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Fossil fuels are assumed to dominate energy supply for much of the 21st century as a consequence of their relatively low cost. As China and India develop, coal will be used more, largely for direct combustion, in the early part of the 21st century, with production of coal-sourced liquid fuels assuming increasing importance later. Nevertheless, it is assumed that by the end of the 21st century, nuclear power, biomass, and other renewable energy sources will provide almost half of global TPE.
The ratio of fossil fuel dependence compared to alternative energy dependence already shows that a quick shift to alternative energies is not possible or recommendable at the moment. This is why we need to "hit the brakes" a little, or as the debate title suggests, temporarily apply some suppression.
I will be arguing that we should continue to research, introduce and expand on alternative energy souces in a slow and controlled way...in the hope of having more energy options to choose from in the future.
I would also like to point out that rather than placing all of our hopes in energy sources that are currently not financially efficient, we should also be focussing on not wasting but saving the energy sources we do have.
Unless something new is invented or discovered, we need to rely on fossil fuels while expanding on alternative energy sources only step by step
Originally posted by LDragonFire
This debate "Some suppression of alternative energy sources is an economic necessity". In a nut shell, is that energy sources other than oil, coal, and natural gas should be phased in rather than used on a grand scale, because of the financial implications it would cause to current energy providers.
I will also like to show how our dependence on fossil fuels mostly from foreign sources is not good for our country, and I would like to show that the only ones that really benefit from this dependence on fossil fuels here in the USA and the Western world are the giant oil companies. The public will be the ones to gain form a varied energy output, both environmental and in price.
Dependence is not a good thing, at the present time we are dependent on oil and natural gas, mostly foreign oil and natural gas.
The problems with this are the variables that are beyond our control, the price of oil is mainly set by foreign governments and organizations.
I agree we must continue to research these alternative forms of energy, but not in a slow or controlled way. We should be pouring massive amounts of money into alternative energy sources
The one major hurdle to many of the alternate energy sources is economics. Oil is a very efficient energy source and there is still plenty of it. Not many products can produce 18,000 BTUs per pound, and cost almost the same as bottled watter. Right now, it is as profitable as ever and the demand continues to grow- year after year
Economic wise, it will continue to make sense to harvest more oil, as long as demand continue to grow. This will not be reduced unless the price of oil is so high that people completely change their habits. In plain English, as soon as the oil reaches 10 or 15 dollars per gallon we’ll start seeing changes. This is not going to happen until oil starts to become scarce.
Hydrogen- Requires changes to the cars we drive. Additionally, requires specialized facilities to distribute and contain it. It is still very expensive. It is said that it takes a lot of fossil energy with today’s technologies to harvest hydrogen. The pollution caused by producing hydrogen, outweighs the benefits it produce.
Yes, except that the grand scale shift away from fossil fuels would not only have financial implications for energy providers but for us all as it would lead to an international disaster. Considering that from the U.S. all the way to China the demand for transportation (cars, trains, planes) and plastics (which come from oil) is increasing by the minute we need a very slow transition indeed.
If a quick grandscale shift to alternative energy were viable, even oil companies themselves would start investing more in them. You would start investing in them as well. If something is economically viable, it spreads like the flu.
Socratic Question #1: If alternative energy is so damn viable, why dont we start investing in it on a grand scale?
Socratic Question #2: If "alternative" energy were a real alternative to our increasing energy demands, dont you think oil companies would have started investing in it a long time ago?
Just as Edison and Henry Ford were about to go into business together to offer a low cost electric car comparable to the Model T, a suspicious fire destroyed nearly all of Edison's West Orange, New Jersey research facility, curiously bypassing areas where the most flammable chemicals had been stored. Within months World War I would engulf Europe and eventually America and the dream of the electric car would fade into obscurity, a curious, forgotten footnote of history.
A 'Black' History of Our Oil Addiction
Yes, which is why we are feverishly looking for alternative ways. But we shouldnt be dumping oil until we´ve found a viable alternative.
The "tipping point" will arrive when the capital cost of solar power falls below $1 (51p) per watt, roughly the cost of carbon power. We are not there yet. The best options today vary from $3 to $4 per watt - down from $100 in the late 1970s.
Cheap solar power poised to undercut oil and gas by half
Produced at less than $1 per watt, the panels will dramatically reduce the cost of generating solar electricity and could power homes and businesses around the globe with clean energy for roughly the same cost as traditionally generated electricity.
New Low Cost Solar Panels Ready for Mass Production
Socratic Question #3: Are you implying that you havent and arent benefiting from fossil fuel-based products?
Yes, dependence is not a good thing. But a collapse of our economy is even worse.
Fuel cells combine hydrogen and oxygen to produce electricity. Their only waste product is water vapor. In the last five years, their power density - the ratio of power output to size - has increased ten-fold while their costs have decreased ten-fold. Every major automobile manufacturer has a program to develop fuel-cell-powered vehicles, and many experts predict that hydrogen-powered electric cars will appear on American roads in a few years.
Nuclear plants may be clean hydrogen source
Socratic Question #3: Is it the oil companies who are responsible`for our dependence on oil, or is it our demand and the fact that its still the cheapest grand scale option?
Originally posted by LDragonFire
The transition could be accomplished in less than five years IMHO.
We could start replacing gas and coal operated power plants with solar, wind and hydro electric ones possibly huge hydrogen fuel cell plants, when one alternative plant comes online, shut down a gas or coal even if we must double up on these alternative plants to meet increasing demand then so be it.
Right now cars made in China are more fuel efficient that American made vehicles, enact legislation to make all cars more fuel efficient.
Answer to question #1:
...the oil companies are making record profits we in my opinion have reached the end of cheap oil, and it’s a boom time for the oil industry, I don’t think they are interested in fixing what in their opinion isn’t broken.
...it is Not in their best interests for competition to spring up from alternative energy companies producing energy.
What happened to the electric car...
Cheap oil has driven the oil based economy were all familiar with, in fact it’s the base of our entire civilization. Our food production, medicine, industry, entertainment, everything is driven by oil; it is like the heroin the world so desperately needs on a daily basis. This is why we wont suddenly change what we are doing....
(Quoted from external source) The "tipping point" will arrive when the capital cost of solar power falls below $1 (51p) per watt, roughly the cost of carbon power. We are not there yet. ....
Well it seems we are well on our way but wait what’s this?
(external source) Produced at less than $1 per watt, the panels will dramatically reduce the cost of generating solar electricity ....
Socratic Question #3: Are you implying that you havent and arent benefiting from fossil fuel-based products?
I’m not sure why you would ask this, I’m using a computer made of plastic, and it’s plugged into my wall using electricity...
Skyfloating: "Yes, dependence is not a good thing. But a collapse of our economy is even worse"
I don’t see it this way at all. We need to rebuild our infrastructure anyway [bridges, sewers, water systems, underground power lines], we could include what I’m saying in that, it would put millions to work and the end result would be a more modern, efficient, cleaner energy infrastructure.
As for the hydrogen issue, this is what the Department of Energy has to say:
Socratic Question #1: Have the oil companies suppressed alternative energy methods, products and technologies?
Socratic Question #2: Do you think we have reached the end of cheap oil?
Socratic Question #3: Do you think OPEC can meet the demand of the world oil needs indefinitely?
WASHINGTON — President Bush set an ambitious goal in his State of the Union address: break the country's addiction to oil and move beyond a petroleum-based economy.
But those goals have remained elusive. In 1973, the United States consumed 17.3 million barrels per day of oil. Today, that number is up to 20.7 million barrels per day. The percentage of imported oil has risen more sharply over the period, increasing from nearly 35 percent to 60 percent.
...experts said, substantive change may be many years away.
"Oil is very deeply entrenched in our economy," said Peter Tertzakian, author of the new book, "A Thousand Barrels a Second: The Coming Oil Break Point and the Challenges Facing an Energy Dependent World." "And every year, we consume more and more oil, and it becomes more and more entrenched."
The president said technological breakthroughs encouraged by his plan "will help us reach another great goal: to replace more than 75 percent of our oil imports from the Middle East by 2025."
The White House wants to accelerate research into the production of "cellulosic ethanol" from plant fiber, an abundant renewable resource. The president talked about making the fuel from wood chips, stalks and switchgrass, which is commonly found in North America.
"He didn't propose anything having to do with energy efficiency, which is something that could help in the next 10 years, while he's developing all these new technologies," Steven Nadel, executive director of the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy. "How about making our vehicles more efficient? He didn't mention one thing about that."
The short-term goal is efficient energy use while gradually implementing more and more alternative energy, rather than going "cold turkey" on oil
Thats your opinion. How about backing some of your claims throughout this debate up with data, statistics, evidence?
Oh yeah? Have you done your math on this? Ive already shown how the demand for fossil fuels is so high and the ability of these "alternatives" to meet our demands so low, that this cant be done within the time-frame you suggest.
You´re a good dreamer, I´ll leave you that...but you also have to do your math. As shown, the science-communities consensus is that we will be able to make a transfer to 50% fossil fuels and 50% alternative energy (as opposed to the current 90%-10% now) within the next 50 years.
A Scottish company will deploy sausage-shaped tubes off Portugal to create the world's first commercial wave power plant, providing electricity to 1,500 homes from 2006, a partner in the Scottish firm said on Friday.
Newest Alternative Energy - Portugal's Wave Power Plant
Nobody can fault Ausra for lack of ambition. The solar power-plant maker has released a peer-reviewed paper claiming that solar-thermal electricity could power 90% of the US grid, with enough left over for plug-in hybrid cars. "The company estimates that such a changeover would eliminate 40 percent of the country's greenhouse gas emissions with a land footprint of 9,600 square miles, about the size of Vermont".
Ausra: Solar Power Around the Clock, Enough for 90% of U.S. Grid
The lucky sunny state of Arizona is about to become home to the world’s largest Solar Plant! Thanks to a just-announced contract between Abengoa Solar and Arizona Public Service Company (APS), the enormous solar plant called Solana will power up to 70,000 homes, and will be the first example in the country of a major utility getting the majority of its energy from solar. The 1900 acre plant will be completed by 2011
World’s Largest Solar Power Plant Coming to Arizona in 2011
Biofuels Power has opened up a 5-megawatt power plant that runs entirely on biodiesel--and it plans to follow up with another facility that can produce twice as much power.
Texas power plant runs on biodiesel
The conspiracy-theorist in me can even imagine that so-called free-energy has been suppressed. But an examination of hard factual evidence shows that we are responsible, our insatible demand is responsible for the current situation. Of course oil-companies have exploited our addiction...no doubt about it...but we are the ones who demand and use more and more and more. It should also not be too much of a stretch to realize that if everyone could profit from alternative energies they would have been established along time ago. Humans love profit. The reason alternative energy is not yet established as our main source of energy is because no overall profit is involved. Who´s going to deny that?
I dont know. If we had, Id think our government would be working harder on finding alternatives. I hope we reach the end of cheap oil some day because that would speed up the process you dream of.
Also, I would like to remind you that, strictly speaking, the debate topic is not about the environment but about the economic aspect of alternative energy.
#1. Do you agree that currently we´d need to build a huge amount of alternative energy stations in order to get the same output as a single power plant?
#2. Do you concede you cannot show how we are supposed to become completely independent from oil within the next five years?
The current U.S. dependence on oil is deeply rooted in government policies, the economy, national infrastructure and consumer habits. Unless Bush puts forward dramatic initiatives that alter the basic landscape, which now favors gasoline-powered automobiles, experts said, substantive change may be many years away.
The People's Almanac was a series of books published in the 1970s and 1980s by Irving Wallace, the novelist responsible for co-authoring the series The Book of Lists.
If a quick grandscale shift to alternative energy were viable, even oil companies themselves would start investing more in them. You would start investing in them as well. If something is economically viable, it spreads like the flu.
Socratic Question #1: If alternative energy is so damn viable, why dont we start investing in it on a grand scale?
Socratic Question #2: If "alternative" energy were a real alternative to our increasing energy demands, dont you think oil companies would have started investing in it a long time ago?
Well, normal business practice is to invest into the future. The oil companies having so much money to invest, would have started investing on a grand scale a long time ago...also in order to protect themselves from this supposedly "massive competition". The same applies to your answer to my second socratic question.
The report says investment capital flowing into renewable energy climbed from $80 billion in 2005 to a record $100 billion in 2006. As well, the renewable energy sector's growth "although still volatile ... is showing no sign of abating."
Investors Flock to Renewable Energy and Efficiency Technologies
As for your comments on Bush, I disagree: Because he is an oil man and keenly aware of the situation he would love to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Thats the very reason he tried promoting alternative energies. But he failed.
"Some suppresion of alternative energy is an economic necessity" because its way to early to allow this country to rely on energies that are not yet reliable in terms of economic feasibility, environmental safety, infrastructural integrity.
energy fueled in ways that do not use natural resources or harm the environment.[1]
This debate was an excellent example of back and forth proof, contradiction and vacillating argument. Both sides presented excellent arguments, but neither seemed to capitulate on their presentations.
The one recurring overall fact presented by Skyfloating that LDragonFire was unable to refute was the economic impact of a sudden shift in a primary energy source.
LDragonFire attempted to assuage that particular argument by suggesting simple legislation is the answer, but in so doing actually supported Skyfloating’s stance by correctly admitting the economic dependency on oil.
LDragonFire also spent a little too much time demonizing the Bush Administration taking him off topic, while Skyfloating joined him, Skyfloating was able to recover more fully and continue on with the debate topic. LDragonFire also made several statements that in my opinion actually supported Skyfloating’s stance.
Skyfloating wins the debate, but it was close