posted on Feb, 8 2010 @ 04:45 AM
Call the time ''T''. Start the Bid at $10 and the Ask at $11.
I'm a broker. The first thing I do is go short and hit the Bid for $10. I now have $10. I am only one single broker though, and the other brokers are
ganging up to take the market higher. I'll catch on eventually, but for now I'm going to have to play catch up. The market closes at $11/$12.
That's T.
Now it is the next day. This is T+1. The market opens at Bid $11, Ask $12. The first thing I do is hit the bid for $11. Now I have $10 from yesterday
and $11 from today, for a total of $21. The other brokers are still going higher though. They want the market at Bid $12/Ask $13. Oh well, tomorrow is
another day.
Now here it is the third day, T+2 for me and my first short sale. The market opens at Bid $12, Ask $13. The first thing I do is go short some more and
hit the bid for $12. Now I have $33 in my account and I am keeping track of three short sales at $10, $11 and $12. The other brokers are still going
higher. Market closes at Bid $13, Ask $14. If forced to cover all my shorts at the asking price of $14 I would be liable for 3 x 14 = $42. All I have
is $33. Oh well, tomorrow is another day.
Alright. Day four. The day of reckoning has arrived. It is now T+3 for me and my first short from $10. The market gaps like crazy and opens at Bid $17
and Ask $18. Who cares? Not me. I'm having fun. The first thing I do is short again hitting the bid twice for $34 (17 x 2). Now I have $67 in my
account. I've got to settle my first short from $10 so I cover at the asking price of $18. Now I've got $49 in my account and the game continues. I
have more and more cash, more and more shorts, a higher and higher price, and when the other brokers finally decide to take the market down I will
learn a bit and make a killing.
EDIT: This is a really simplified example, but remember, I'm a broker so I'm holding all the cards (ie. all my customers' cash and stocks) and I
can balance my book as long as nobody demands too much cash withdrawal. Most people buy and hold stocks, so I'm safe. At least until there is a major
run on my brokerage operation.
[edit on 8-2-2010 by Cabaret Voltaire]