Could Michael Lee's Earthquake predictions have some merit.

With the latest Earthquake in Siberia I'm wondering a theory i have been following has some merit that earthquakes and lunar and solar eclipses have something in common.
There was a solar eclipse on the 1st of august in Siberia.
below is an article i found.

Luke Harding in Moscow The Guardian, Friday August 1 2008 Article history thousands of people from all over the world were gathering yesterday in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk before a rare total solar eclipse today.

The eclipse - the moon passing between the Earth and the sun - begins in northern Canada at 9.45am GMT. It will then sweep across Greenland, western Siberia and Mongolia. It will reach northern China an hour and a half later - then disappear.

Officials said 15,000 amateur and professional astronomers had descended on Novosibirsk, Russia's third largest city, which lies directly under the eclipse's path. In theory, Novosibirsk will be blanketed in darkness for two minutes and 20 seconds - at 5.45pm local time (10.45am GMT). Yesterday, however, officials admitted that there was a strong possibility it would rain.

"If it does rain it will be dark like at night," said Sergei Neshumov, a spokesman for Novosibirsk's mayor. "Despite the forecast the mood is good. People are excited. After all, our last solar eclipse happened 300 years ago."

Eclipse-chasers from across Europe and the US had flown in for the occasion, he said. The city has organised 16 special viewing areas, equipped with telescopes. Hotels - fully booked - have been doling out eclipse glasses.

The eclipse will be partially visible from other parts of Europe and Asia, and the eastern part of north America, with a 58% eclipse predicted for Moscow. The forecast for northern China is sunshine.

Also interestingly there was a partial lunar eclipse on the 16th of August that passed over that region as well

eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov...

My interest in this came from a show on the SciFi channel called "Sightings"
Michael lee a teacher in religion and history has come up with the theory i think it deserves some discussion.

Sadly i cant find much on the guy bar ringing the school in Hawaii (which i still might)
he had a prediction site but its down and sure it could all be "baloney"
the school have distanced them selves a bit from him but don't doubt his sincerity.


Nobody at the University of Hawaii predicts earthquakes. The person on "Sightings" was Michael Lee, a teacher of religion and history at Damien High School in Honolulu.
I am convinced that Mr. Lee's predictions have no merit. His basic idea is that an earthquake occurs sometime after the passage of a lunar eclipse in the area from which the eclipse is visible. The trouble is that the areas involved are huge, and his prediction windows last for as long as sixteen days after an eclipse. Since the Earth has about ten earthquakes of greater than magnitude 5 every day, Lee's technique is guaranteed to "predict" a large number of earthquakes, regardless of whether there is actually a link between earthquakes and eclipses. Lee claims a success rate of 40%. 40% seems impressive, until you realize that if you chose locations completely at random (instead of being guided by eclipses) but otherwise followed his procedure, you would also get a 40% hit rate. In other words, Mr. Lee's predictions are no better than completely random guesses. In saying this, however, I do not mean to imply that Mr. Lee is in any way insincere; I am sure he is convinced that his method works.
You can make up your own mind after visiting Mr. Lee's earthquake prediction web page

Gerard Fryer
Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology
University of Hawaii, Honolulu HI 96822

When i went to check the page its gone!
But was wondering if anyone else here has heard of this theory considering the location of both lunar and solar eclipses
I'm thinking maybe he does have some merit after all.

Ok i know im not the best at this thats why i dont start to many threads lol
i was so keen on starting a discussion on this.
No worries i will dig around for the video in question and see if i cant beef my explination a bit better
Hay there could be nothing in it atall.

Just thought i would have a go!!!!

reply to post by MinMin


This is Mr. Lee;

The huge elevated spot seen on the sun by NASA,s Solar Dynamic Observatory on October 15, 2010 will have
real impact here on earth.

Halemaumau crater at the Volcano's National Park on the Big Island of Hawaii will erupt at the end of October the beginning of November 2010 and fill up Halemaumau Crater with lava and move East ward to Hilo town towards its path to the sea.

Read my earthquake posting, and volcanic postings and my 2012 postings on this network.

I new a new B here just came out of retirement because of the earth shattering foces I fore see coming.

Aloha,

Michael Kumukauoha Lee
Ewa Beach , Oahu, Hawaii

p.s. If you wondered what Ive been up to I have been working on a Coronal Mass Ejection method of predicting
solar storms and ejections. And go to Google search type in 'Michael Kumukauoha Lee Ewa Limu Project"
as I have been tring to save our Hawaiian cultural practices and environment as well.

reply to post by Mr. Lee


Aloha Mr. Lee,

I dare say that minmin will be extremely surprised to see you here at ATS :-)

I am watching Hawaii closely.