It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by mmiichael
I wish now I'd ducked out of here earlier. Arguments on the existence of extraterrestrial visitations appealing to logic that are more like vanity projects have little interest for me.
Originally posted by SaviorComplex
or against skepticism (as pseudoskeptic and skeptic are used interchangably).
Originally posted by Malcram
reply to post by mmiichael
Lets discuss the OPs Mike, not the supposed lack of merit of the topic or the supposed lack of merit of those who support it. Where do you want to start? Which of the logical fallacies listed in the OPs do you think should not be there and are actually legitimate arguments?
Or is it the application of the fallacies to the UFO debate you think was inaccurate, rather than the identification of fallacies?
[edit on 3-4-2009 by Malcram]
Argument: If we accept ET UFO’s exist and is visiting us, then we may also have to accept goblins, big foot, loch ness monster and whatever to exists.
Originally posted by Heike
Argument: If we accept ET UFO’s exist and is visiting us, then we may also have to accept goblins, big foot, loch ness monster and whatever to exists.
Okay. I have a problem with that one. Actually I have several problems with that one.
1. It's absurd. It is so illogical that no one would actually use it.
2. It is a misrepresentation of the actual argument.
3. It is designed to make the person supposedly using it look foolish.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
Argument: There is no proof or evidence that ET exists. Yes, it is true that the SETI equation shows that the probability of ET is very likely, but this is not proof in and of itself, only a mathematical possibility. Therefore ETH is not a valid explanation.
Rebuttal: This is an invalid and logically contradictory argument. For the following reasons
1) There is significant evidence and proof that ET exists. It is the job of the skeptic to investigate this evidence and 'proof' and come to a judgement on it.
2) The probability of life on planets is 100%.
This is not a mathematical possibility, but an empirical fact. Planet Earth is a planet and it is teeming with very diverse life, and it is commonly accepted by science that life appeared on this planet quickly after the Earth was born. It is an empirical fact that the phenomenon of life on planets is a part of our observable universe. Therefore there is no reason to speculate that life cannot be possible elsewhere.
My opponent may argue that it is possible that life only formed on planet Earth and nowhere else. They may even point out that sample size I have of life in the universe is only one instance and this is not enough to make a generalization.
Rebuttal: This is an argument from possibility fallacy. It is possible that Earth is the only planet that has life, but it is also possible that that Earth is not the only planet that has life. Mere possibility is not enough to make a case.
...
In conclusion: ETH is a valid hypothesis and forms a part of our observable universe.
Argument: It impossible for ET to travel here. The distances in space are astronomical, it would take thousands, if not millions of years to reach planet Earth even at the speed of light. But it is impossible to travel at the speed of light.
Rebuttal: This is an argument from incredulity. The opponent does not believe a ET would make a trip from their home planet to Earth because the time it would take to get here is perceived to be too long and so it is unbelievable that ET would try. Just because something seems unbelievable it does not mean it cannot happen. It is unbelievable that somebody would survive a fall from a very high building, but it does happen.
...
In conclusion: The argument that ET cannot get to Earth is invalid.
Argument: It is completely absurd that that an advanced ET race would come here and fly around in our skies like drunk pilots, abduct humans, make crop circles and mutilate cows.
Rebuttal: This is again the fallacy of incredulity. If something seems unbelievable to us, it does not mean it does not happen. The behaviour of an alien race may seem strange to us, but then again behaviours of other cultures on our planet seem strange. Some cultures have rituals where the offspring kills their parents when they reach old age. That’s even stranger to me than some alien race doing any of the aforementioned.
Argument: If ET exists and are visiting us, why don’t they just reveal themselves? Why would they hide? Its illogical.
Rebuttal: But who says they are hiding? They maybe hiding from some, but it does not mean they are hiding from everyone. There are many people who claim they have encountered ET directly and many high-level witnesses in the government that have claimed contact has taken place. If their claims are true, ET is only hiding from some and not everyone.
Why would ET not reveal themselves? I am tempted to give the usual speculative explanation of an intergalactic prime directive, but I will desist. Instead the objection of the opponent can be dismissed like the previous argument. It is another argument from incredulity fallacy.
Argument: There is no scientific physical evidence of UFO‘s. No UFO samples. No ET DNA samples etc
Rebuttal: This is an impossible demand. If any of this evidence even existed, what are the chances that this evidence would be mailed to the opponents home address for their personal inspection? Highly unlikely. Most people will have to rely on the authority of scientific experts who have handled the evidence. As they cannot handle the evidence themselves, they will have to simply trust the scientists.
Argument: If we accept ET UFO’s exist and is visiting us, then we may also have to accept goblins, big foot, loch ness monster and whatever to exists.
Rebuttal: This is a slippery slope fallacy. There is absolutely no premise that entails that if you accept ET’s existence you have to accept other paranormal claims. All different paranormal claims, just like any claim, is to be treated individually.
Argument: The UFO and ET reports by individuals are not necessarily true. They may claim a physical aircraft, but their data could be wrong. They could be lying, they could have misidentified something else for the UFO such as planet Venus, car headlights, swamp gas.
Rebuttal: Merely argument from possibility is not enough. Yes, all the above counter-hypothesis may be true, but they may be false as well. It is the job of the skeptic to investigate all the available data, eliminate all hypothesis that do not fit the data, and then come up with a hypothesis that explains the available data.
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
All future posts to this thread should be about the logical fallacies discussed in the OP. The posts can be about a refutation of my rebuttals or if you agree my rebuttals of the arguments are valid, but you think there are stronger variants of them, then please introduce them and we can discuss those.
Originally posted by Heike
reply to post by Indigo_Child
Say what? I have taken your arguments one by one and addressed them, just as you asked originally. How is this personal attacks or flame baiting?
Originally posted by Indigo_Child
I was talking about Michael and Skibitz post's above. Not yours.
I am glad you responded, but did you actually respond to the arguments or my rebuttals. I am confused
2. It is impossible for ET to travel here.
The actual fallacy to this might be:
Humans are not capable of interstellar travel.
Therefore, aliens are not capable of interstellar travel
This is a fallacy because we don't have the facts about the technology or capabilities of the hypothetical aliens. However, the fact that this is a fallacy does not validate the converse. In other words, just because "aliens are incapable of interstellar travel" is not a valid argument, we can't infer that they ARE capable of it, either.
3. It is completely absurd that that an advanced ET race would come here and fly around in our skies like drunk pilots, abduct humans, make crop circles and mutilate cows.
It could possibly be stated as
I would not do this, so aliens wouldn't do this either. This fails for the same reason 2 did, we don't know anything about the reasoning or motivations of the hypothetical aliens.
However, we might be able to construct something like this:
Technology is dependent upon mathematics, science and logic.
Aliens who have superior technology probably have mathematics and logic.
That behavior is not logical.
Therefore aliens with superior technology would probably not behave like that.
Yes, I know you can poke a few holes in that and it probably wouldn't fly in PHD circles, but it's fairly reasonable for the average Joe.
4. If ET exists and are visiting us, why don’t they just reveal themselves? Why would they hide? Its illogical.
This is not an argument, it's a question!
Let's try:
When humans find uncontacted societies, they either leave them completely alone or contact them openly (missionaries, representatives, emissaries, etc.)
If the structures and principles of "civilization" are universal, aliens should act in a similar way.
Therefore, it doesn't make sense for aliens to be acting the way UFO's act.
I know, you can poke some holes in that one too. But if that doesn't work for you then the only thing left to say is that we have no idea how aliens would act so there's no point even discussing it. But if these guys are aliens they sure are weird by human standards.
5. Argument: There is no scientific physical evidence of UFO‘s. No UFO samples. No ET DNA samples etc
Rebuttal: This is an impossible demand.
It is not an impossible demand. What is actually being requested is publicly verifiable evidence supported by the majority of trustworthy authorities.
For example, suppose a UFO crashes in the U.S. A large piece is recovered and turned over to scientists. It is photographed, analyzed, and tested. The test results are verified by NASA, the US military, the US government, and the majority of scientists who have reviewed the test and analysis results. Pictures of it are shown on TV and available on the internet. It is then placed on public display at MIT and there is news video of thousands of people going to look at it. This IS possible, and should have already happened if physical evidence is in the possession of any government, military, or scientific agency.
6. If we accept ET UFO’s exist and is visiting us, then we may also have to accept goblins, big foot, loch ness monster and whatever to exists.
However, the argument usually presented is:
A. There is eyewitness testimony, photographic evidence, video evidence, audio evidence, and trace evidence (footprints and such) for the existence of a non-human hominid which has not been satisfactorily explained as anything other than a non-human hominid.
B. There is eyewitness testimony, photographic evidence, video evidence, radar evidence, and trace evidence (landing sites, radiation, etc.) for the existence of non-human flying objects which has not been satisfactorily explained as anything other than a non-human flying object.
If one accepts the evidence for B as adequate to validate the existence of non-human flying objects, then one should logically also accept the evidence for A as validating the existence of a non-human hominid.
The objection can be made that the evidence is not equivalent, but that is a subjective objection; only an objective, provable difference between A and B would render the argument fallacious. Of course we can argue the relative merits of footprints and bigfoot videos vs. landing sites and UFO videos all day long, but that doesn't actually make the argument a fallacy if there is a reasonable degree of equivalency between the two sets of evidence.
The UFO and ET reports by individuals are not necessarily true. They may claim a physical aircraft, but their data could be wrong. They could be lying, they could have misidentified something else for the UFO such as planet Venus, car headlights, swamp gas.
This is not a logical argument, it's a statement of possibility with some shadings of opinion. And, as it stands, it's correct. It is possible that they are not true. In fact, we know that some are not true because we have reports which have been proven to be hoaxes. However, this isn't proof of or evidence for anything either way, as it is also possible that the rest of them are true.
[edit on 3-4-2009 by Heike]