-11-2010 by backinblack because: (no reason given)
Repost because you obviously missed it last time Airspoon..
Originally posted by Baldur
reply to post by quietone77
Because the US:
1) Doesn't care about dissenting opinion. When you split a diplomatic job up into pieces, with each member knowing the ultimate goal, every member will push for maximum effect. Likely ambassadors are just ignoring dissenters, or actively working against them using Machiavellian tactics.
2) In the Saudi/Arab example specifically, but also applying more generally too is the fact that the US ARE NOT TALKING TO THE PEOPLE. They are talking to state leaders and corporate interests, in this case rich old Saudis who just want to make more money. These Saudis are dictators, and don't represent the will of the people. Check my thread on Iran for more details, including opinion polls of the Middle-Eastern public - they don't agree with their dictators.
Originally posted by airspoon
reply to post by Baldur
For instance, you ask me to clarify what I mean by 'way of life' and then you go on to tell me the ideological arguments against the 'American way of life', which honestly has nothing to do with the thread or the point made in the thread. Whether people agree or disagree with the 'American way of life', matters not in the context for which the term was used, nor the main points of the thread.
Your whole post there is sort of all hay, so it's not as if I forgot you or I am ignoring you, it's just a path of reasoning that matters not to the point made in the OP.
The point made in the OP was not to prove or disprove that WikiLeaks is disinformation or a government operation. Instead, the point of the thread was to point out the potential dangers associated with such an organization, especially one that operates in the 'dump method' such as WL. The point was to point out the apparently not-so-obvious dangers that exist with an organization such as WL. For instance, the very real danger that WL could be spreading disinfo, whether intentionally or unintentionally. Also, the real danger that people miscalculate the scope of effectiveness of such an organization. I can't tell you how many times in the past 24 hours alone (since this latest dump), that I have heard people say that the government isn't up to anything particularly bad because WL would have exposed it. That is a danger presented by WL, as it misinforms people of the level success or effectiveness that WL has with creating transparency in government.
So, unless you can debate the point of the thread, such explaining to me how there is no way that disinformation can make it through WL, how we can trust WL in spite of the very real threat of disinfo or misinfo, or how the organization overall is more of a benefit to society, than a burden (in spite of the fact that they seem to be a distraction by misleadingly exaggerating their scope of effectiveness), then a viable response from me is unlikely, past this one here.
What I believe is happening, is members are allowing their emotions to dictate a response, as opposed to objectively weighing the information of the OP. The only thing people seem to be seeing, is that an argument is being made against WL and so they go into the typical defense mode, while not even being relevant in that defense of WL. I'm not arguing against making information public or creating transparency in government, as I believe those things need to happen. Rather, I'm arguing the method of approach by WL and the effectiveness that it may or may not have, along with the benefits and/or burdens of that effectiveness, both perceived and real.
Have a wonderful day.
--airspoon
Originally posted by quietone77
Originally posted by Baldur
reply to post by quietone77
Because the US:
1) Doesn't care about dissenting opinion. When you split a diplomatic job up into pieces, with each member knowing the ultimate goal, every member will push for maximum effect. Likely ambassadors are just ignoring dissenters, or actively working against them using Machiavellian tactics.
Maybe, maybe not. But from what I see, an individual at a diplomatic post is given free reign to report on the breadth of an issue candidly. I would expect no less from a subordinate if I was SECSTATE. Are you implying a kowtowing of the 'party line' at every diplomatic post abroad? *shudders*
2) In the Saudi/Arab example specifically, but also applying more generally too is the fact that the US ARE NOT TALKING TO THE PEOPLE. They are talking to state leaders and corporate interests, in this case rich old Saudis who just want to make more money. These Saudis are dictators, and don't represent the will of the people. Check my thread on Iran for more details, including opinion polls of the Middle-Eastern public - they don't agree with their dictators.
I reserve judgment on WL until everything is out, but the (implied) spin on what is out kind of stinks.edit on 30/11/2010 by quietone77 because: bad html
Originally posted by Baldur
Of course! Think about it - if somebody detracts from the party line they get reported higher-up as a person of interest. Did you see the German and Chinese ambassadors that did that? They got profiled by the ambassadors of the government that they were discussing with, profiles that can be used later in bargains and threats. If Obama heard about a politician in the Middle East saying we should be bombing the Israelis and not the Iranians, he'd have the guy out of the country faster than you can snap your fingers.
There's also plenty personal bias for Ambassadors to toe the party line - brownnosing! The more you stick to your job's official role, the more information you gather and the better tactics of dubious morality yet large effect you develop all play a part of deciding if you get to be the next one to go on a fully government-funded trip to the East where rich aristocrats toss $100 bills at child dancers and blocks of gold are exchanged as gifts, where drunken champagne-drinkers ride around on jet-skis and discuss the latest fashions.
Surely you can see the incentive?
Of course not all people are greedy/evil/insane, at least not on purpose. One of our problems with the current system is reflected on a drone gunner - a guy works 9-5, goes to work in a suit and has an American wife and family he comes home to every night, but by day he emotionlessly shoots people in a drone control booth designed to look like a videogame. Or the bankers that siphon money from the top of the system as bonuses, with their big houses and pseudo-intellectual table talk about popular psychology. The same people that own 18 cars and 4 properties, perhaps using 1/2 the rooms of one property. Or the British royal family's dinner party - check what the Prince said in one of the cables about investigative journalism.
Are these people evil? No. Are they out of touch? Yes.
But as for the Saudis, you can check any news story you like on Saudi princes. You'll find that they are essentially legitimized warlords that come from an oppressed country and are supported not by their people, but by the American government.
Although I did provide evidence that I don't believe it's a disinfo campaign, your post equally doesn't provide any evidence it is. We're talking about possibilities, and I'm saying that the possibility of Wikileaks BEING disinfo is very remote for multiple diplomatic reasons I went into.
and I'm saying that the possibility of Wikileaks BEING disinfo is very remote for multiple diplomatic reasons I went into.
Any information provided to WL is vetted and examined thoroughly
therefore, when in doubt they wait to get more information on documents if they are unsure of the factuality.
Then again, they don't generally check if there are any ulterior motives for the leakers. There is one exception to this that I know of, the whole oil company incident, but what you call 'disinformation' would not be factually incorrect (if it's been vetted correctly) so therefore is not disinformation, you understand? It's information, albeit perhaps presented for propaganda reasons. IF IT'S WELL VETTED AND THE KNOWN TRUTH, IT'S NOT DISINFORMATION OR MISINFORMATION.
There's nothing objective with what you've said
You're especially not objective, as you're American and have a vested interest in this information because it is related to your country and diplomatic relations.
You're also a conspiracy theorist, prone to your own set of cognitive biases.
Read my post again, I agree that you do bring up a few good points but my argument is that the chances of those points being applicable are remote due to them not making any political sense. Understand?
Originally posted by airspoon
reply to post by Baldur
I have provided evidence that WL is spreading disinfo, however circumstantial that evidence may be.
Furthermore, I'm not claiming that I know it is disinfo. Instead, I'm claiming that there is a very great likelihood that disinfo would be spread through WL, effectively calling the operation into question.
Again, I'm not arguing that I know (that WL is disinformation), only that it has a hole and that it has a very real possibility that it will (spread disinfo). Also, it still isn't an effective vessel to [cause] (transparency in government), in spite of the fact that many people believe it will and thus are devoting their time to [wikileaks].
Due to the simple fact that WL, or an organization such as WL, doesn't have the access to deeply classified material, it makes their boat ineffective at traversing the ocean, even if it did float in spite of the gaping hole in the bottom.
How can you say that it is a remote chance? Your basing your assumption on flawed logic. Your basing your assumption, presumably so, on the idea that it would all have to be disinfo, as opposed to disinfo seeded in accurate information. If I was going to spread disinfo, I would have to seed it with real and accurate info, as to give some credibility to that disinfo and I would have to add some embarrassing things to myself, though of which would not garner myself any real or expensive consequences.
Furthermore, with the "embarrassing" information released thus far, no real diplomatic consequences will be realized. Sure, if diplomatic ties relied on the superficial, such as friendship, however that is completely negating the fact that other nations have diplomatic ties with the US out of necessity. Ambiguous name calling, will not cause diplomatic ties to sever. These are business men who have learned through a lifetime of raking in money, that personal feelings and profit should be separated.
If I was to spread disinfo, I would do so by releasing embarrassing information such as what was released. In fact, the embarrassing information that was released, couldn't be any better for the task of spreading disinfo, as none of it has any real consequence past slight embarrassment.
Think about it. If all of the information released only made out the government in a good light, nobody would believe its authenticity.
How do you know? Because they say so? That's a faith based assumption.
Furthermore, their vetting process is only effective at keeping normal people, as opposed to the government itself, from attention seeking by filing false information. So, even if they are telling the truth and they are vetting this information, you have to think how they are vetting it. How do you vet classified information? Really the only way you can do that, is to identify where and who it is coming from and if the government wanted to covertly spread disinformation, that kind of vetting process wouldn't catch it, as it would be coming from the government. You could maybe corroberate it with other leaked information, but only on a small portion and the corroboration is with the entity that is possibly spreading disinformation. So, if WL itslef was intentionally spreading disinformation as a disinfo campaign, they could simply be telling you that they are vetting their info.
If WL is unintentionally spreading disinfo, then their vetting wouldn't be able to catch this, as they would be vetting it through the source (government), which is spreading the disinfo. That is the major flaw (or whole in the hull) of the method for which WL operates, a dump site.
That is the flaw because the only way they can check on government information, is through the government itself. Think about it. If the government was effective at tricking the Soviet Union (or even the Mafia) with disinformation (such as an undercover operative/agent), then they would surely be able to do the same for WL. It all boils down to WL having to vet their info through the government and if the government is the one spreading disinfo, then their vetting process would not be able to expose disinformation coming from the government.
Do you think they have some magic method of vetting classified information that would bypass the government. Do you really put that much faith in organization run by some dude? Come on and snap back to reality.
First of all, that is again flawed logic (see above). Again, the only way that WL can confirm this information, is to identify the source and his/her access to the information, unless of course they are government sponsored, in which case one has to wonder if they are intentionally spreading disinfo. If it is the government spreading the disinfo, then of course their source will be confirmed as having access to this information.
It sounds like you have been watching too many movies or you are simply putting too much faith in the word of someone, which is the problem with the government lying in the first place. Many people seek the truth because they are not willing to blindly put faith in someone's word, exactly what you are doing here. Why would one argue that they shouldn't have to put faith in the word of government, then turn around and put faith in Assange or WL?
Again, it all boils down to how or where WL can vet this information and since it is classified government information, the only place they can vet it, is through the source and identifying his/her access to this information, in which case the government could easily exploit this to spread disinformation. That is of course if they are even telling the truth and you want to put faith in their word to begin with, but then you are simply shifting faith from the government, to someone else. Even if you do or can put faith in their word, that still doesn't speak for their ability to effectively vet this information from government exploitation.
The logic in my post is objective, obviously my opinions are not. My opinions are clearly labled as just that, opinion. However, the reasoning is objective. I would want nothing more than for an organization to come along and expose government corruption, however when one does, I'm going to objectively weigh the scenario or operation and pick out any flaws. Clearly, WL can not viably comfirm whether classified information coming from the government, is not disinformation, as the government would be the only ones to have this information and so their vetting process would be superficial in terms of government itself. Sure, their vetting process would be effective at weeding out joe-shmoe from trying to reap some reward money, but it would be ineffective at stopping the government from spreading that disinfo, especially considering the resources of both parties.
You can weigh something objectively, while not having an objective opinion. In fact, that is the hall mark of intellect and scientists and academics do it all of the time. I'm a historian/author by profession and weigh information objectively all of the time, though my my opinions are just that, opinion and they reflect my biases. Being American or having a vested interest in the outcome of a scenario, does not mean that one automatically lacks the ability to weigh something objectively. If that were the case, then we would hardly have any intellectual advancement.
Everyone is a conspiracy theorist, as everyone believes in theories involving conspiracy. In fact, I would say that the degree to which I theorize about conspiracies is much less than even the average person which doesn't frequent these sites.
For instance, if you believe in the 9/11 OS, you are a conspiracy theorists, as that is a theory regarding a conspiracy. You would be just as much a conspiracy theorists as someone who believes the government did it or that aliens did it. To demonstrate my level of theorizing on conspiracies, I have no conclusion as to who committed 9/11 and I offer no theory about it, only evidence, as I need proof before coming to a conclusion, unlike most who apparently believe in the official conspiracy theory. So, if you are calling me a conspiracy theorists in regards to my threads on 9/11, you are wrong, as I am one of the rare people who weighs the subject objectively and doesn't conclude without undeniable proof. I have my opinions, but that is completely seperate from my research, as is the case here with WL.
Originally posted by airspoon
"Whoever shall trade a little liberty for a little security, deserves neither and will lose both" --Ben Franklin
"Give me liberty and give me death." --Patrick Henry