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Originally posted by fromunclexcommunicate
Recent equity market quotes moving into positive territory as the US dollar stays in yesterdays trading range.
If I didn't know better I would say the dollar is trying to find a bottom here and the markets are responding with a narrowing topping pattern.
There is some support for the dollar down around 76 looking back at last years charts and even more support at 73. Fundamentally the dollar is worthless at this point so I don't know why they stopped shorting it in the 77 range.
The Asian markets took profits overnight but there is still no evidence of a trend reversal in the indicators that I've been watching. GBM's bear flags and narrowing triangles on the S&P have not broken out to the down side yet, and if the traders decide to make some more money shorting the dollar that narrow trading range could even break out to the upside.
Emotionally the bear in me would like to assume the position next to the salmon ladder and start feeding, but you need to stick with your technical indicators when they are working for you or else its just gambling.
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Originally posted by fromunclexcommunicate
Recent equity market quotes moving into positive territory as the US dollar stays in yesterdays trading range.
If I didn't know better I would say the dollar is trying to find a bottom here and the markets are responding with a narrowing topping pattern.
There is some support for the dollar down around 76 looking back at last years charts and even more support at 73. Fundamentally the dollar is worthless at this point so I don't know why they stopped shorting it in the 77 range.
The Asian markets took profits overnight but there is still no evidence of a trend reversal in the indicators that I've been watching. GBM's bear flags and narrowing triangles on the S&P have not broken out to the down side yet, and if the traders decide to make some more money shorting the dollar that narrow trading range could even break out to the upside.
Emotionally the bear in me would like to assume the position next to the salmon ladder and start feeding, but you need to stick with your technical indicators when they are working for you or else its just gambling.
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
Nobody is giving up anything right now..
Pretty interesting..
Looks like my dad's nosehair casted a shadow
here
[edit on 5-8-2009 by GreenBicMan]
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Originally posted by fromunclexcommunicate
Recent equity market quotes moving into positive territory as the US dollar stays in yesterdays trading range.
If I didn't know better I would say the dollar is trying to find a bottom here and the markets are responding with a narrowing topping pattern.
There is some support for the dollar down around 76 looking back at last years charts and even more support at 73. Fundamentally the dollar is worthless at this point so I don't know why they stopped shorting it in the 77 range.
The Asian markets took profits overnight but there is still no evidence of a trend reversal in the indicators that I've been watching. GBM's bear flags and narrowing triangles on the S&P have not broken out to the down side yet, and if the traders decide to make some more money shorting the dollar that narrow trading range could even break out to the upside.
Emotionally the bear in me would like to assume the position next to the salmon ladder and start feeding, but you need to stick with your technical indicators when they are working for you or else its just gambling.
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
[edit on 5-8-2009 by fromunclexcommunicate]
Nobody is giving up anything right now..
Pretty interesting..
Looks like my dad's nosehair casted a shadow
here
[edit on 5-8-2009 by GreenBicMan]
To me the weekly chart is signaling for 1 more up week because when we break out of a MA usually gets overbought then immed. shorted back under where it consolidates and then breaks again for real this time either testing again or incases of times like these.. just takes off..
I wonder how many people are losing either
A) Opportunity Cost
B) Dollars shorting this thing
With the right approach you can still make money shorting this.. but you will be risking 20:1 by the time you keep accumulating shorts at a higher price (plus margin if equities.. ouch)
FROMUNCLE.. what is your approach and what are you viewing? PM me if you are not comfortable releasing information to pub.
www.sierrachart.com...
Thanks
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Cough, cough, cough, cough
DID the GBM just see a dizzouble tizzop on this flizzop? (30 min)
Know in 30 mins lol
* Hizzerre *
U.S. Lost 371,000 Jobs in July, More Than Economists Estimated, ADP Says
www.bloomberg.com...
Aug. 5 (Bloomberg) -- Companies in the U.S. cut fewer jobs in July as the worst recession since the Great Depression eased, a private report based on payroll data showed today.
The estimated 371,000 drop was higher than economists forecast, and followed a revised drop of 463,000 the prior month, figures from ADP Employer Services showed today.
Stabilization in housing and manufacturing and help from the federal stimulus effort will usher economic growth this quarter, economists say. Consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, may be slow to gain speed as home prices fall, wages stagnate and unemployment climbs.
“We’ll have a weak labor market for many, many months,” Brian Bethune, chief U.S. financial economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts, said before the report. “Consumers are going to be reluctant to go out and make major purchases.”
The Labor Department’s payrolls report, due in two days, may show employers cut another 328,000 jobs in July and unemployment jumped to 9.6 percent, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
The economy already has lost 6.5 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007, the most of any economic slump since the Great Depression.
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Originally posted by GreenBicMan
Cough, cough, cough, cough
DID the GBM just see a dizzouble tizzop on this flizzop? (30 min)
Know in 30 mins lol
* Hizzerre *
www.sierrachart.com...
Job loss eases, but remains steep - ADP
money.cnn.com...
Report says private sector jobs fell at the smallest monthly rate in 9 months, but separate survey says planned reductions surged 31%.
Originally posted by marg6043
reply to post by Hx3_1963
Just remember that I warned already about how numbers will be played in the next few weeks including unemployment.
Contraction my friend contraction it plays good on numbers.
U.S. Treasury to Sell $75 Billion in Long-Term Debt Next Week
www.bloomberg.com...
Aug. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury plans to sell a record $75 billion in its quarterly auctions of debt next week and also indicated plans to expand inflation-indexed securities next year as it finances unprecedented budget deficits.
The Treasury plans to auction $37 billion in three-year notes on Aug. 11, $23 billion in 10-year notes Aug. 12 and $15 billion in 30-year bonds Aug. 13. The amounts matched the median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.
The Treasury’s current borrowing calendar is “sufficient” to meet the government’s needs and auction sizes are likely to rise in a “gradual manner” over the medium term, a Treasury statement in Washington said today. The Treasury signaled that issuance of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities program will rise in fiscal year 2010 and said it would consider replacing the 20-year TIPS with a 30-year security.
“Near-term financing needs will rise as a result of weakness in the economy,” Karthik Ramanathan, the department’s debt-management director, told the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee yesterday, according to minutes of the meeting. The Treasury is “well-poised to meet the balance of its financing requirements not only for the remainder of the year but also fiscal 2010.”
The Treasury also said it expects to run up against the debt ceiling, which currently stands at $12.1 trillion, in the last three months of the 2009 calendar year. The Treasury said it would keep Congress and the markets apprised of developments, “given the uncertainty surrounding potential borrowing needs.”
The Treasury is “well-poised to meet the balance of its financing requirements not only for the remainder of the year but also fiscal 2010.”