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Originally posted by marg6043
www.economyincrisis.org...
BTW Saudis only are the third country that sells oil to us, first is Canada, second Mexico and fourth Venezuela so to be able to drop a nuclear bomb in the markets, Canada and Mexico will have to agree to it too or be forced to follow the Saudis.
[edit on 20-6-2008 by marg6043]
Originally posted by yellowcard
But you are completely ignoring the bond market's power over the forex...if people dumped U.S. treasuries the Yields would sore and become more attractive to investors...it would kill the debt market but the dollar's strength would probably be better of in the long run, because higher yields would force Congress to make budget cuts, money would no longer be easy [easy credit] (which is the main reason the dollar is so weak). Another reason the dollar is trash now is because the Fed Funds rate is below the inflation rate, a sell off of t-notes would force yields well above the inflation rate. In actual printed money, we have hardly printed any, it's our debt which is out of control..but if it pays a high yield people will want to hold it and obviously tighter credit, is a tighter money supply = stronger dollar [it would actually be more like a deflationary spiral].
Originally posted by yellowcard
You're right, it's not guaranteed success, it's an incentive to support our markets. Why would you dump an asset that is going to destory your own assets? You won't...we could collapse, but we now live in a world market, and the likelihood of a collapse is slim in the terms that Rome collapsed. We could have an economic collapse, but the market works and the world has an incentive to see that everything is going steady to support their own societies.
Originally posted by mybigunitaccording to M3 numbers the dollar supply is out the roof now compliments of the big government doing some big spending.
One of the most common misconceptions about OPEC is that the Organization is responsible for setting crude oil prices. Although OPEC did in fact set crude oil prices from the early 1970s to the mid-1980s, this is no longer the case.
In today's complex global markets, the price of crude oil is set by movements on the three major international petroleum exchanges, all of which have their own Web sites featuring information about oil prices. They are the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX, www.nymex.com...), the International Petroleum Exchange in London (IPE, www.ipe.uk.com...) and the Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX, www.simex.com.sg...).
The Web sites of the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA, www.iea.org...) and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA, www.eia.doe.gov...), also have extensive historical information on oil prices.
Originally posted by yellowcard
That is not actual printed money, that is debt held in bonds.
They would have to cut spending, and so would all Americans, if credit was so tight. High bond yields = tight credit market = less money available in the market. That's why when yields rise, so does the dollar's strength, currently the Fed has (again just like Greenspan) undercut the market and has the Fed Funds rate below the inflation rate which is murdering the dollar. When you couple that with a retarded Congress, you have trouble...but reality hits fast when you have a tight credit market.
Originally posted by mybigunitNo you wouldnt but like I said in another post that America isnt the cream of the crop as much as it used to be. There is money to be made in other places. I personally do all my investing in America but thats the patriot over dollar in me. Another thing you dont consider in financial warfare which I think will be used in the future and I think right now we would be hardpressed to win any financial wars right now.
Originally posted by yellowcard
I actually think America is setting up for an economic boom soon, if the cards fall correctly...and I think they just might.
Originally posted by marg6043
reply to post by yellowcard
OPEC are not the only ones setting the prices of oil.
Does OPEC Set Crude Oil Prices?
One of the most common misconceptions about OPEC is that the Organization is responsible for setting crude oil prices. Although OPEC did in fact set crude oil prices from the early 1970s to the mid-1980s, this is no longer the case.
In today's complex global markets, the price of crude oil is set by movements on the three major international petroleum exchanges, all of which have their own Web sites featuring information about oil prices. They are the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX, www.nymex.com...), the International Petroleum Exchange in London (IPE, www.ipe.uk.com...) and the Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX, www.simex.com.sg...).
The Web sites of the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA, www.iea.org...) and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA, www.eia.doe.gov...), also have extensive historical information on oil prices.
www.opec.org...
Originally posted by yellowcard
Originally posted by marg6043
www.economyincrisis.org...
That is not true at all, yes Canada and Mexico are out largest suppliers, but futures markets are set by global demand, not just U.S. demand. If the Saudi's undercut the market, the futures market will fall. Mexico and Canada aren't involved in OPEC anyhow.
That is not true. The futures markets are controlled by gamblers and speculators. over 95% of all contracts are purchased by those who will not take delivery. So 95% of the supply and demand equation is artificial. If the market was set only by those who actually take delivery, then you could say that prices are set much more by actual supply and demand. As long as the federal goverment, the federal reserve and wall street intrevene, pure supply and demand is just an archaic economic theory. As it is now almost all supply and demand dynamics are directly influenced by the parties above. This causes bubble like conditions and then a big bust when the party is over. Over night we will go from huge supply deficits to huge supply surpluses and oil will be back to the $75 range. It happens everytime with everything. But people never learn and are bound to take a huge haircut when it all blows once again.
Originally posted by marg6043
Why would they do that for, they are not our friends no matter what the Bush administration tells us, they are Arabs and they are supporters of terrorist organizations.
Their goal is to bring down the west for years, the greed of America consumption for oil, the meddling of our government in their lands and the support for Israel has made us their enemy, but an enemy that has made them filthy rich.
They actually do not need us anymore when they have an open and growing market in China and other developing countries like India.