Quake Watch 2010

reply to post by Roald


www.gdacs.org...,%2010%20Aug%202010%205:23%20UTC&location=VANUATU

Here in NZ we had a tsunami alert - although I only got to hear about it via Facebook - great system, eh?!!

Not exactly a monster, though!! Cancelled now.

www.stuff.co.nz...

Civil Defence says a tsunami threat remains in place for New Zealand despite the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre cancelling its warning for New Zealand.

[edit on 10-8-2010 by MoorfNZ]

OMG a whole 23cm!!

... second wave...

Cancelled at 6:50pm NZST
www.civildefence.govt.nz...

Originally posted by muzzy
reply to post by Roald

 

www.gdacs.org...,%2010%20Aug%202010%205:23%20UTC&location=VANUATU

Unbelievable!
GDACS did predict an wave of 2,2 meter (7 ' and 2.61 ") at Port-Havannah.

[edit on 10/8/2010 by Roald]

The Quake in Vanuatu and Papua will be given in the Statistic of magnitude 7.0-7.9.

2010 has the most magnitude 7 quakes in 10 years.

2009 there were 16 magnitude 7 quakes, which we have already achieved in August ...

18 magnitude 7 quakes were recorded in 1999. I am sure we will catch up this year too.

If there is more than 18 magnitude 7 earthquake in this year, than have 2010 the most magnitude 7 quake in 20 years (achieved even more).

Frightening.

Statistics: 1990 - 1999 -> earthquake.usgs.gov...

Statistics: 2000 - 2010 -> earthquake.usgs.gov...

[edit on 10-8-2010 by Austria]

[edit on 10-8-2010 by Austria]

reply to post by Austria


Not only will it catch up, it will exceed it I think and by a margin.

What is frightening is that they are saying nothing.

Hmmm - look at the depth of the most recent 5.8 in Vanuatu.

It's gone from an average depth of around 35km to a rather deep 200+km

Magnitude 5.8
Date-Time

* Tuesday, August 10, 2010 at 23:18:33 UTC
* Wednesday, August 11, 2010 at 10:18:33 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 14.481°S, 167.195°E
Depth 202.2 km (125.6 miles)
Region VANUATU
Distances 115 km (70 miles) N of Luganville, Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
380 km (235 miles) NNW of PORT-VILA, Efate, Vanuatu
440 km (275 miles) SSE of Lata, Santa Cruz Islands, Solomon Isl.
2055 km (1280 miles) NE of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia

reply to post by MoorfNZ


35km is the figure they use when they cannot determine the depth from the data.

They were probably all deeper than that.

Originally posted by Austria
The Quake in Vanuatu and Papua will be given in the Statistic of magnitude 7.0-7.9.

2010 has the most magnitude 7 quakes in 10 years.

2009 there were 16 magnitude 7 quakes, which we have already achieved in August ...

18 magnitude 7 quakes were recorded in 1999. I am sure we will catch up this year too.

If there is more than 18 magnitude 7 earthquake in this year, than have 2010 the most magnitude 7 quake in 20 years (achieved even more).

Frightening.

Statistics: 1990 - 1999 -> earthquake.usgs.gov...

Statistics: 2000 - 2010 -> earthquake.usgs.gov...

Austria, you haven't been paying attention

Your report should have had at the start "ACCORDING TO USGS"

Credit that you put the links at the bottom though.

Those stats are wrong, 2007 had the most 7+ quakes in the last 10 years with 30

2009 had 21

2010 has equaled that now with 21

Major Earthquake, how many and where

All the data used there has been checked and cross referenced and checked again and again, the sources are in the popup tabs off the maps or listed on the right hand column.

USGS is only telling part of the story.

I wouldn't call it frightening though, we still also have yet to beat;
2008 (29 ), 1995 (25), 1957 (24), 1968 (22)

edit: 1999 had 21 , same as this year so far.

[edit on 11-8-2010 by muzzy]

Magnitude 6.0 VANUATU

Date-Time

* Wednesday, August 11, 2010 at 03:35:20 UTC
* Wednesday, August 11, 2010 at 02:35:20 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 17.382°S, 167.729°E
Depth 41 km (25.5 miles)
Region VANUATU
Distances 75 km (45 miles) WNW of PORT-VILA, Efate, Vanuatu
215 km (130 miles) SSE of Luganville, Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
290 km (180 miles) NW of Isangel, Tanna, Vanuatu
1875 km (1170 miles) ENE of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia

Based only on USGS figures there is still an increase in earthquake energy.

I have just added 1990 to the graphs and the energy release increase in even more marked.

[edit on 11/8/2010 by PuterMan]

reply to post by PuterMan


I don't suppose they ever replied to your mail, eh? Cause I've been watching and I don't believe that event has been entered on any list that I have seen. Fricken weird.

reply to post by TrueAmerican


I had to resend the email to Utah today and this time I did get a response about 2 minutes ago.

I have to say that I am not quite sure what to say....

This is what they said:

You are pretty close with the magnitude. We recorded it as a Magnitude 3.26, located 43.6017 -110.4217.
We record the Teton Seismic Network data. The network is maintained by the USGS. The regions we are responsible for are Yellowstone and Utah.
We do locate earthquakes in the area, but it is not in our "authoritative region" so our locations are not posted on the web. The NEIC at the USGS posts locations for M4.5+ and or felt events. We did a count yesterday and we have located 101 earthquakes in the area since August 4. Most of these are less than M 2.0, but 6 are M 3.0 or greater.

This places the quake here:


This is the list of 2.5+ for the 9th and it is NOT on it


Edit: This is what it says on the page re 2.5+


I shall be taking this up with USGS now.


[edit on 11/8/2010 by PuterMan]

reply to post by PuterMan


Excellent. Glad you are on their butts about it. 104 quakes since August fourth? WTF is going on with this new little hotspot of quakes? Could this be additional magma intrusion into the area? The consistently shallow depths of these quakes certainly would support that potential. But then again, it could also be magma EXITING the area. Hmm.

In either case, I am not happy that events are going unreported.

So it takes a few hobbiest ATSers watching GEE to catch this stuff? Grrr...

reply to post by PuterMan


So now the question at hand is - why are They (USGS)covering this up . I am not really surprised though as this is typical of Them. But, there must be something really going on that They are intentionaly blocking quakes that should automatically be added to the maps and lists.

Please post this in the Yellowstone thread as I believe this is pertinent.

[edit on 11-8-2010 by Anmarie96]

Puterman, something is going down right now in this new hotspot. I am getting repeated hits at that station (LOHW) in GEE. Very low level, but repeating. Swarm like. Could be a precursor. I suggest you open up GEE, tune in and watch.

reply to post by TrueAmerican


GEE station LOHW is showing up as a grey triangle with no data available Am I doing something wrong?

none in Sept?

Will 2010 be a record year for Very Strong (7+) quakes?
Of course there is no way of predicting the future, and we can only guess, based on historical data. Mother Nature doesn't work to a schedule ........... or does she?

Based on historical data over the last 40 years ( using the yearly graphs off my Major Earthquakes Project) lets look at what happened in the last 4 months of each year (didn't include August as we are half way through).

Interesting result, and not what I expected at all.

2009 - 8 quakes (none in Dec)
2008 - 8 quakes
2007 - 18
2006 - 4 (none in Sept or Oct)
2005 - 5
2004 - 14
2003 - 8
2002 - 5 (none in Dec)
2001 - 7 (none in Sept)
2000 - 7 (none in Sept)
1999 - 9
1998 - 2 (none in Sept, Oct or Dec)
1997 - 9
1996 - 3 (none in Sept or Dec)
1995 - 8
1994 - 5
1993 - 5
1992 - 7 (none in Nov)
1991 - 6
1990 - 3 (none in Sept)
1989 - 5 (none in Sept, or Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Jun, July or Aug for that matter)
1988 - 1 (none in Sept, Oct or Dec)
1987 - 6 (none in Dec)
1986 - 2 (none in Sept or Dec)
1985 - 7 (none in Oct)
1984 - 4 (none in Sept)
1983 - 5 (none in Sept)
1982 - 1 (none in Sept, Oct or Nov)
1981 - 6 (none in Nov)
1980 - 4 (none in Sept or Nov)
1979 - 5
1978 - 5 (none in Oct)
1977 - 2 (none in Sept or Dec)
1976 - 3 (none in Sept or Dec)
1975 - 8 (none in Sept)
1974 - 5 (none in Dec)
1973 - 4 (none in Sept or Nov)
1972 - 4 (none in Sept or Nov)
1971 - 5
1970 - 3 (none in Sept or Nov)

To me it appears there is no indication 2010 is going to have any more quakes than previous years, based on the fact we have already had 21 to date. Unless we have a 2007 or 2004 year, it will just be an average year with less than 30.
Will be interesting to see if 2010 will be a "none in Sept" year
Roll on Oct so we can see (means Summer is coming for us downunder too

I'd go back further, but I have to go plaster a roof parapet wall before it rains again.



[edit on 11-8-2010 by muzzy]

reply to post by TrueAmerican


Take a look at it on this LOHW.IW..BHZ.2010.223

Apart from the last line possibly looks more like wind noise.