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Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
In the United States they invested heavily and it’s always been pretty unsuccessful – here in Australia it was invested quite heavily and very, very spotty results to be shown for it so I mean there’s a huge amount of scepticism in the field and some of its well warranted.
David Marshall
It does stretch credibility a bit to think that going up there with the cloud and throwing out a very small amount of chemical – grams really – that can have an affect over a wide area.
Narration
But, this cloud seeding programme has changed things. Run by Hydro Tasmania, it’s been going for four decades, despite the scepticism. And recently some Monash meteorologists analysed all their data.
Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
We went back through the records, we looked at all the rain gauge data over the last 46 years and we saw when they were seeding and when they weren’t seeding and we found a signal we found a statistically significant signal.
Narration
Finally the world had the much sort after hard evidence that cloud seeding can produce a significant amount of extra rain.
Narration
But it turns out cloud seeding won’t work everywhere.
Narration
The reason it works in Tasmania is because of this cold, but very influential, part of the world.
Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
The Southern Ocean is huge, its 15 percent of the earth’s surface. In the winter it’s going to be the windiest spot in the world. The clouds over the Southern Ocean are very, very peculiar. They don’t want to freeze. I mean they’re super cooled, you get them and minus 10 minus 15 degrees and there are still a large portion of the clouds that are just liquid. That’s quite a bit of a surprise to us.
Narration
As the Southern Ocean air rolls in over southeast of Australia, it encounters mountains - and in just a few places the right conditions for cloud seeding form.
Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
What the satellite imagery is showing is really there are three spots in Australia where you could do this kind of cloud seeding.
Narration
There are the already-seeded Tasmania and Snowies. But the third spot is not seeded yet.
Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
It would be in the catchment area the Thompson. That would be the ideal location for this.
Narration
In other words the catchment area for drought-affected Melbourne. With the drought in Victoria now in its 13th year any extra water would be very welcome.
Assoc. Prof. Steve Siems
In Tasmania it looks like there getting about 12.5 gigalitres of water a month there getting a 5 percent increase over a target of about 25 hundred square kilometres. If you could do that in Melbourne I think you’d help a lot of people during this big dry.
Dr Alex Nazarov
In the tanks we have about 150 grams of silver iodide in a solution of about 25, 27 litres of acetone. And that takes about three and a quarter hours to burn. So very, very small quantities.