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Originally posted by Heike
For the ET hypothesis, it seems to generally start out with:
It's not a bird.
It's not a weather balloon.
It's not a plane or helicopter.
It's not a flare or chinese lantern.
It's not Venus or a star or a satellite....
and on we go, eliminating possibilities until someone says "there aren't any other possibilities left! It must be an alien spacecraft!"
On the one hand we have the saying that "When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth." So if we have determined that all of the "standard" or "normal" explanations are impossible, then the improbable - it's an alien spaceship - is what's left?
So here's my question: How are we making that leap from "it's not this or that or the other" to "it must be an alien spaceship" when we have nothing remotely similar to an alien spaceship to compare it to and make such an assessment?
In the case of ETs, we have absolutely nothing to compare to or extrapolate from (except fiction).
In science and zoology, we don't define things by what they are NOT, we define them by what they are similar to. So, how are we making this leap?
The problem is that we have no comparison for what an alien spaceship - or an alien - should be like except from FICTION - movies and books and so forth - which are basically someone's imagination. We have no guideline, blueprint, comparison, nothing...In the case of ETs, we have absolutely nothing to compare to or extrapolate from (except fiction).
Originally posted by Heike
reply to post by Malcram
So you're saying (rephrase to make sure I'm understanding you correctly) that by pure logic, if we have eliminated all other possibilities, ETH is the most logical of the improbabilities because we can base the ETH on the example of ourselves as a sentient race which has been able to leave their planet (if not their solar system)?
How do we logically conclude that another race can do something we can't, i. e. leave our solar system?
How do we conclude that alien life will be "like us" in developing technology? Can we set ourselves up as a reasonable example based on a sample of only one? Why do we think that aliens, if they exist, might not have gone in a totally different direction instead of developing technology as we have?
Secondly, since several of the posters in this and other threads have admitted our lack of scientific knowledge, stating that our knowledge is not complete in many areas including physics, how do we know that we have, in fact, eliminated all other possibilities? How can we say that there might not be knowledge we don't have yet which would lead to a probable explanation for these anomalies without the ETH?
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Heike is just miffed that her favourie hypothesis cryptoterrestrial or extradimensional is not considered in a logical explanation.
I said earlier to generalise our science to ET would be like generalising 18th century science to 21st century science. This is not a valid generalization.
Sorry about your pet hypothesis. Incidentally, I remember the supposed UFO experience you had, which actually had nothing at all to do with UFO's. Curious.
How can you arrive at this conclusion? Why have ETs necessarily been around longer than we have? Why is it any more or less logical that they are about the same "age" as we are, or even younger?
Say WHAT? It was a classic rotating metallic flying double saucer except for the fact that it shone a green light down through the house, and it even sounded metallic when a bullet ricocheted off of it. How does that have "nothing at all to do with UFOs"??
In accordance with SO's "CTs need to have a spine" policy, I can't really take issue with you being patronizing and/or condescending. However, your claim that my UFO experience had nothing to do with UFOs requires justification, or else I request that you retract your statement. You have no right to dismiss my personal experience just because we disagree about the ETH
Originally posted by Heike
reply to post by Malcram
In response to your last statement, I'm not sure I agree that the evidence fits the ETH. Or at least, some of it doesn't...
That is not to say that there are not some phenomenon which both the conventional and the ETH do not explain. Some UFO's are probably conventional. Some UFO's are probably ET. Some UFO's are probably....other.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
There is a difference between knowing and knowledge itself. How knowledge happens is a cognitive matter and is discussed in in other parts of Indian logic and in the psychology schools, such as Yoga.
I see, so you don't use perception to form knowledge of the world? You never make inferences? You never use analogy? You never use testimony?
How do you get any kind of knowledge then?
It's not just the case that it is an unknown craft. It is the case that it an unknown technology which negates our own laws of physics.
Therefore it belongs to somebody with a different laws of physics.[sic]
Sure, you can speculate that it experimental top-secret technology, but speculation does not establish anything, it is only an argument from possibility. In scientific logic we can only work with the observable universe.
UFO's are the evidence that ET is visiting us.
In addition alien abduction cases are evidence as well. I do not treat this like a mystery, a mystery is only something one can't explain, but I can explain UFO's.
Nope, because ET is just a generalization from the particular of life on Earth. It is consistent with scientific logic which generalises from particular observables.
Nope still there is no quantity multplication. In fact there would be a quantity multiplcation if we insisted that Man's science is the same as ET's science. We cannot apply the limits of our observable science to ET's unobservable science. It would like be like 18th century scientists applying their science's limits on 21st century science.
Right, it is possible, but anything is possible. I am often criticsed for why I think the ETH is the only hypothesis to explain genuine UFO's, when it could be they are extradimensional or time-travellers or what not. It is because I am not multiplying quantities unnecessarily, before we can even admit the category of extradimensional beings and time-travellers we must first establish that there are other dimensional beings and time-travel exists. Else, we can use arguments from possibility to come up with any kind of possibility.
You know what I really don't understand?
I'm not a debunker. Not once have I accused a UFO of being Venus, swamp gas, a balloon, or a lantern. I am not a "skeptic," although I think it possible that some UFO sightings are human black ops. In fact, the only real disagreement between us is that you think ETH is the best, most likely explanation for UFOs and I think it is one among several theories which are equally probable. On such a minor difference (compared to those who think all UFO witnesses are crazy or that ETH isn't even a valid theory), you have developed a negative attitude towards me that I find quite amazing. I had heard that the scientific mind accepts and values questions, challenges and opportunities to explain and support its theories; apparently I heard wrong.
What I object to is not even the fact that you think ETH is a better, more probable, or more logical theory. I object to the fact that you can't seem to accept that not everyone thinks like you do or sees things the same as you, and you find it necessary to label and stereotype anyone who disagrees with your "pet theory." There are plenty of reasonable, open-minded, intelligent people who have done the research and examined the evidence and still don't think ETH is "da bomb," and most ETH believers don't find it necessary to consign them all to the ranks of the ignorant, dumb, "pseudoskeptical," or other derogatory labels. It is possible to disagree without deciding who is right or wrong. In this case we will not know who is right or wrong until the UFO mystery is solved, and even then we might both be right, or both be wrong!
Can you explain what the difference is between knowing and knowledge?
Incorrect my friend. It negates 'our' own 'known' laws of physics.
Our = the general population - not the whole
Known = that which is what we are 'allowed' to know
Allowed = that which is released by our governments
You need to understand that governments have their own scientists/departments and have done for decades, if not centuries.
Surely you are not arrogant enough to think that you have access to all there is to know. That would be incredible and where your whole argument would fall down.
You can only make a judgement on the the knowledge you yourself possess or have access to or have been allowed to have access to by our governments and that is fine. Just don't apply your answer to the rest of us.
Sure, you can speculate that it experimental top-secret technology, but speculation does not establish anything, it is only an argument from possibility. In scientific logic we can only work with the observable universe.
So when you are speculating about ETH that is acceptable, when an opposing mind to yours speculates otherwise it goes out of the window?
Hmmm.
Erm...deny ignorance right?
UFOs are evidence that there is something we do not understand because we do not have enough data to tranlsate to information that would allow us certain knowledge of what we are witnessing.
You are guessing it is ET.
I am stating with certain knowledge that I do not know what UFOs are.
You can't explain UFOs any more than I can explain the meaning of life.
It's all a guessing game.
Educated guess? Maybe. But a guess nevertheless.
One of problems is that you think it is common knowledge that ET exists.
It is not.
Another problem is that you think it is common knowledge that ET is visiting us.
It is not.
Another problem is that you have twisted and turned in this thread, and others, so much that you end up reworking all you have presiously said to the extent where everyone else is wrong because we, and not you, keep misunderstanding the things you say and lack the knowledge that would allow us to put forward an arguement that counters that of yours.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
I think it is implied in "our laws of physics" that I meant known laws of physics.
OK, so we have that settled now? Witness testimony is valid as a form of evidence with regard to the UFO phenomenon and must be considered along with the rest of the evidence.
more often than not, you get it very wrong in the end. A bit of mental effort on your part will go a long way.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Heike is just miffed that her favourie hypothesis cryptoterrestrial or extradimensional is not considered in a logical explanation.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Actually, we are due very soon to leave the solar system(at least in civilian space sector) and go to Alpha Centauri.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
As argued in many other threads earlier we simply cannot have a valid obection either to ET existing or ET visiting us.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Therefore ETH has always been a part of our explanatory framework. Unfortunately, until time travel, extradimensional or cryptoterrestrial joins our explanatory framework, it will remain as a possibility only and on the fringes.
You can't simply imply when having these debates. You need to fully clarify exactly what it is you are saying. What happens when you fail to do this is that people misunderstand you while also giving yourself a loophole latter in an argument to wiggle through. Something that I believe you have done several times in this post as demonstrated on your continued revision of what you actually meant by knowledge.
Initally you stated that perception, inference, analogy and testimony were the means to collect knowledge.
Then it changed to the means to collect data and that knowledge was achieved through other (unmention) processes.
You seem to have a problem with accepting other people's opinions. Not very enlightened or Indigo Child-like IMO. You need to be more open minded and less confrontational IMO.
You referenced another poster here about emotional posting - well I do not see the bad in that. And it is also very interesting to note that for someone such as yourself who confesses to logic over emotion in this post, you actually had a post removed - was that for being too logical or maybe a little too emotional?
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
"somebody" took it emotionally and reported the post. I have had far worse things said to me in discussions before, and I have not seen their posts removed.
I can't believe we are still having this discussion. I have clarified now multiple times that collecting knowledge and how knowledge actually happens are different matters. In the Indian logic system I am referring to, they are different matters. The latter is cognitive.
I have already clarified many times above. Perception, inference, analogy and testimony are valid means of knowing, but they are not evidence in and of themselves, they need to be refined vigorously before you can have valid knowledge.
Again I think you misunderstood what I said. They are two philosophical problems: One is a scientific problem on what is the best method for collecting data and the other is epistemological, how does knowledge occur. The Indian logicians are concerned with the scientific problem on how data is collected. How knowledge happens is treated in another branch of Indian logic, which treats of epistemology. Particularly neo-Indian logic. Epistemology is treated more vigorously in the Yoga schools both Hindu and Buddhist.
Actually it is known, only how knowledge happens is not known. They are two different philosophical problems.
You did not know anything about Indian logic prior to me telling you about it, now you do. You have learned about something called 'Indian logic' through testimony.