UK GENERAL ELECTION - Your predictions

325 - Conservatives
143 - Labour
145 - Liberal Democrats
10 - SNP
5 - Plaid Cymru
1 - BNP
1 - UKIP

[edit on 4-5-2010 by airvicemarshal]

I reckon the tories are going to win by a minority so it'll be a hung parliament.

I'm undecided as to who i'm going to vote for yet. As usual i'll spend a few hours on Weds looking at all their policies in more detail before i cast my vote.

One thing i know for sure though, I'll NEVER vote for the tories. Their past history in introducing the pol tax in scotland first, stopping free milk for children in schools and causing thousands of miners and their families severe hardship will never be forgotton.

I really think the Conservatives will win perhaps with a small margin. Labour and Liberal Democrats with similar numbers.

Even the Operation Blackjack telegram shows the new leader as David Cameron.

What is to vote for? Brown, Cameron and Clegg are all different heads of the same beast.

In my constituency there is only one alternative, so I'll vote for them, but it will do nothing to stop any of the 'main 3' from gaining power. The media reports as though they are the only parties running for election - where are the minorities in the debates? Not considered worthy?

If you vote any of the top 3 parties you're just asking for more of the same.

reply to post by Pr0t0


I completely agree. Watching all the election debates and hearing the 'impartial' hosts summing up with 'so which one of these three are you going to vote for?' Its a flawed system and it doesn't work.

reply to post by Pr0t0


I completely agree. Watching all the election debates and hearing the 'impartial' hosts summing up with 'so which one of these three are you going to vote for?' Its a flawed system and it doesn't work.

I predict a Conservative win.

Conservative Party..... 39%
Liberal Democrats...... 29%
Labour Party.............. 25%

Wont make the slightest difference who wins what.

Next election will see us go to the poles with less freedom than we have right now.

They are all singing from the same sheet. They just hit different notes.

When it comes to New Labour, nothing adds up.

I predict a Conservative win.

Conservative Party..... 51%
Liberal Democrats...... 39%
Labour Party.............. 125% < Electoral fraud. Gordon Brown is off to prison.


A vote for for Gordon Brown and New Labour = ID cards, more surveillance with cameras everywhere, chips in you're bins & silly fines, council snoopers with invasive powers to enter you're homes, a national DNA database, a digital economy bill where every website and email you send is monitored, longer NHS waiting lists and you'll probably need to reincarnate first before you'll get to see you're medical test results. More immigration and no jobs for British people which means more unemployment, but not to worry I'm sure Gordon Brown will be only too happy to increase you're giro by an extra £2 a week and increase your state funded pension by 30p.

The Tories said they will scrap ID cards, DNA database, reduce surveillance and government snooping, reduce NHS waiting lists & test results and introduce the biggest back-to-work push in UK history with contracts for jobs, more apprenticeships & business support. That's good enough for me. They've got my vote.

There is no reason whatsoever to vote for New Labour unless you have rocks in your head.

If the Tories fail on their promises, then it's safe to say that the demand for rope will go up.


[edit on 5-5-2010 by kindred]

I think the Tories will get the biggest vote but not necessarily the largest no of seats, Lab and Lib Dem will cooperate to form a govt whose main purpose is to push through a form of PR and maintain the status quo in other depts.

This will result in a new election in about a year under the new PR system hopefully then there will be a Liberal welfare state social libertarian party I can vote for, failing that Green.

Personally I want a hung parliament... less of a prediction than a hope..

Perhaps then we'll get the message across that no one is happy with them, perhaps forcing a little change without resorting to voting extreme parties..

I'm happy with the FPTP system, just not the whip or party politics.. as I tend to vote on a person rather than a party line...

In my location both Lab and Tories work hand in hand to screw the locals.. there is no difference between them..

I believe it will be a hung parliament. I believe Cameron will claim victory in a hung parliament. In doing so he will be challenging the constitutional convention that says if Britain votes for a hung parliament, the existing prime minister gets the first chance to form a government. www.guardian.co.uk...


This is going to be the most interesting elections most of us will have witnessed, i'm looking forward to it, although dreading a Conservative government.

reply to post by airvicemarshal

I may be wrong, but I think that this election may be more unpredictable than usual, because it's difficult to tell how localised reactions might skew the final result. I suspect that calculations based on the usual assumptions about "swing" might not work as well as they usually do.

For example, what might be the effect of the one-off "local" independent candidates? Even if they win no seats, which parties will be losing votes to them? How many voters will decide to "punish" candidates for "expenses" scandals, even if the actual culprit was the candidate's predecessor?

If some voters are boycotting the polls in general disgust, who will get the benefit of that? I've always had a suspicion that John Major benefited, in the election he won, from the "deregistration" part of the anti-poll tax campaign. I hope that's true, because it appeals to my sense of irony.

My prediction;
Conservatives with an overall majority, but a smaller one than suggested in the OP.
Labour struggling to retain second-party status.
The number of successful "local" independents larger than the number of successful BNP candidates.



[edit on 5-5-2010 by DISRAELI]

People will think they are voting for Lib/Lab/Con.
What they are really voting is for the EU.

I'm voting UKIP because the islands public services are already under immense pressure.

Another wave of unskilled immigration will destroy this country.

I thought the debate was a joke, the Green Party, SNP, UKIP, BNP and other parties should have had their chance to address the nation. Yes even the BNP even if we don't agree with them, this is supposed to be a democracy. That way ALL parties should have been involved in the debate.

Isn't the point of those debates to get away from the numbers and chaos of Westminster and advertise your policies to the British public.

Why should those 3 parties get debates on national TV when all three won't have a referendum on Lisbon?

Lab 27%
Lib 29%
Con 31%
UKIP 5%
BNP 3%
Green 3%
Other...

I predict a marginal Conservative victory. The reason is because the majority of media in the UK is conservative.
Sadly, most people have so little understanding of economics that they are completely incapable of interpreting how any individual policy fits together with others & what the overall effect will be on what is & always will be the most important issue in any election, ie how much money is there & what should it be spent on? The result is that people have no choice but to listen to claims made about the effects of policies, because they cant work it out for themselves. Thus, when the bulk of the claims being made support Tory policy, that message will be believed by more people.
For instance, the "jobs tax" spin. Sounds plausible, eh? Labour policy of increasing NI contributions means employers will employ less people, right? 2 things that conservative media never mention tho is:
1) that a 1% increase in NI is a drop in the ocean of any company's turnover which could only be significant if the company had already failed.
2) the Tories intend to scrap Regional Development Agencies which help small businesses access funding & other incentives from both the UK govt & the EU. Rather strange when you consider that its also Tory policy to encourage groups of public sector employees to form their own companies to provide the service themselves & it is precisely this type of new business that RDAs help most.
I am a small business person. I'm dreading what the Tories will do to us.

Guardian is also running a prediction thing.

This sum's up this election pretty well if you ask me. I don't mean to litter the thread with who I'm voting for, but he speaks about what the main parties have avoided throughout this campaign.

www.youtube.com...

I'm only voting UKIP because they are the only party that aren't neo-nazi's that are euro-skeptical.

Lib/Lab/Con are now puppets of unelected EU President Herman Van Rumpoy and his unelected EU commission because none of them will give us a referendum on whether or not we want to be governed by Brussels.

Change of management, not a change of government. Remember that when you see our newly elected Prime Minister in the coming days.

[edit on 11232009 by RWM88]

The only result possible, if you go by the polls, Is a hung parliament.


The way the system Is set up, the Lib-Dems would need something like 44% of the votes to have an overall majority... whereas labour prob need about 23% or something. It's ridiculous.

I think It'll be a Tory majority, followed by Labour and Then the Lib-Dems.
And the Lib's and Labour will join forces and outvote the Tories on everything.

Libral Democrats may win....

Parliment will be hung and we will see election reform. We will go back to the polls in November and we may have a propotianal Governance, this will speed up our journey into Europe.

reply to post by RWM88



Not true, The Tories are Euro Skeptic and Cameron has said that if he's prime-minister, then we will not join the eurozone.

So UKIP are not the only party who are Euro Skeptics...


BTW... I like that aspect of the Tories but that's it, I wont be voting "Dave" so don't take my comments as me trying to drum up support, I was merely pointing out that the Tories are also Anti-Europe/ Euro-Skeptic