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The "D" word has crept into the debate ahead of the Washington G20 crisis summit.
Not Deflation, but Depression.
The result -- according to the thinking of some officials, advisors and strategists gathered at a meeting of the World Economic Forum in Dubai -- is that governments and central banks should throw caution to the wind and combat the crisis with every means available.
"There is a real possibility of a real, deep, international depression," said one senior monetary official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, calling the crisis "the worst in 100 years".
"Ian McLean" posted this over at my other thread:
Originally posted by Ian McLean
reply to post by adrenochrome
Yea special meeting Nov 15th, but they just finished up their annual two-day meeting. Here's a communique:
www.bloomberg.com...
We welcomed that the Heads of G-20 countries will convene for a Leaders´ Summit on Financial Markets and the World Economy to be held on 15 November 2008 in Washington, noting that the global crisis requires global solutions and a common set of principles and that the forthcoming summit is an important step in enhancing international cooperation. We stand ready to urgently take forward work and actions agreed by our leaders to restore and maintain financial stability and support global growth.
A strange side-note:
We should ensure that all sectors of the financial industry, as appropriate, are regulated or subjected to oversight. We agreed that it is important to address the issue of pro-cyclicality in financial market regulations and supervisory systems.
What's 'pro-cyclicality'?
Mr Brown will call on fellow world leaders to use the current worldwide economic downturn as an opportunity to thoroughly reform international financial institutions and create a new "truly global society" with Britain, the US and Europe providing leadership.
His call comes ahead of an emergency summit of world leaders and finance ministers from 20 major countries, the G20, in Washington next weekend.
Mr Brown will say that the Washington meeting must establish a consensus on a new Bretton Woods-style framework for the international financial system, featuring a reformed International Monetary Fund which will act as a global early-warning system for financial problems.
As the financial crisis chokes the economy and lending to most corners of business remains all but stopped, economists have cut forecasts, with recession now a certainty in leading western economies and the likelihood increasing of deflation and even a global depression.
To put that in context, a depression is defined by some as a severe and long recession characterised by high unemployment, and by others as a 10 percent fall in output -- something that has not occurred globally since the 1930s.
"This financial crisis has now started to undermine the real economy in a very severe way," said a senior executive at a major international bank who plans to attend the Washington summit.
This week, the International Monetary Fund has warned the world's richest economies face their first year of contraction since World War II and leading central banks have resorted to drastic action.
But hopes are low that international policymakers gathered in Washington will fly back to their capitals on Nov. 15 with significant reforms, given competing agendas of those attending.
We got no food, we got no jobs, our pets' heads are fallin' off!!
Chance of DEPRESSION overshadows G20 summit!!
Originally posted by DimensionalDetective
reply to post by David9176
Absolutely correct. The entire monetary system is the biggest sham EVER propegated on the masses. Wothless I.O.U.s that they don't even have anything of actual value to back up with. And they have sold it to the populace hook, line and sinker for ages, and turned them all into slaves for buying into it. It is a total scam and a fraudulent system. How it ever lasted this long is beyond me, but this house of cards is about to come crashing down, and unfortunately it's taking us all with it...
Originally posted by Growling Lion
2. High unemployment - unemployment before the crash during 1923-29 averaged 3.3%. For four years after the crash we increased every year till we reached a whopping 24.9%. Currently, we are at 6.5%. We seem to be good now, but we should note that during the Depression the rate kept increasing for four years and we just got into this mess heavily this year.