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Originally posted by MegaCurious
Originally posted by donwhite
DANGEROUS SCENARIO. Suppose these talks fail. Suppose Iran is not scared of the US. Suppose Iran goes forward with its nuclear weapons program.
Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapons program, just like Iraq didn't. They've clearly stated that it's against their religion, and they claim to be an "Islamic State".
But that doesn't matter, as Iran with a nuclear weapon is a safer bet than Israel with a nuclear weapon.
Originally posted by donwhite
Iran rightly asks us, WHY and on WHAT legal or moral authority to you oppose us obtaining nuclear weapons?
Q. What would happen in the 24 hours to 7 days following such a strike by Israel on Iran following the Bush/Cheney/Rice doctrine of waging preemptive war? (Especially if it involves those elusive WMDs).
[edit on 5/18/2009 by donwhite]
If they strike Iran for just building a nuclear power plant, we're talking total explosion of anger in the middle east. We're talking a "real" war for America, not some fake stuff. The Real Deal.
Iran is no joke. We're talking zillions of hardcore fight to the death folks with decent weaponry. When America decides to invade Iran, it will be their grave. We're talking real war, not stuff where you just roll right in. Iraq found that out the hard way.
Originally posted by donwhite
After a nuclear exchange which country would have the best chance of surviving 50 years out? Iran with 400,000 square miles, plenty of oil and 70 million people, or Israel with 10,000 square miles and 8 million people and no oil.
I have to disagree on one point. As you stated above, Israel is tiny in comparison to Iran. Even one nuclear weapon would cause such devastation to Israel that it might not survive as country. I believe that is the definition of an "existential threat."
A perfectly good and fair deal or treaty with Iran today could become worthless by any number of unforeseen future events. Iran with only one nuclear weapon would have the power to destroy Israel in one blow whenever they decided to do so. I know I could not live with that risk - no way.
The reason is that Israel has no reason to negotiate. Yes both sides are wrong, but Israel has the backing of the US which means that they want things their way and if they don't have that then there is no peace.
Israel has no choice but to bomb the sites before December because after that the Russian state-of-the-art surface to air anti-aircraft system will be complete. After December no plane will be able to enter Iranian airspace without being shot down.