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Nervous investors on Tuesday paid for the privilege of owning US government debt, pushing interest rates on three-month Treasury bills to negative levels for the first time in postwar history.
The implied yield for three-month bills briefly traded at negative 0.01 per cent – the first time that has happened since 1940, traders said. At such a level, an investor is essentially paying someone to own the security
Originally posted by anachryon
The yields on US gov't bills & bonds are probably the most important thing people should be watching right now.
No, it's not a matter of gold, it's not a matter of paying money to get your money back.
It's a matter of investors pricing in deflation.
The real returns on maturity of the 3mo bills will actually be positive - not too positive, but positive nonetheless - due to deflation.
Check out the 3 year notes. Today's auction produced the lowest yield EVER. 10 year notes are at WWII yield levels. 30 year bonds are at an all time low. Bond buyers are pricing in deflation for what now appears to be between 3-5 years; this deflation will actually cause the real returns on the bonds to be higher than they seem now.
Originally posted by mybigunit
Gold is rallying on the sinking bonds though? Hmmmm