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Originally posted by djvexd
I know you don't want to cause panic but.....dammit...I (and more like me) would like to know if something is fixing to hit the earth. Especially something THAT big.
Originally posted by C.H.U.D.
reply to post by djvexd
Not trying to be smart, but you can say "what if..." about allot of things.
What if it was 10x the size? Well it wasn't, and we know from past experience that truly dangerous space rocks are few and far between in terms of human life spans. The ones we need to worry about happen on geological timescales.
Let me make another analogy - Explosions (or CME's as they are known) on the surface of the sun that are big enough to fry the Earth (if it was in that spot at the time), happen every day, but no one reports them in the news because it's unlikely they will affect us.
Granted, Earth will never be in that position (at least in our life times), but the same thing can be said about our atmosphere which defends us from these objects - it will always be there defending us, and it is very good at it!
So although these events can be extremely energetic, there is really not much danger from them.
It would take a much closer call (bigger/harder/faster object) before we need to worry, and those are rare compared to competitively small events like this, that are all bark and no bite.
Looking back into recent history, in the last 100 years there has only been one event that had the potential to cause significant destruction on the ground. I'm sure you've heard of Tunguska!
Also, keep in mind that many of the objects out there are made from extremely weak and low-density material. This material is after all the remnants of the building blocks that were used to make our solar system/planets, and because it was left over and mostly just orbits the sun in very loose collections of objects, it stays very loose and light for the most part itself, unlike the material that has formed into dense planets under the influence of gravity which squeezes out all the gaps and makes what was once soft, into hard rocks like we see here on Earth. So the vast majority will explode when they slam into our atmosphere.
Statistically you have a much greater chance of being hit by a car (or the space shuttle for that matter) and being killed, than by a rock that is big enough to penetrate the atmosphere, but do you ever worry about that when walking down the street?
Gradually we will be able to track all of the dangerous objects, but there are so many objects that we don't know about in the 1-10m range, it would be impossible to find, catalog, and track them all, as well as pointless since they are effectively not that dangerous. Trying to do so might even mean we are distracted from finding the really worrisome objects out there.
Just enjoy the show if you are lucky enough to see one of these, and don't worry too much about getting hit by one. Life is too short to do so.
By the way, if anything this event got much more news coverage than many events in the past have, partly because someone managed to get some footage of the train the meteor left behind in the sky, but I'm sure it would have been much more widespread coverage if someone had actually caught the event itself. The news agencies are mainly interested in ratings, and there is not much of a story without a clip of the fireball itself, so unless it's a very slow day, you don't get to hear of these events on the news.
Here is a great site if you want to keep up with this type of news: lunarmeteoritehunters.blogspot.com...
[edit on 12-11-2009 by C.H.U.D.]
Originally posted by djvexd
reply to post by C.H.U.D.
I can agree that astronomical phenomenon happen all the time and to "pre-report" , for lack of a better term, is sketchy at best. However as Larryman said, even a 1 kiloton explosion over a popualtion center is enough to warn people about, let alone 5. So what if it had not of airbursted? What if it had impacted. Granted not a town, city, country, continent killer, SPEAK TELL US, if not to garner interest in space to ensure no one gets injured.
Originally posted by djvexd
reply to post by C.H.U.D.
With that extremely well put together AND lenghty post, you are telling me that we should play the odds and put our money on "not gonna happen" ? Statistician you are ....true scientist you are not. Science has a way of defying odds and the fact that you rest so firmly on that assumption is troubling. Especially since we have such a trouble identifying NEO's. So unless you have created some sort of sensor that can detect EVERY wild object in the galaxy or solar system, your point is moot.
Originally posted by svpwizard
I know I have said it before ..... THEY WILL NOT TELL US something is fixen to hit!!!!
just not gonna happen, to many medicated people out there that would freaking panic?
and also what the heck for ...... so it blows up a few million ... just so long as the club they go to is still open!!