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Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
I would give you the advice that if you want to discuss this you should be reading peer-reviewed literature instead of depending on the false CLAIMS made in BLOGS which are pushing for an agenda...
GHGs only retain for a while radiation in the form of heat and slowly release it into space....
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Yet none of your knowledge makes you an expert on Climate Change does it?
You are doing exactly the same thing you accuse some other scientists of doing, and based on what exactly? Flawed computer models, and research papers which have been rigged because some people, and groups are pushing for a globalist agenda?
Which part of their paper do you disagree with?
Are GCMs perfect, and they account for every factor that affects the climate?
Does the greenhouse effect of Earth's atmosphere react in the same manner in a greenhouse?
That is part of what these two scientists are trying to convey with their paper.
Mankind does not have the power to stop, or even mitigate Climate Change.
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Oh yeah right... i forgot, when someone agrees with you, and they resort to do nothing more than attack the messenger then they are telling the truth... Phew, I guess we are learning quite a few things in this thread...
BTW, just because someone agrees with you they are not displaying common sense.
Again your responses keep showing that you really have no idea on what it takes to discuss scientific topics.
Good day to you too, and good luck with your new religion.
[edit on 28-1-2010 by ElectricUniverse]
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Originally posted by Byrd
BSc (double major) in Biology and English
MSc in Biomedical Engineering
MSc in Anthropology
Finishing a PhD in Information Science.
Taught anatomy, calculus, and general math at universities, taught chemistry, physics, and biology at the high school level, taught math and geoscience at the junior high school level.
Yet none of your knowledge makes you an expert on Climate Change does it? Don't you see the irony of your statements? You are doing exactly the same thing you accuse some other scientists of doing, and based on what exactly? Flawed computer models, and research papers which have been rigged because some people, and groups are pushing for a globalist agenda?
Originally posted by Byrd
It's a sloppy and unprofessional paper, and I stand by that remark.
Does the greenhouse effect of Earth's atmosphere react in the same manner in a greenhouse?
That is part of what these two scientists are trying to convey with their paper.
Are GCMs perfect, and they account for every factor that affects the climate?
You know, or should know that GCMs have been found to be flawed time and again, and they do not account for every natural factor that affects the Earth's climate.
Why should we be making any decisions based on flawed computer models which have been shown to be wrong time, and again?
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Originally posted by Essan
Maybe they should have spent 5 minutes reading Arhennius first?
Again with Arrhenius?... Arrhenius claimed that with a doubling of atmospheric CO2 temperatures would increase 5-6C. Since his time atmospheric CO2 levels have increase to 90+ and temperatures have gotten NOWHERE close to even 2.5-3C... Arrhenius was wrong sorry to say...
Then again he was right about one thing... He stated that the Earth would become GREENER, trees, and plants would be stronger and there would be higher yields in harvests which could be used to feed people... In that he was right, but obviously his claims that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 would increase temperatures to 2.5C -3C was wrong sorry to say.
Even when Arrhenius adjusted the values, AGAIN, he claimed temps would increase to 1.6C, and with water vapor temps would increase to 2.1C, again not only was he wrong, but he got it backwards. He actually thought atmospheric CO2 contributed more to the greenhouse effect than water vapor, and that is also wrong.
If this was true according to Arrhenius, and after he adjusted the values AGAIN, then temperatures would increase 1.6C because of atmospheric CO2, meanwhile water vapor would only increase temperatures by 0.5C. This is wrong, and we know this very well now, except for the AGW fans obviously.
His claim that temperatures would increase more because of CO2, and not because of water vapor is not only absurb, but it is idiotic.
We know for a fact that water vapor in the troposphere contributes at least for 95% -98% of the greenhouse effect, meanwhile CO2 and the rest of the GHGs contribute to about 2% -5%. And that is just one of the MANY estimates.
We also know for a fact that GCMs, the Gods of AGW fans, are flawed because they depend on false assumptions which do not stand to scrutiny.
When the atmosphere warms, it can hold more water vapor which increases the levels of atmospheric water vapor naturally. This means the warmer it gets, the higher that the levels of atmospheric water vapor increase naturally, and that is the main GHG, and the one that affects temperatures in any dramatic way.
Then again I have posted also peer-reviewed research that shows the oceans have warmed more than the atmosphere, which again shows the warming was/is not being caused by ghgs in the atmosphere, but by other NATURAL factors, and yes there are MANY natural factors that affect Climate Change.
Do you understand the fact that you are living in a planet that is affected by what happens in space?
Going after CO2 because "environmentalists/AGW fans have a funny feeling about it" that you should demand for taxes, and for the elimination of a perfectly good gas, which is essential for all life on Earth, and which the Earth is deprived of right now, it is not only naive, but dangerous.
We have a big problem with food resources right now, and sequestering atmospheric CO2 will not only cause the worse environmental impact mankind has ever caused, but it would also cause for the starvation of billions of people, apart form the billions that are starving right now...
Again I keep pointing out to the irony that escapes environmentalists. They want "what is best for nature" yet they want to deprive of nature of a gas, CO2, which is beneficial, and essential to it...
Originally posted by Byrd
Never claimed to be.
Originally posted by Byrd
No, I said that:
* they're mathematicians, not physicists (which is true)
Originally posted by Byrd
* they have a good track record in topology and Abelian maths (which is true)
Originally posted by Byrd
* they wrote a very unprofessional paper that couldn't make it past your standard journal review (which is also true since most journals are NOT peer reviewed but are juried.)
Originally posted by Byrd
* I agreed with someone else's assessment of some of the problems in the paper.
Originally posted by Byrd
Their methodology, their definitions, their very unscientific references (Journal of Irreproduceable Results... sheesh. They might as well cite the Onion as a scientific journal.) It ain't science, no matter how many formulas they tossed in there... it's op-ed.
For the fictitious atmospheric greenhouse effect one cannot watch anything, and only calculations are compared with one another: Formerly extremely simple calculations, they got more and more intransparent. Nowadays computer simulations are used, which virtually nobody can reproduce [143].
The Journal of Irreproducible Results (JIR) is a magazine of science humor.[1] JIR was founded in Israel in 1955 by virologist Alexander Kohn and physicist Harry J. Lipkin, who wanted a humor magazine about science, for scientists. It contains a unique mix of jokes, satire of scientific practice, science cartoons, and discussion of funny but real research. It has passed through several hands and is published in San Mateo, California as of 2004.
Originally posted by Byrd
I don't mind them writing op-ed. But when they pass op-ed off as rigorous science, I'll call them on it.
Originally posted by Byrd
As many have explained, "greenhouse gas" does not mean the same thing as "greenhouse." The fact that THEY don't understand that distinction speaks very poorly of their research.
Originally posted by Byrd
Two very prominent counterexamples: the expansion of the Sahara desert and the North American dust bowl. We did manage to get the dust bowl under control, otherwise we'd have a huge desert in the middle of America and our climate would be very different.
Originally posted by Byrd
Desertification is an interesting topic and changes climate. I don't know if you'll be interested enough to read much about it... I've browsed some of the information on it.
Originally posted by Byrd
Meanwhile I'm going to continue with my remediation monitoring research and modeling.
.................
I feel that what I learn may in some small way support environmental remediation issues around the world and can lead us to understand how to terraform other planets.
Originally posted by metamagic
I've noticed over the years that when someone can no longer justify their position, they tend to resort to finger-pointing, name-calling and diversionary accusations that have nothing to do with the argument at hand. I suspect I see the same pattern here.
Originally posted by metamagic
Since I'm seeing that in your responses to most of the posts that disagree with you, I think that the value of this thread as debate has pretty much exhausted itself.
Originally posted by metamagic
For the record EU, I am not a proponent of any particular position on climate change, I'm still trying trying to evaluate the arguments on all sides --
Originally posted by metamagic
nature tends to be a lot more subtle and complex than the simplistic positions put forth by "true believers" on both sides of political debate on the issue.
Originally posted by metamagic
The one thing you might also consider is that by climate change, we mean the climate of the whole earth, including the biosphere. And that includes us. For the sake of our descendants, we cannot dismiss out of hand something when there is a possibility that it will have a negative impact on them. Possibly including massive population die-off.
Originally posted by metamagic
You might be right, it might all be a political scam, but at this point the data suggests that is not the right answer, and as long as that is the case, I will resist any effort to write off the whole issue as a hoax or scam. It is just plain irresponsible.
Originally posted by metamagic
Best wishes to you EU and blessings on your household.
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
Thank you. The moment I read they were trying to present the Earth as a closed system, I knew that these physicists had to have had mail-order doctorates.
I mean c'mon, how ridiculous do you have to be before someone catches on?
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
.................
On edit: After reading electricUniverse's posts, apparently one has to be extremely ridiculous before some people catch on...
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Go ahead and EXCERPT the statement which you claim these scientists say the Earth is a closed system....
Then they make the point that climate models used to predict catastrophic global warming violate the second law of thermodynamics. The law states any closed system left to itself will continually deteriorate toward a more chaotic state. The German scientists illustrate how the idea of heat flow from atmospheric greenhouse gases to the warmer ground violates this principle.
The "greenhouse effect" was so named because it is believed, mainly by the AGW proponents, that the ghgs in the atmosphere ACT AS A GREENHOUSE.....
What these two scientists are stating, among other things, is that GHGs in the atmosphere DO NOT ACT AS A GREENHOUSE.... that this is a fictitious claim....and it is true because a greenhouse is a closed system where there is no air circulation...
The term "greenhouse effect" is an analogy to greenhouses, and as all such things is not exact, and can and has been abused.
There is considerable confusion on the matter and a more thorough discussion is useful for understanding how greenhouses and the greenhouse effect work. Many sources make the "heat trapping" analogy of how a greenhouse limits convection to how the atmosphere performs a similar function through a different mechanism involving absorption and emission of infrared absorbing gases.
Originally posted by mc_squared
Ughh...
I honestly don't know why I'm still bothering - but it literally makes me cringe to see people butchering proper science the way you are right now.
.........
In theory Wikipedia is a “people’s encyclopedia” written and edited by the people who read it - anyone with an Internet connection. So on controversial topics, one might expect to see a broad range of opinion.
Not on global warming. On global warming we get consensus, Gore-style: a consensus forged by censorship, intimidation, and deceit.
I first noticed this when I entered a correction to a Wikipedia page on the work of Naomi Oreskes, author of the now-infamous paper, published in the prestigious journal Science, claiming to have exhaustively reviewed the scientific literature and found not one single article dissenting from the alarmist version of global warming.
..
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
Thank you. The moment I read they were trying to present the Earth as a closed system, I knew that these physicists had to have had mail-order doctorates.
I mean c'mon, how ridiculous do you have to be before someone catches on?
For crying out loud... READ what they are saying instead of jumping to conclusion based on the claims of members who didn't even bother to read the research....
quote]Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Go ahead and EXCERPT the statement which you claim these scientists say the Earth is a closed system....
[edit on 30-1-2010 by ElectricUniverse]
Then they make the point that climate models used to predict catastrophic global warming violate the second law of thermodynamics. The law states any closed system left to itself will continually deteriorate toward a more chaotic state. The German scientists illustrate how the idea of heat flow from atmospheric greenhouse gases to the warmer ground violates this principle.
The "greenhouse effect" was so named because it is believed, mainly by the AGW proponents, that the ghgs in the atmosphere ACT AS A GREENHOUSE.....
What these two scientists are stating, among other things, is that GHGs in the atmosphere DO NOT ACT AS A GREENHOUSE.... that this is a fictitious claim....and it is true because a greenhouse is a closed system where there is no air circulation...
This is part of what they are saying...
[edit on 30-1-2010 by ElectricUniverse]
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
(all that stuff)
[edit on 31-1-2010 by ElectricUniverse]
From this short tutorial, the scientists go on to show the vast difference in physical laws between real greenhouses and Earth's atmosphere. They expose the fallacies in accepted definitions of greenhouse effect from several popular sources. "It is not 'trapped' infrared radiation which explains the warming phenomenon in a real greenhouse but the suppression of air cooling." Gerlich and Tscheuschner explain Earth's atmosphere does not function in the same way, nor does it function in the way global-warming alarmists describe as "transparent for visible light but opaque for infrared radiation."
Then they make the point that climate models used to predict catastrophic global warming violate the second law of thermodynamics. The law states any closed system left to itself will continually deteriorate toward a more chaotic state. The German scientists illustrate how the idea of heat flow from atmospheric greenhouse gases to the warmer ground violates this principle. There would have to be a heat pump mechanism in perpetual motion in the atmosphere to transfer heat from a low to a high temperature reservoir, and such a machine cannot exist. They call the greenhouse effect a fictitious mechanism. "The claim that CO2 emissions give rise to anthropogenic [man-made] climate changes has no physical basis."
Originally posted by C0bzz
First of all, they suggest that the earth is in radiative equilibrium
Equilibrium by definition implies no overall change.
Originally posted by C0bzz
So, no real surprise here. Misrepresent the science and then "prove" that it is wrong. Classical straw man.
Originally posted by C0bzz
Does this prove wrong AGW?
Do you mind actually excerpting where they are saying this?
Really? and why, because you say so?...
Humm...let's see...between the hundreds of peer-review research that disprove AGW, the scores of scientists who happen to have experience on the subject of Climate Change and have been trying to wake up people like you.
Between the fact that the leaked emails show your idols were rigging the data, erasing, and or hidding evidence, and using any and every legal, and illegal way to keep people in the dark, and to discredit any scientist who dared to try to publish any research disputing AGW.
So you tell me.....how much more evidence must a person see to realize that AGW is a scam?....