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Originally posted by Centurionx
ALL CAPS...
Makes you cool.
It is Cal, so the law of averages will one day move in his favor. I want something out of the norm that only a true prediction would be able to pick.
Why earthquakes, how about a town that gets wiped by a tornado, place and time would be a rather good prediction.
If something over 5.0 occurs this weekend, I would consider him more credible than I did prior.
Originally posted by Xtrozero
So if this doesn't happen can we use it as validation he is a phony?
Originally posted by GAOTU789
reply to post by Delphiki
If something over 5.0 occurs this weekend, I would consider him more credible than I did prior.
That doesn't add anything to his credibility. Thats like saying he predicted a F5 tornado in Kansas and giving him credit if a F1 hits. There is a high probability that a 5 magnitude earthquake will hit somewhere in the So Cal region this weekend. Its a extremely active seismic area. They have already had a 4.0 today.
The difference between a 5 magnitude earthquake and a 7.7 as predicted is like the difference between firecrackers and nuclear bombs. They both go boom but have a very different affect.
Originally posted by ikan104
Originally posted by Xtrozero
So if this doesn't happen can we use it as validation he is a phony?
No, because he doesn't claim to be able to predict earthquakes 100% accurately. Nor is he making his predictions by supernatural means.
He is using thermal temperature changes caused by frictional heating of the tectonic plates to measure probabilities.
So he is saying based on his scientific data, an earthquake is probable. Not for sure, but probable.
Originally posted by Delphiki
I live near the area. They haven't had a 5.0+ in the last 2 years. So if he predicted a 7.7, and something over a 5 occurs, I think it would add to his credibility. To clarify: it would be something out of the ordinary.
Originally posted by jazz10
Out of curiosity but what was the time scale regarding the rainbow clouds before when an earthquake struck?