Here are a few of my thoughts. Let's say hypothetically it was secretly nuclear powered. I believe that the typical way to have a nuclear reaction
is to have something like plutonium impact uranium at incredible speed. I don't believe a simple explosion would make it go nuclear. It would
result in a radioactive debris field. Can some of you physicist types confirm or deny my thinking here?
That being said, shooting it down in orbit would likely cause a far worse situation than letting it fall from orbit. The radiation would spread over
vast stretches of the earth and cause a negative effect on the overall health of those exposed. However, perhaps they are hoping that in doing so no
one will be able to know details for certain. If it is blown to smithereens, can anyone give definitive truth as to whether it had a nuclear cargo?
If it were allowed to fall and someone got their hands on the wreckage or even just photos that revealed it to have a secret nuclear generator, there
would be some answering to do. And if it had proprietary technology (which it almost certainly would) that could be put into enemy hands.
Let's say hypothetically it is actually a nuclear weapons system satellite. First of all, duck and cover, because that is a very scary idea.
Secondly, the enemy could NEVER find out. I believe that would be in violation of treaty and would result in immediate deployment and/or divulsion of
similar satellites from our so called enemies. This would be a nuclear standoff that would make the Bay of Pigs pale in comparison. So if this were
the case, I have no doubt the U.S. would wish to have the station blown up immediately before anyone found out.
Let's say hypothetically that the only real threat is the hydrazine. We can almost certainly conclude (from looking at the past's politics and cold
war strategy) that this isn't simply for safety reasons. No matter what the intentions, it will be seen as a show of strength on the part of the
Americans against our enemies, particularly Russia and China.
And finally, there is one last issue that makes the whole situation seem fishy to me. I recently watched footage of a Delta II rocket exploding.
youtube.com...
The history channel discussed that as soon as ground control knew something was wrong (a crack in one of the stage 1 fuel tanks) they pulled the
switch and blew it to minimize collateral damage.
We are, therefore, to believe that the U.S. government placed a sensitive satellite into orbit without having a contingency plan? One would assume
that if there was something dangerous, illegal, or highly classified that they would implement a failsafe. Some kind of independent remotely
triggered self destruct. This seems logical, highly probable, and extremely more cost effective than shooting it down with a missile. Some might say
that including such an explosive increases the danger of the project. However, keep in mind that at launch time it is essentially and potentially the
biggest traditional bomb in existence. They know what they are doing. A small charge would be quite safe if placed on the right spot. If, for
instance, that charge became heated enough to explode without being triggered, you probably already have bigger problems taking place.
These things being said, my assumption (and that is all it is without concrete proof) is that we are using this situation and an opportune time to
test our missile defense system, with the secret benefit of flexing our muscles. I cannot believe that we do not have the capability to correct this
problem remotely. If so, this shows a level of incompetence over the handling of either public safety or national security that should not be
overlooked.