An Experiment in Alternative Methods of Earthquake Prediction

reply to post by Nyiah


Yah...excessive grouchiness here too, I'm afraid. I've been very grumpy recently, and was intrigued by the fact that none of us seemed to have too much precognition of the Alaska quake. I was wondering about casualties, and don't remember hearing any reported thank god, but perhaps what we're picking up on is the human reaction to quakes and not the geological event itself. Just an idea. I don't want to make it sound too much like "a disturbance in the force" thingy, but you know what I mean.

Had a horrible weekend with lots of personal stuff going on, so didn't pay much attention to other symptoms of even watching the news or ATS, but for me also, no real symptoms, not even in much pain with my joints, so all is good...hope it lasts.

Hi quake friends!

Something from me for this thread.

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Originally posted by MariaLida
I open this thread because I believe this time dangerous "West Coast" EQ stronger of M 7.0 + will appear in short time or couple of days after strong EQ in Chile ..

So Chile EQ I'm enough positive to post in public this time will effect West Coast EQ but we will see is my calculation accurate for next "West Coast" EQ ..

EQ will probably hit somewhere offshore in line from Mexico to California to Cascadia to B. Columbia ..

Also think this 2 EQ's very probably will happen in next 3-4 months or soon ..

I missed it. I had a distinct ringing in my ear, last night around 11pm. It was significant enough for me to stop what I was doing.

I was going to post to look out for a 4-5 EQ in Chile within the next few days. I was working on another post and forgot.

For some reason these distinct ringing episopdes seems to coincide with EQs in Chille.

A 5.1 magnitude earthquake occurred in "Antofagasta, Chile" (Longitude: -69.522°, Latitude: -24.268°, Depth: 115 meters) on January 9, 2013, 11:21:18 AM UTC.

I'm feeling it. Also, for a bunch of odd reasons, it feels Asian. Large.

Peace

reply to post by caitlinfae


It's possible. But whatever it is, human factor, or geological, it's persistent this time. Everyone's being a grouchy a-hole to each other the past few days, and it's not just me anymore. I've noticed passive/aggressive swipes, rudeness, curt comments, etc between people who don't usually behave like that at all. If they caught one of the virulent ills this winter, I could blame the rotten attitudes on that, but they're not ill. I just don't understand it.

reply to post by Nyiah


It does seem very odd that it's so prevalent...this grouchiness, I mean. I've had no real physical symptoms to speak of for at least three weeks now, which is very unusual for me, but the witch in me is off the chart and completely unapologetic about it. I had a huge row with my boss yesterday out of the blue...we are both fairly feisty women, but we both had been calm for months, and yesterday...well, I'm sure you saw the mushroom cloud. It almost certainly means she's one staff member short and I'm job hunting...

Other personal stuff in my life has lead to an arrest warrant (I'm not joking...no details, I'm sure you'll understand) but suffice to say, it's not MY arrest warrant!

Apart from that, I just feel like I've suddenly hit a moment where I honestly truly DO NOT CARE what other people think, apart from my lovely man, and my immediate family. It's like I've dropped all connection with stuff that really just doesn't matter at all, and all the superficial junk we surround ourselves with is nothing more than a distraction.

As for earth stuff, I'm picking up on nothing, no locations, no names, no sense of impending doom laden anything...very calm actually, and a sense of waiting for release of something if you like. Even the music in my head is very quiet just now, but perhaps that has more to do with personal stuff. Very often I get spirit messages in the form of music, so if there is something important going on around me, it's like everything else is silent so I can hear what's being communicated.

Wow, I can't believe we are so out of the 'loop' this time!

Hubby hasn't worn his cranky pants since I can't remember when.
Oldest daughter has been so pleasant,
that I thought maybe it was her New Year's resolution!
(But I was still afraid to ask her)!

Some mild symptoms, but some small activity closer to us,
Puerto Rico, Virginia...that might be doing it.

Don't know what to think! Hang in there everybody!

WOQ

I thought I'd see how everyone was doing/feeling in the past few days. Most of the grumpiness I noticed in myself & others has ebbed, and I'm not noticing anything out of the ordinary in terms of behaviors besides that residual crabby attitude aspect. I'm extremely tired today, though. I'm finding it hard to stay alert & focused.

My honest answer is I've been having a rotten time of it the past few days. And no, I haven't picked up any viruses or anything.

Frankly it wouldn't surprise in the least if we get another mag 7-range quake within the next three to five days or so. On average, we can expect one in the mag 7 range about every three weeks and it's only been 8 clear days since the last one on Jan 5, but that means little in the long-term scheme of things. Our planet's systems of energy balances don't work on such narrow times scales. While there can be two mag 7 quakes within a day, there can also be a break of months between them.

So, averages notwithstanding, I am expecting a pretty decent one within three to five days. A high mag six would not be that unusual (as we get a mag 6 range quake about every three days anyway), so for it to be significant it would have to be up at least in the mag 7 range.

As for location, I'm flummoxed. There are always the likely supects, like western coastal Sth America (Peru/Chile and maybe Bolivia), the Indonesian region, the Vanuatu/Solomon Islands area, and possibly even the Kamchatka region, but it would be less than helpful to say it's likely one of those. Actually I tend to feel that it won't be one of the former, which is what bothers me.

two regions that I've mentioned in the past couple of months and where nothing much has yet eventuated were Taiwan and Belize. Vastly different locations but actually with some tectonic similarities: they both have major faults either running through them or very close by, which are capable of mag 7-plus events and possibly even in the mag 8 range, and neither (especially Belize) have seen much action in the past few years.

Taiwan's last very bad quake was Sept 21, 1999. This mag 7.3 event was felt throughout the island and caused over 2,000 fatalities. The most recent one there in the 7 range was a mag 7.0 on Dec 26, 2006. (2 fatalities.)

As for Belize, there has been almost nothing of note there. Yet. But it neighbours Guatemala, and as we know, they had a pretty major quake there (mag 7.4) on Nov 7, 2012.

So, while I'm unable to pin down a location, I still feel the two above mentioned are worth keeping an eye on. I'd be interested in your own thoughts and impressions.

reply to post by MariaLida

Hi Maria,

just wanted to thank you for your post, and also ask you something: is there any way to narrow down your time scale? Three to four months is a very big time window and it would be helpful if you have any way to make it more specific. I appreciate that it depends on your methods, so I'm just asking.

~Mike

reply to post by JustMike


Mike every time around, something Asian is in front of me it seems. Even my kids homework has been on Asian topics. Dreams have been in Asia, everything.

I am worried your thoughts on Taiwan might be right.

Peace

reply to post by JustMike


Hi Mike ..

I just don't have free time for monitoring all data for accurate EQ prediction, I'm little out in last months because personal obligations and I'm not in my home town because of work so don't have what I need ..

I have some dates but I'm not positive so I post in longer period in next 3-4 months, think March or April we will have very strong EQ's and probably in predicted area ..

In February I will know more also calculation will be easier if EQ don't come, I will post 3-5 days prediction in advance if I be around my friend ..

Last time after posted Chile EQ swarm 7 days later come M 7.5 (M 7.7) offshore B: Columbia, it's second in that area (Queen Charlotte M 7.7) in last two months now probably will come further south

Like I say think this time strong EQ's and activity will be very connected for North and South America

All best to yo00u my friend, to next time ..

Peace ..

RM


Anyway we just had a M 5.5 B.Columbia area ..

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Originally posted by MariaLida
reply to post by JustMike

 

Anyway we just had a M 5.5 B.Columbia area ..

earthquake.usgs.gov...

edit on 14-1-2013 by MariaLida because: (no reason given)

GFZ

F-E Region: Southeastern Alaska

Time: 2013-01-14 14:55:55.5 UTC
Magnitude: 5.5 (Mw)
Epicenter: 134.52°W 55.14°N
Depth: 17 km
Status: M - manually revised

Watch this numbers ..

2013-01-14 14:55:55.5 5.5 55.14 134.52

Mike and Lasertaglover, I've been pondering this Asian location for the next large earthquake since you mentioned it because my mind immediately filled in with "minor" (in other words, Asia Minor) I'm wondering if the next major earthquake might instead be due for the eastern Mediterranean or Turkey itself. I'm not certain exactly how overdue in reality the region is for one, but I'm getting a sneaking feeling we might be expecting the big jolt in the wrong place.

Earlier tonight old cat was racing through the house,
then harassing young cat something awful,
even when we tried to get him to leave her alone!

I've been tripping over things that aren't there,
& bumping into stuff that is there!

I'm trying very hard at the moment to quash that little voice
that is saying, 'ummm, popcorn sure sounds good!'

Hubby is already asleep, so no input from him right now!

WOQ

reply to post by wasobservingquietly


Our cat is very, very independent, but tonight she was sticking to me like glue. She also did something she never does and thats pee all around her litter box rather than in it.

Dont know if it means anything at all, but thought I would post.

Peace

Had an eq that was downgraded to a 6.1, Pacific-Antarctic Ridge,
after I posted last time.

And old cat was at it again tonight.
But this time he didn't just make young cat run,
he kept chasing after her!

He was yowling off & on too!
Then he went in & went to sleep!

Hubby seemed a little bit 'short' & he went to sleep too!

Hmmm...
WOQ

Woke up to deep, long ear ringing today. Still going just as strong.

Peace

reply to post by Nyiah


My personal 'worry' regions, based on my feelings only, are the Juan de Fuca, Taiwan, Nepal, and the Atlantic ridge areas.

Havent had any feelings about the area you mentioned, but I'm wrong alot anyway lol.

Peace

reply to post by JustMike


Hey Mike, looking through google images, I found the Asian city from my dream last year. Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Same exact buildings and landmarks.

No idea if it is in a bad spot regarding faults, but it is the city.

There and Portland scared me horribly in my dreams.

Peace