reply to post by PuterMan
Maybe I should have said that I most of the time base my statements on historical data that I have from some areas from before 1900 up to
present day?
M 7.7, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, February 14, 1905
M 7.3, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, March 31, 1913
M 7.4, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, July 07, 1929
M 7.3, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, September 03, 1937
M 8.6, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, March 09, 1957
M 7.7, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, May 07, 1986
M 7.9, Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska, June 10, 1996
And several more in the range of M7. but I do not need to post now I guess.
I do not think that looking at the last 356 days would give any indication of anything. I believe that it have to be done using historic data from the
area. Then looking at the trends of "today" and then see how it fit the historical data and trends you have gathered about that particular area.
[edit on 9/3/2010 by Roald]