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One of the long-running debates here in Jerusalem is whether or not the US and Israel are preparing the ground for a military strike on Iran.
There is vast disagreement here on this issue - and there are no easy answers.
But wheels are in motion.
As McClatchy reported last week, Israel has been laying the psychological foundations for a strike on Iran.
Today, The New York Times reports that Israel has also begun training for a military strike on Iran.
The New York Times report quoted U.S. officials as saying more than 100 Israeli F-16s and F-15s staged the maneuver over the eastern Mediterranean and Greece in the first week of June. It said the aircraft flew more than 900 miles (1,450 kilometers), roughly the distance from Israel to Iran's Natanz nuclear enrichment facility, and that the exercise included refueling tankers and helicopters capable of rescuing downed pilots.
The bill is the chief legislative priority of AIPAC. On its Web site, AIPAC endorses the resolutions as a way to ”Stop Iran’s Nuclear Program” and tells readers to lobby Congress to pass the bill. In the Senate, a sister resolution, Resolution 580, has gained co-sponsors with similar speed. The Senate measure was introduced by Indiana Democrat Evan Bayh on June 2. It has since gained 19 co-sponsors.
The bill’s key section “demands that the president initiate an international effort to immediately and dramatically increase the economic, political, and diplomatic pressure on Iran to verifiably suspend its nuclear enrichment activities by, inter alia, prohibiting the export to Iran of all refined petroleum products; imposing stringent inspection requirements on all persons, vehicles, ships, planes, trains, and cargo entering or departing Iran; and prohibiting the international movement of all Iranian officials not involved in negotiating the suspension of Iran’s nuclear program.”
If Israel and the US are going to bomb. They have to do it on a mass scale. They cant just take out the Nuckler plants.
Originally posted by jetxnet
If it follows convention, will go something like this:
- A US DoD Division for Information Warfare trys bringing down Iran's air defense network with a Virus prior to attack. It worked on Iraq's "Tiger Song" air defense network. It will not likely work this time as China has helped Iran with this network and learned from the past.
- Israel sorties begin first knocking out air defense facilities and runways. Israel will lose some planes, but not many. Hezbollah will fire missles at Israel, but Israel's air-defense will knock most of these down. A few will hit their targets, but nothing substantial.
- Israel continues sorties, but now strike Iran's main Nuclear centers. US gives sorties help with 5-10 Stealth bombers hitting the really big targets and hot backups on stand-by via the US 5th Fleet.
- Iran, launches some Sun-Burn II anti-ship missles with mobile launchers from rocky coast and manage to do some damage to a couple US warships. The US levels the rocky coast with the A-10 Warthogs.
Meanwhile, Russia has some Nuclear subs in the region on high alert should it go further. The US also has Nuclear subs in the region. Very tense, but Russia backs off.
China sitting quietly but getting ready to go after Taiwan.
Iran's nuke facilites will be nearly dessimated. Iran will be left to rethoric and strong talk about attacking the US and Israel in the future.
[edit on 25-6-2008 by jetxnet]
Originally posted by jetxnet
Those 10,000 rockets pointed at Israel are mostly 1950s Russian SCUD missles which are basically tin cans and next to worthless.
When Israel and Hezbollah went to war for several months last year (or the year bofore?), Hezbollah shot thousands of these missles at Israel and only killed under 100 people!! That is good of course, but these old SCUDs can't hit the broad side of a barn, and when they do, it only damages part of the building it hits or creates a small crater.
10 Patriots are more effective than those 10,000 SCUDS and would actually do more damage.
Iran has subs, but they are not Nuclear. They do not have the advanced Radar, nothing like the US has. The US would secure the region quite easily and quickly.
Also, a single US Agesis Destroyer can track and take out up to 100 targets simultaneously above and below Sea.
[edit on 25-6-2008 by jetxnet]