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While European banks may or may not succeed in delaying the inevitable unwind of the Eurozone by a month or two, the European credit catastrophe is taking on a grotesque form, first in Greece, where following news that the budget deficit will soar past an unprecedented 10% of GDP, the Greek government has halted virtually all cash outflows.
*FITCH: EFSF DEBT 'AAA' RATING DEPENDS ON FRANCE REMAINING 'AAA'
Originally posted by GoalPoster
How the hell can bank stocks come roaring back when the whole banking system is the same cesspool of debt and lies and cheats that it was yesterday?
Originally posted by Vitchilo
Originally posted by GoalPoster
How the hell can bank stocks come roaring back when the whole banking system is the same cesspool of debt and lies and cheats that it was yesterday?
Hope and change. And FED money.
where in the hell are the republicans in congress when the hammer needs to come down on banks and the investment houses?
quit with the rant on Obama
and force the republicans to crack down with their own legislation against the big banks.
i guess the democrats are the only ones with the balls to take them on.
the republicans have their noses buried so deep up the behinds of wallstreet, that the only thing they can do is blame Obama.
Originally posted by jimmyx
Originally posted by Vitchilo
Originally posted by GoalPoster
How the hell can bank stocks come roaring back when the whole banking system is the same cesspool of debt and lies and cheats that it was yesterday?
Hope and change. And FED money.
where in the hell are the republicans in congress when the hammer needs to come down on banks and the investment houses? quit with the rant on Obama, and force the republicans to crack down with their own legislation against the big banks. i guess the democrats are the only ones with the balls to take them on. the republicans have their noses buried so deep up the behinds of wallstreet, that the only thing they can do is blame Obama... what a crock of right-wing crap.
The U.S. National Security Agency (NSA) warrantless surveillance controversy
("Warrantless Wiretapping") concerns surveillance of persons within the United
States during the collection of foreign intelligence by the NSA as part of the war on
terror. These 19 guys and a camel have been used to take all our liberties away.
First was the "Warrantless Wiretapping" and then the kill switch for the internet,
and now it is the National Defense Authorization Act that will authorize the military to
attack citizens like the Occupy Wall Street crowd and anyone else that protests about the destruction of the
Constitution and eventually what happens when government encounters the “no bid day” and cannot sell its debt
any longer. They will need the troops to stem the civil unrest. They will never criminally charge Goldman Sachs for
(1) they did the reverse takeover of government and even ran Princeton Economics by court order, and (2) the
government needs them to sell their debt. Only Ron Paul has the courage to stand tall. The press tries so hard to
ignore him but the polls show he is the ONLY person who could beat
Obama, yet the Republicans ignore him. Obama talked a good game but did
nothing different from Bush. They are turning out the lights.
Ron Paul is our last hope before we go completely down the
rabbit hole. We have to turn politics on its head before it is too
late. It’s the debt and Goldman will fail keep it rolling forever.
December 20, 2011
London Trader - We are Witnessing a Historic Bottom in Gold
With many investors worried the price of gold could head lower, today King World News interviewed the “London Trader” to get his take on the gold market. The source stated, “The Chinese have continued to take delivery of both physical gold and silver directly from the ETF’s GLD and SLV. They are also going directly to producers. Entities are bypassing the COMEX altogether and going straight to gold mining companies. Every single month producers have a certain amount of gold and silver they sell. Normally they sell it to the bullion banks and the bullion banks, of course, leverage this gold and sell up to 100 times that in paper markets to control prices.”
Interestingly, so many people are bearish on gold right now and looking for a collapse in the price of gold. They don’t understand what is happening in the physical market. The bullish fundamentals I just described to you have enormous implications.
We are making a historic bottom right now. The paper gold, or virtual gold market, has diverged so far from the physical market that it’s no longer a credible marketplace. That’s the key thing that came out of a very important meeting I was in yesterday where we had some serious players. The people I was meeting with are all on the buy side and have been since the lows last week. - Full Text
The Italian economy contracted in the third quarter, signaling the country may have entered its fifth recession since 2001 as the government adopts new austerity measures that will further weigh on growth.
Gross domestic product declined 0.2 percent from the second quarter, when it expanded 0.3 percent, national statistics institute Istat said in Rome today. It was the first contraction since the final three months of 2009 and matched the median forecast in a survey of 23 economists by Bloomberg News.
Consumer spending declined 0.2 percent from the second quarter, with investment contracting 0.6 percent. Exports grew 1.6 percent in the quarter, while imports fell 1.1 percent.
Eurozone banks have rushed to take out cheap three-year loans offered by the European Central Bank, borrowing 489bn euros ($643bn; £375bn).
The central bank had hoped to lend up to 450bn euros to stop another credit crunch crippling the banking system.
When the plan was announced, French President Nicholas Sarkozy said banks could use the money to invest in eurozone sovereign debt.
However, analysts were uncertain if banks will use the money in this way.
"The very heavy take-up of the ECB's three-year long-term refinancing operation (LTRO) provides some encouragement that banks' liquidity needs are being amply met," said Jonathon Loynes, Chief European Economist at Capital Economics.
"But while this might help to address recent signs of renewed tensions in credit markets and support bank lending, we remain sceptical of the idea that the operation will ease the sovereign debt crisis too as banks use the funds to purchase large volumes of peripheral government bonds."
This was the European Central Bank's first offer of three-year loans and although the offer was seen as a success, its impact on the eurozone economy is still unsure...
...There are hopes that the banks taking the loans from the ECB at low interest rates will then buy sovereign bonds from countries such as Italy and Spain which offer a much higher yield, dubbed Sarkozy trade after the French president's encouragement for banks to do this.
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- An average of 14% fewer existing homes were sold annually between 2007 and 2010, according to revisions reported Wednesday by the National Association of Realtors, pointing to a housing market that was even weaker than previously believed. During the revision's time period, there were average annual sales of about 4.42 million existing homes, compared with prior estimates of about 5.16 million. NAR revised the data to correct for some sampling and data-reporting problems. Going forward NAR will annually re-benchmark data.
In U.S. style central banking, liquidity is furnished to the economy primarily through the purchase of Treasury bonds by the Federal Reserve Bank. The Eurosystem uses a different method. There are about 1500 eligible banks which may bid for short term repo contracts of two weeks to three months duration.
The banks in effect borrow cash and must pay it back; the short durations allow interest rates to be adjusted continually. When the repo notes come due the participating banks bid again. An increase in the quantity of notes offered at auction allows an increase in liquidity in the economy. A decrease has the contrary effect. The contracts are carried on the asset side of the European Central Bank's balance sheet and the resulting deposits in member banks are carried as a liability. In lay terms, the liability of the central bank is money, and an increase in deposits in member banks, carried as a liability by the central bank, means that more money has been put into the economy.
All lending to credit institutions must be collateralised as required by Article 18 of the Statute of the ESCB.
In 2007, there were actually just 5.04 million existing home sales, 11% less than the 5.65 million originally reported. Even worse were 2008 and 2009, when there were 16% fewer sales than originally reported. Sales in 2010 were 15% lower
You have to wonder.
It was expected that the ECB's newly-minted three-year facility would put about €400 billion into the market this morning. Instead, it was somewhere around €600 billion, expanding the ECB's balance sheet by a literal 20% overnight.
Essentially every bank of consequence in the ECB clamored to the ECB's window to borrow the cheap money, with Draghi egging everyone on. This, you would think, would be cause for an extension of yesterday's rally, since expansion of borrowing is a good thing, right?
Not so fast.
The market appears to have discerned that the European area banks have literally pulled the pin on a financial doomsday trade.
Yesterday European spreads screamed inward as "someone" was buying the hell out of European debt. Today we learned who it was -- everyone.
Of course nobody "officially" can be told what to use the money for, but it doesn't really matter. What we have happening here is that there's little question that adding more than €500 billion in additional leverage to the European system is a "good thing" -- that's definitely bad.
Many people in the financial community expected that it would be several days or week before the market figured it out. Instead people started to noodle on this literally within minutes and it appears they also immediately came to their senses as to the wisdom (or lack thereof) of what the ECB has just done.
There's one way to think of this that parallels our experience here in the US -- think of this as the Lehman Trade, or the MF Global Trade, or if you prefer the Fannie and Freddie trade. The latter is probably more-appropriate, given that there are a number of banks over in the Euro Zone, including some really big ones, with leverage ratios approaching (or even exceeding!) 60:1. If this trade "works" and nobody loses more than 2% or so you make more money than you ever have before and everyone gets really big bonuses!
If it fails, well, there's no Euro, there's no bank, the governments involved probably collapse and there's likely to be a war, so who gives a damn -- go for it!
•Italy is Insolvent: The International Monetary Fund may be forced to classify Italy as insolvent during the first half of 2012… IMF economists described a debt-to-GDP ratio of 120 percent as “the maximum level considered sustainable for a market access country” (BBG)
EFSF LENDING CAPACITY MAY DROP TO EU293 BLN, CULLINAN SAYS
EURO RESCUE FUND'S CAPACITY MAY FALL BY A THIRD, CULLINAN SAYS
EURO RESCUE FUND MAY SHRINK ON FRANCE DOWNGRADE, CULLINAN SAYS
S&P SOVEREIGN RATINGS DIRECTOR CULLINAN COMMENTS IN E-MAIL
Portugal's Treasury and Government Debt Agency, IGCP, said Friday it decided not to proceed with the three-month Treasury bill auction scheduled for Dec. 21.