posted on May, 13 2009 @ 02:57 AM
They decided a week ago, they are only doing the H1N1 test on the critically ill. Meaning that the numbers you see for people infected or suspected,
are those who have been tested, which is to say only the worst cases.
This keeps them from being swamped, it also hides the seriousness from the population.
The Mexican Flu is twice as contageous as seasonal flu.
Seasonal flu has a .6% death rate, Mexican Flu has about a 1.5% death rate.
The regular flu infects 15% of the population in a single wave, so the Mexican Flu will infect about 30% in a single wave.
Flu typically comes in 3 waves, meaning 90% of the population will likely get swine flu in the next two years. About 36,000 die from seasonal flu each
year in the US.
Projected dead from seasonal flu over two years 72,000.
Population of US is 306,416,869
90% = 275,775,182.1
Projected dead this wave of Mexican Flu: 1,378,875.9
One point three Million
Projected death toll over 2 years: 4,136,627.7
Four point one Million.
The raw percentages these estimates are from, are supposed to be reputable numbers from reputable and authoritative sources. Anyone can do the math,
the estimates are my own, based upon the latest values given by experts.
Statistics show that by not allowing people to gather in large numbers, you cut the transmission rate in half.
This is well documented but they seem to be ignoring the potential for reduction in transmission, in favor of financial concerns regarding the
economy. When four million people in their prime have died, rather than two million, that will also have a negative impact upon business.
The people in charge are afraid of sounding alarmist. They don't want to announce anything until the day after everyone already has figured it out,
so they sound prudent! Just in cast it stops getting worse.
[edit on 13-5-2009 by Cyberbian]