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Originally posted by SaviorComplex
Originally posted by Malcram
So after all your pontificating about the evils of labeling people you are in fact hypocritically doing that very thing yourself...
Again you miss the point.
I will spell it out for you. The point is not that you and Child are pseudoskeptics. The point is that the labels and tactics you have employed against other people can just as easily be applied to you and to demonstrate you are guilty of the exact same behaviors you accuse others of.
You start from the premise that ET life exists. For the sake of argument let say that that is 100% certain.
For ET to be here you have to suppose that that life evolved into a sentient race, then into a highly technical civilisation, then discovered spaceflight, managed to avoid destroying themselves or being destroyed in the process, travelled out into space, discovered the Earth and that their civilisation came into being and endured in the same time frame as our own civilisation i.e they didn't exist millions of years before we evolved nor millions of years afterwards. I'm not arguing that this hasn't occurred but with each step outlined above the initial figure of 100% probability drops.
That is a different scenario from saying I have a mind therefore I infer other people have minds too. I see people all the time. I'm constantly interacting with people. There is no reason to suppose they don't have minds.
For the two to be analogous the Earth would have to be in daily interaction with other planets. Life on those planets could then be inferred by observations made. The current situation with regard to life on other planets is more analogous to someone who has been kept isolated for most of their life but who has recently begun to see the odd person walking past in the far distance. They might hypothesise that these other people have minds but their case would be immeasurably strengthened if they could meet the people and hold a conversation with them.
or to put it another way - if other people have minds then UFOs are extraterrestrial spacecraft which I don't think is a particularly tenable argument.
But we haven't yet built a spacecraft that can carry humans to another star sytem and we don't yet know that such a craft is technically feasible. There may be no reason to believe that there isn't intelligent life on other planets but there is no evidence there is yet. UFOs cannot be considered strong evidence of life on other planets because as yet they haven't been observed on other planets, only this one. Their origins remain unknown.
I don't agree. I am arguing that empirical evidence actually strengthens the belief that other people have minds or that planets have life. It's just I think the evidence that people have minds is greater and more convincing than the evidence that life exists on other planets at this current juncture.
It's not just me that argues that, the science of genetics is predicated on it. If a man and a woman with brown hair have a child with brown hair, it's because the child has inherited its parents' traits.
Personally, I think demanding proof is a good habit. Such thinking allows me to debate with you via the internet.
Quantum Mechanics would seem to suggest at the least that the classical deterministic model of the universe cannot explain all it's aspects. As far as we know the universe is governed by probabilities not simple cause and effect.
Originally posted by Malcram
You had better get used to the discussion of pseudo-skepticism and it's fallacies at ATS SC. Nothing you try to do will stop this. It's here to stay.
Originally posted by sebarud
Originally posted by Donnie Darko
The thing is - there is evidence.
Then present the evidence, please.
[edit on 27-3-2009 by sebarud]
Originally posted by Heike
Originally posted by Malcram
You had better get used to the discussion of pseudo-skepticism and it's fallacies at ATS SC. Nothing you try to do will stop this. It's here to stay.
Malcram, this is a very sad thing and I find it to be even more sad that you seem to think it is a good thing.
What you are saying is that the "war" between "believers" and "skeptics" will continue, and you intend to support it and participate in it.
Why?
Originally posted by Malcram
You are relentlessly attacking individuals. SC. You will say anything no matter how ridiculous or untrue in order to slur those you oppose.
Originally posted by Malcram
But not for much longer.
Originally posted by Malcram
Your response only shows me how much this subject threatens you. .
Originally posted by MalcramYou had better get used to the discussion of pseudo-skepticism and it's fallacies at ATS SC. Nothing you try to do will stop this. It's here to stay
Nothing you try to do will stop this.
Originally posted by SaviorComplex
So please, continue to create your threads about the evils of skepticism. I hope you enjoy the company of your strawmen.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Nope, I did not start from that premise. I start from the premise of life on earth and then conclude by scientific generalization that there is life on other planets. So it is not a premise, but a logical conclusion.
You have concluded exactly what I've concluded with ET - "There is no reason to suppose" You have one instance of mind(your own) and you have certain behaviour distinct from inanimate matter, thus you draw a relationship of invariable concomitance. Then when you see another instance of that behaviour, you infer mind. I think that is valid.
But then you become logically inconsistent by objecting to exactly the same generalization but with different observables. I am once instance of life, and I observe that life actually grows from this planet, thus I can draw a relationship of invariable concomitance. Then when I see another planet, I infer, that it must have life. That is logically equivalent and thus your objection is invalid. Just as your inference is based on observation and generalization, so is mine.
Meeting a person and holding a conversation with somebody does not strengthen the case for other minds, because you can meet and have a conversation with a robot, with a hologram or with an imaginary character.
You have to admit here how you arrive at your conclusion for other minds is based on observation and then generalization. Likewise, so is mine.
Strawman. I did not say that if other people have minds then UFO's are ET. I said if you accept people have minds from B then M then you must accept ET from P then L.
I don't agree. I am arguing that empirical evidence actually strengthens the belief that other people have minds or that planets have life. It's just I think the evidence that people have minds is greater and more convincing than the evidence that life exists on other planets at this current juncture.
Then yours is an argument from faith. You believe that the evidence for other minds is convincing, but you don't know that other minds exist. I could believe that the evidence for x is convincing, doesn't mean that the evidence actually proves x.
Demanding evidence is a good habit. Not demanding proof, because proof cannot be given for an unknown.
I love QM, but QM is just a theory and an incomplete one at that. If it is true that the universe is governing by probability, then why is it that that an apple seed will always give an apple and not an orange?
Originally posted by Heike
It is not the same generalization and it is not logically equivalent. When I observe another person's behaviour I can see that they behave in similar ways to me. Because I ascribe my own behaviour to my mind it is reasonable to deduce the existence of minds in people who exhibit similar behaviour. What behaviour or attributes have you observed in planets other than the Earth that are consistent with them bearing life?
I've never had a conversation with a hologram. I'm not sure how a conversation with an imaginary character would go. The only robots I've had conversations with are AI bots on the internet and I can tell you that nothing about their conversation led me to conclude that they had a mind. If the day came when I conversed with a turing-compliant AI I may very well conclude that it had a mind. I've said all along that my conclusion that other people have minds is based on observation of those people. What observation of other planets have you done that leads you to conclude they bear life?
But that is exactly what you do argue in respect to the ETH. You've already stated there is no mystery about what UFOs are. To claim my argument is one of faith when you have argued absolutes is frankly bizarre.
Because such a thing is highly unlikely, all the particles in the seed would have to alter at the same moment. That doesn't mean that each individual particle behaves deterministically. Just because the theory is incomplete that doesn't mean it will be disproved. The Standard Model is experimentally verified to an astonishing degree. Just because Relativity replaced Newtonian physics it didn't mean the Earth stopped orbitting the sun.
I actually think our positions are extremely close with regards the UFO phenomenon
Originally posted by Heike
Originally posted by Heike
Originally posted by Heike