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Nonetheless, I trust the CDC and the WHO because they both fall under huge scrutiny--they receive nothing but high expectations. While the media might want to inflate reports, and the internet can perpetuate those claims, the WHO/CDC only benefit by reporting the truth. They certainly don't gain anything by reporting suspicions or falsehoods--such threaten to undermine the credibility of these agencies.
Originally posted by Champagne
Err nm didnt see it was an email. Well seeing how we only have your word Ill read this and take it with a grain of salt.
Not to be rude or uncaring, but I could really care less what you do with this information!! I posted it because it came in my email today from one of the few people on the face of this planet that I TRUST - and, if you knew me, that is saying alot!!
[edit on 4/29/2009 by Champagne]
Originally posted by Champagne
I received an email from a good & very trust worthy friend that was sent out today by a doctor in New Braunfels, TX to his patients. I found it intertesting because the good doctor confirms what many of us already know - but the general public does not. Mainly that what he is hearing privately from the CDC and Health Department is different from what you are hearing in the media!!
Because the email is so long it will take 2 posts to include the entire content....
After I returned from a public health meeting yesterday with community leaders and school officials in Comal County and Hays County, Heather suggested I send an update to my patients in the area, because what we are hearing privately from the CDC and Health Department is different from what you are hearing in the media. Some of you know some of this, but I will just list what facts I know.
- The virus is infectious for about 2 days prior to symptom onset
- Virus spreads more than 7 days after symptom onset (possibly as long as 9 days) (this is more unusual than ordinary flu)
- Since it is such a novel (new) virus, there is no "herd immunity," so the "attack rate" is very high. This is the percentage of people who come down with a virus if exposed. Almost everyone who is exposed to this virus will become infected, though not all will be symptomatic. That is much higher than seasonal flu, which averages 10-15%. The "clinical attack rate" estimation from CDC and WHO may be around 40-50%. This is the number of people who show symptoms. This is a huge number. It is hard to convey the seriousness of this to those outside of the medical fields.
- The virulence (deadliness) of this virus is as bad here as in Mexico, and there are folks on ventilators here in the US, right now. This has not been in the media, but a 23 month old in Houston is fighting for his life, and a pregnant woman just south of San Antonio is fighting for her life. In Mexico, these folks might have died already, but here in the US, folks are getting Tamiflu or Relenza quickly, and we have ready access to ventilators. What this means is that within a couple of weeks, regional hospitals will likely become overwhelmed.
- Some of the kids with positive cases in Comal County have had more than 70 contacts before diagnosis as a minimum figure.
- There are 10-25 times more actual cases (not "possible" cases -- ACTUAL), than what is being reported in the media. The way they fudge on reporting this is that it takes 3 days to get the confirmatory nod from the CDC on a given viral culture, but based on epidemiological grounds, we know that there are more than 10 cases for each "confirmed" case right now.
- During the night, we crossed the threshold for the definition of a WHO, Phase 6 global pandemic. This has not happened in any of our lifetimes so far. We are in uncharted territory.
- They are advising President Obama to declare an emergency sometime in the next 72-96 hours. This may not happen, but if it doesn't, I will be surprised. When this happens, all public gathering will be cancelled for 10 days minimum.
- I suggest all of us avoid public gatherings. Outdoor activities are not as likely to lead to infection. It is contained areas and close contact that are the biggest risk.
~CONTINUED NEXT POST~
Bolded phrases by me
[edit on 4/29/2009 by Champagne]
Originally posted by wonderworld
reply to post by Champagne
Thank you, I’m not usually gullible but just ordered a few bottles of N-Acetyl-Cysteine online.
It’s very inexpensive. 3.99 ea. I did some reading about it first. It sounds good.
I wonder if they’ll have a rush on the stuff.
Thanks for bringing to my attention, that hospitals and doctors would be overwhelmed and have no room, run out of medicine, etc!!
I may also check for other herbal anti-virals.
Originally posted by k4rma
oh i forgot to add that my friend who went to mex in late march/early april (who i shared a drink with) showed no signs until a couple of days later, the zombie stare and sleeping alot and he eventually said he felt the same symptoms i had...i also had to use my mom's inhaler a few times due to shortness of breath, almost passing out - hindsight i should have gone to the doc, i prolly coulda died...
Originally posted by Uphill
reply to post by Champagne
Some influenza outbreaks linger for several months. In the case of the 1918 flu pandemic, it first broke out in the spring (like the current one), then it smoldered for months, and then a killer version erupted in August 1918. So it wouldn't hurt to make a few longer-term preparations, like in your food pantry, particularly when they taste good.
[edit on 4/30/2009 by Uphill]