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Originally posted by kvondy
reply to post by freighttrain
Well we have a sunspot coming around on the lower hemisphere of the sun. With this solar cylce ramping up I would imagine it to grow simular to the way this one did. FAST. So lets see if there are any correlations.
BOULDER, Colo.—The sun may finally be awakening from its longest quiet period in about a century and powering up to solar maximum, when it could fling disruptive electromagnetic storms toward Earth.
Scientists won't declare the quiet period over until after a sustained stretch of activity, generally about three months, said Frank Eparvier, a scientist at the space physics lab.
Today, Jan. 19th at 1340 UT, Earth-orbiting satellites detected the strongest solar flare in almost two years. The M2-class eruption came from old sunspot 1039, currently located behind the sun's eastern limb. NASA's STEREO-B spacecraft recorded this extreme ultraviolet movie of the blast:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/5d3a313ecf92.gif[/atsimg]
Considering the fact that the sunspot is not even visible from Earth, the flare was probably much stronger than its M2 classification would suggest. This active region has produced at least three significant eruptions since Jan. 17th (including this notable flare) and it is showing no signs of cooling off.
At the moment only STEREO-B, stationed over the east limb, can monitor the active region directly. Soon, this will change. The sun's rotation is turning sunspot 1039 toward Earth and it should emerge for direct viewing within the next 48 hours. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor the east limb for developments.
I guess we should start being vigilant for a sunspot the shape of Yellowstone National Park. Isn't she overdue? That would make the Haiti quake look like a grenade.
Nope.
Above 7.7
Nope.
several seismic events above 6 in magnitude are expected in the Northern Hemisphere.
Even with all that wiggle room...Nope.
the quake-prone watch regions most likely to be effected are:
Indonesia
California
West Central Asia
Southeastern Europe (near Greece or Italy)
Hawaii
Well, he left enough wiggle room for that one. He just squeaked it in.
A separate coronal hole indicates a quake of lesser magnitude in the Solomon islands region in the Southern Hemisphere near the end of the watch period or shortly after.
31777050825 0431 0445 0440 N09E80SXI M 64 GOES 2.5E-02 10803 1.2E+04 1.2E+05
31777050825 1044 1053 1048 B 36 GOES 1.7E-04
31777050825 1104 1113 1108 N10E73SXI B 35 GOES 1.7E-04 10803 3.8E+02 7.0E+02
31777050825 1309 1315 1312 B 36 GOES 1.1E-04
31777050825 1339 1405 1353 N09E71SXI B 54 GOES 7.2E-04 10803 7.3E+02 1.8E+03
31777050825 1421 1435 1428 N09E72SXI B 58 GOES 4.2E-04 10803 1.0E+03 2.1E+03
31777050825 2259 2306 2303 N11E63SXI B 28 GOES 1.0E-04 10803 5.3E+02 1.1E+03
31777050826 0241 0338 0312 N12E68SXI C 13 GOES 3.3E-03 10803 2.3E+03 7.6E+03
31777050826 1139 1210 1155 N10E61SXI C 21 GOES 2.7E-03 10803 2.1E+03 9.9E+03
31777050826 1547 1621 1603 B 85 GOES 1.4E-03
31777050826 2152 2208 2202 N10E50SXI C 23 GOES 1.9E-03 10803 2.9E+03 9.8E+03
31777050826 2344 2358 2351 N10E55SXI B 50 GOES 3.7E-04 10803 6.5E+02 1.6E+03
31777050827 0916 0923 0920 N11E45SXI B 33 GOES 1.2E-04 10803 5.3E+02 1.1E+03
31777050827 2036 2105 2051 N10E37SXI C 14 GOES 1.6E-03 10803 1.7E+03 6.5E+03
31777050828 0627 0635 0631 B 15 GOES 6.6E-05
31777050828 0918 0930 0925 B 18 GOES 1.1E-04
31777050828 1017 1037 1028 N09E36SXI M 16 GOES 1.3E-02 10803 5.9E+03 5.3E+04
31777050828 1059 1105 1102 N10E29SXI B 82 GOES 2.4E-04 10803 9.8E+02 3.0E+03
31777050828 1942 1954 1951 N10E24SXI B 45 GOES 2.1E-04 10803 8.5E+02 2.4E
0508252348184733232737503723277 39 18 9 12 22 48 22 9 221.15 41 94.40
05082623481927272310 0101017123 12 12 9 4 0 4 4 6 60.31 37 95.20
0508272348202717201310 3 3 7100 12 6 7 5 4 2 2 3 50.21 42 94.00
0508282348212013 310 7101327103 7 5 2 4 3 4 5 12 50.21 46 91.60
Originally posted by drphilxr
When i asked MIT 'tempestologist'
kerry emanuel about a potential link between sunspot increased activity
(and flares) dumping increased (solar wind, gamma, proton flux, hotoelectron)
energy into our earth's weather system (via the ionosphere, etc), he said
it hadn't been looked at, but was quite plausible.
you are on to something....