Let's compare Obama to our current president and his 4 most immediate predecessors, shall we?
In the last 32 Years, since the election of Jimmy Carter in 1976, Obama, if elected,
- would be tied for number 1 out of 6 presidents in years of elected service at time taking office.
- He would be number 2 out of 6 presidents in years of service if you counted executive appointed offices.
- Would be number 1 out of 6 in years of legislative experience, with 50% More Legislative experience than the other 5 presidents COMBINED
- He would be number 2 out of 6 in years of federal government service
BUT
- He would be number 6 out of 6 in years of Executive Government Service- as the only president in the last 32 years with none.
So the question is, "What kind of experience counts when it comes to preparing to be president of the United States?"
Let's consider exactly what the president does and what the job requires.
According to the Constitution (leaving any questions about its practical relevance aside for the moment, if I may tell the truth in jest) the
president:
United States Constitution, Article 2,
Section 2: Presidential Powers
Number 1.
The President shall be Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States...
Commander in Chief. The president has to make military decisions. What kind of experience prepares one for that? If you can't work in the Pentagon or
the White House, the next best preparation is the Congress. Governors and State Legislatures do not deal extensively with hostile military actions.
One could then argue that Obama would be the 2nd most qualified Commander in Chief of the last 32 years, behind George H W Bush, who was Vice
President for 8 years and Director of Central Intelligence for 1 year.
Next
he may require the Opinion, in writing, of the principal Officer in each of the executive Departments, upon any subject relating to the Duties of
their respective Offices,
The President manages the cabinet. That's an interesting one because it hits on a little understood point of the American executive branch. The
President, whether you subscribe to the idea of an imperial presidency/decider or see him as merely a constitutionally hog-tied paper-pusher, or
somewhere in between, ultimately is there to direct the abilities of the rest of the executive, not to generate it himself. The constitutional
description of the president is not that of the "head idea guy"; he doesn't have to possess all of the answers. He has to know how to get the
answers from the people who have them- which in theory is supposed to be his cabinet and the resources at their disposal.
Never the less, that's not an idle job. There are good and bad managers. What does the tale of the tape on experience suggest that Barack Obama would
be? The campaign is actually one of the best indicators of managerial strength in my opinion.
The recent Democratic Primary stands in my mind as a prime example. Clinton biographer Gail Sheehy has suggested that Clinton's bid was doomed by
poor campaign organization.
Guardian
And Obama could not have pulled of his victory without his enormous performances in the caucus states. This was
already being discussed in 2007, before the
victories even began with the Iowa upset that virtually nobody fully anticipated before December 2007, when the Obama organization started generating
a large number of likely first-time caucus goers (
Wikipedia.
(You'll forgive me for also reminding you that I
correctly predicted Obama's
victory AND Clinton's 3rd Place finish in Iowa in April 2007)
What's more, Obama has lost fewer elections than any of the previous 5 presidents. He's only lost 1. And that's to say nothing of his past career
as a community organizer. The man can definitely manage.
Next Duty
and he shall have power to Grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offenses against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.
A little bird from Arkansas told me that presidents should do as little of that as possible. One from Texas added that if you absolutely have to do
it, you're better off to wait until the end of your term, like the bird from Arkansas did.
Next
He shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and
he shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the
supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established
by Law...
Obama's legislative experience should make him more attuned than his predecessors to the advice and consent process (although admittedly not as well
as McCain). If one does not subscribe to the Stewardship Theory which has evolved into the modern presidency, as I happen not to, then this is the
sole requirement raised by the above section of the constitution. If on the other hand you do believe that extra-constitutional documents such as
executive agreements have valid standing, you will likely be even more concerned about Obama's management of his state department than others (as
answered for in the point on management above). I realize that management skills alone won't convince everyone. Some would prefer to have a president
who is a stand-alone expert on foreign policy (it certainly wouldn't hurt right now, I admit, if we had a legitimate foreign policy genius
somewhere in Washington D.C. (foreign embassies notwithstanding)). But the presidency of George H.W. Bush offers a great deal of insight into
what happens to presidents who are stand-alone experts in one field- in fact, conveniently, in this case the field in question is foreign policy.
Bush 41 had a respectable foreign policy resume, but that brought with it an unjustified confidence in situations which demanded further inspection.
The building of a coalition for the Persian Gulf War was masterful, but his understanding of middle eastern politics in particular was not, and this
resulted in a major unintended upswing in hostility towards the United States even while we sacrificed the goal of removing Saddam Hussien in the name
of bringing Arab states into the coalition.
In short, I believe that Obama's experience prepares him for the presidency as constitutionally described (per my admittedly unofficial
interpretation), which is to say that Obama is well prepared to serve this nation as a concensus builder and as a shared resource of the Congress (as
executor of the laws congress passes) and the People (through his check upon the congress- the veto).
On the other hand, Obama is not prepared to manage an imperial presidency. That is to say that he is not ready to conceive and implement policy on his
own, running rough-shod over both congress and dissenters within his administration. Obama does need other people. He needs to be fed information, he
needs to intellectualize over the options and opinions he is presented with, question them, etc. He is, to put it indelicately, Bizarro Bush. I see
that as a good thing. I can see why others would have legitimate concerns over that.
Of course it is counterintuitive to view inabilities as strengths. However my rationale is simple. Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety
deserve neither. IF, and I stress IF it is true that only a strong executive can keep America secure, I would still favor a weak executive. Point
nuclear weapons at me. Send suicide bombers after me. Put anthrax in my mailbox. But don't tell me what to do. Because I'm an American, and that
means that if you want to see me cry, hitting me won't work- but not letting me have things my way probably will.
Oh, and Here are all the numbers for you:
Years in Any Government Office, from Most to Fewest:
1. George H.W. Bush_(16 Years)
2. Barack Obama____(12 Years)
3. Ronald Reagan____(8 Years)
3. Jimmy Carter_____(8 Years)
4. Bill Clinton_______(6 Years)
4. George W Bush___(6 Years)
Years in ELECTED Government Office, from Most to Fewest:
1. George H.W. Bush_(12 Years)
1. Barack Obama____(12 Years)
2. Ronald Reagan____(8 Years)
2. Jimmy Carter_____(8 Years)
3. Bill Clinton_______(6 Years)
3. George W Bush___(6 Years)
Total Legislative Experience
1. Barack Obama____(12 Years)
2. George H.W. Bush_(4 Years)
2. Jimmy Carter_____(4 Years)
3. Ronald Reagan____(None)
3. Bill Clinton_______(None)
3. George W Bush___(None)
Total Federal Government Experience
1. George H.W. Bush_(12 Years)
2. Barack Obama____(4 Years)
3. Jimmy Carter_____(None)
3. Ronald Reagan____(None)
3. Bill Clinton_______(None)
3. George W Bush___(None)
*All years of service are calculated up until the time of election (or in Obama's case, possible election) to the Presidency.
Barack Obama:
Career before office: Community/Political Activist and Organizer
Elected Legislative Experience: 11 Years
- State Experience: 7 Years
- Federal Experience: 4 Years
Elected Executive Experience: None
Appointed Executive Experience: None
Total Years in Elected office: 11 Years
Total Years in Government office: 11 Years
George W Bush:
Career before office: Corporate Chairman
Elected Legislative Experience: None
- State Experience: None
- Federal Experience: None
Elected Executive Experience: 6 Years
Appointed Executive Experience: None
Total Years in Elected office: 6 Years
Total Years in Government office: 6 Years
Bill Clinton:
Career before office: Professor, Lawyer
Elected Legislative Experience: None
- State Experience: 4 Years
- Federal Experience: None
Elected Executive Experience: *4 Years (2 years Attorney General, 2 years Governor)
Appointed Executive Experience: None
Total Years in Elected office: 4 Years
Total Years in Government office: 4 Years
George H W Bush:
Career before office: Businessman (oil)
Elected Legislative Experience: 4 Years
- State Experience: None
- Federal Experience: 4 Years
Elected Executive Experience: 8 Years
Appointed Executive Experience: 4 Years
Total Years in Elected office: 12 Years
Total Years in Government office:16 Years
Ronald Reagan:
Career before office: Actor, Corporate Spokesman
Elected Legislative Experience: None
- State Experience: None
- Federal Experience: None
Elected Executive Experience: 8 Years (Governor of CA)
Appointed Executive Experience: None
Total Years in Elected office: 8 Years
Total Years in Government office: 8 Years
Jimmy Carter:
Career before office: Farmer
Elected Legislative Experience: 4 Years
- State Experience: 4 Years
- Federal Experience: None
Elected Executive Experience: 4 Years (Governor of GA)
Appointed Executive Experience: None
Total Years in Elected office: 8 Years
Total Years in Government office: 8 Years