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The monster storm, which is more aggressive than Hurricane Katrina when it made landfall near New Orleans, was expected to continue to track south west across the islands tonight however in the past two hours the satellite maps have revealed the eye of the storm has started to now track south, meaning conditions will remain severe tonight in the east but possibly may not get any worse. While this slight shift won't ease conditions in the far north eastern group of islands it may well spare the main island of Fiji including the capital Suva and holiday resorts near Nadi. Cyclones are well known for "zig zagging" and it will take another hour or two to confirm if this is a change in direction or merely a wobble. WeatherWatch.co.nz's head weather analyst Philip Duncan says the storm looks incredibly dangerous. "The eye of the cyclone is clear to see on the satellite maps. Tomas is an aggressive storm that is unfortunately very likely to cause widespread damage to the north eastern Fijian islands" The strongest winds are gusting up to 270km/h. Tomas is currently a weak Category 4 cyclone and overnight will most likely become a strong Category 3. "There is very little difference between a weak cat 4 and a strong cat 3. Either way this is a very serious tropical storm".
Tropical Cyclone Ului, currently category 4 also, is now heading in to the open waters of the Coral Sea. Philip Duncan says while these are twin cyclones they certainly aren't identical. "Born on the same day in the same part of the world but the two are quite different. Tomas is larger in size but isn't predicted to get any more intense, if anything he will weaken tonight. Ului on the other hand is smaller but will be far more intense - a bit like a figure skater pulling its arms in Ului will spin faster and cover less area".
The severe tropical cyclone is predicted to become an intense Category 5 cyclone by midnight tonight NZT with winds gusting up to 350km/h. Computer models show the cyclone will brush the Queensland coast and WeatherWatch.co.nz says coastal damage could be severe with "phenomenal seas" likely. Current estimated time of arrival for Ului in Australia is this weekend according to WeatherWatch.co.nz with northern New Zealand potentially in the firing line around Wednesday next week.
It has weakened somewhat in the last few hours but we are anticipating it will reintensify, possibly into a category five again, early tomorrow but it will still be well offshore."