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Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
Originally posted by JimOberg
The brain chemistry of individuals is interesting, but we have here multiple witnesses widely distributed geographically. Something much more widespread -- and reproduceable -- seems required, IMHO.
Here are some more eyewitness drawings from the October 30, 1963 reentry of the kosmos-20 booster over Ukraine.
[snip]
Interesting. Is there more substantial data available on the whole mass of sightings from that 1963 reentry? I'd like to know to what extent such spaceship drawings are the norm, vs. being statistical outliers? Are they the exception, or the rule? I'd guess there must've been many people that day who accurately described what they saw, without inserting windows and thrusters and all?
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Interesting Data, Jim. This looks like incredibly compelling information but fails to address my point (relating to triangulation).
Originally posted by JimOberg
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Interesting Data, Jim. This looks like incredibly compelling information but fails to address my point (relating to triangulation).
Please restate your point. I've lost that chain of thought.
Do you want somebody to map out the locations defined in the report to see if they are consistent with the Kosmos-20 rocket body reentry?
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Originally posted by JimOberg
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Interesting Data, Jim. This looks like incredibly compelling information but fails to address my point (relating to triangulation).
Please restate your point. I've lost that chain of thought.
Do you want somebody to map out the locations defined in the report to see if they are consistent with the Kosmos-20 rocket body reentry?
That would actually put the issue to bed if you could do so in such a way as to correlate your theory with witness testimony (all of the witnesses, mind you)
Originally posted by JimOberg
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Originally posted by JimOberg
Originally posted by DeadSeraph
Interesting Data, Jim. This looks like incredibly compelling information but fails to address my point (relating to triangulation).
Please restate your point. I've lost that chain of thought.
Do you want somebody to map out the locations defined in the report to see if they are consistent with the Kosmos-20 rocket body reentry?
That would actually put the issue to bed if you could do so in such a way as to correlate your theory with witness testimony (all of the witnesses, mind you)
"With all of the witnesses..."
Ahhh, there's the rub. Are you insisting that the raw accounts of each and every witness must be accepted without question as totally accurate?
If that's the case, why bother with any investigation at all?
Wait a minute -- that seems to be the policy of many posters hereabouts [present company excepted].
What the Kosmos-20 1963 Ukraine report seems to indicate is that while there may be an approximate correlation of multiple accounts with parameters such as clock time and event duration, some of the reports are going to be out-liers -- will fall outside the average of the majority of reports.
Sometimes these out-liers are indeed telling us something, but sometimes they're just random fluctuations of inaccuracy of situational awareness, or of memory. Life's like that.
Where the crux of what is provable is located is here: to establish extraodinariness of a stimuli, an argument must be made persuasively that the report[s] could NOT have been engendered by prosaic events. For this argument to fail, a "devil's advocate" does not have to PROVE to the same standards that a different explanation MUST be true -- only that it could be true, that it's plausible.
Yes, this is assymetric. It almost looks rigged. But it's the basis of scientific reasoning regarding acceptance of NEW models of reality.
A careful examination of the scatter of reports from 1963 will reflect, I would argue, remarkable similarities to the body of reports from the Yukon.
And in both cases, entirely separately from the eyewitness testimony, we can establish beyond doubt the presence of a decaying rocket stage, moving in the same location, along the same direction, and with similar angular rates [hence, duration of visibility] to the average eyewitness reports.
I cannot find a single characteristic of the 1996 Yukon reports that differs in any way from the characteristics of the Ukraine 1963 reports. Hence I ascribe the same causative mechanism to both events.
Now, this probably requires additional analysis and discussion, but I think my argument has gotten a whole lot stronger with the discovery of the Ukraine reports [and my ability to read Russian].
And that strengthening, I owe to the candid give-and-take of this discussion board. It's one of the greatest rewards of participation here, making it worth my time and effort. Attaboys all around -- wherever we wind up in this debate.
Originally posted by JimOberg
Well, I'm going to sleep now, let's see what I can dream up!
Does your assessment of the Yukon stories also apply to the Ukraine stories -- that many witnesses saw a swarm of fiery fragments of the Kosmos-20 booster reentering, 60 miles overhead -- but other witnesses outside that night did NOT see the fireballs going by because they were focussed on a mechanical flying vehicle of unknown origin passing only a few hundred meters over their heads, in their own descriptions?
And that none of the Yukon witnesses noticed the satellite reentry because they, TOO, were fixated on the true UFO much closer overhead?
Did the 'true UFO' in front of their eyes some distract from, or even entirely block, the coincidental passage of the burning satellite debris?
Thanks for the discussion.
Originally posted by JimOberg
Well, I'm going to sleep now, let's see what I can dream up!
Does your assessment of the Yukon stories also apply to the Ukraine stories -- that many witnesses saw a swarm of fiery fragments of the Kosmos-20 booster reentering, 60 miles overhead -- but other witnesses outside that night did NOT see the fireballs going by because they were focussed on a mechanical flying vehicle of unknown origin passing only a few hundred meters over their heads, in their own descriptions?
And that none of the Yukon witnesses noticed the satellite reentry because they, TOO, were fixated on the true UFO much closer overhead?
Did the 'true UFO' in front of their eyes some distract from, or even entirely block, the coincidental passage of the burning satellite debris?
Thanks for the discussion.
originally posted by: humanoidlord
a reply to: JimOberg
of all those drawings the only one that doesnt look like a meteorite are the bottom ones on the second image
everthing else looks like an meteorite
also the yukon is an undebunkable ufo sighting theres none and never was proof showing it was an meteortic re-entry