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Originally posted by disownedsky
Originally posted by NewWorldOver
Seriously: the nonsense is over. People know what they are seeing and when we read the reports, we know that they did not see regular airplanes etc.
I disagree,and for two reasons:
- The AP report is worse than useless for determining what people actually saw. Critical details are left out. As someone who's been in the fray of some widely reported science/technology stories, I'm not at all surprised if the media gets nearly everything wrong.
- All the studies agree that people do NOT know what they see, by and large. About 80% of all UFO reports are misperceptions. People are no well-equipped perceptually to estimate the size and distance of objects in the sky. In many cases, it simply isn't possible. Here on ATS, we have people constantly putting forth very common objects such as aircraft landing lights as UFOs.
Until we have the facts, and someone carefully sorts though the witness statements and puts together a coherent timeline, we can't say whether what these people saw was a misperception or not. We may never know.
Originally posted by ngchunter
Originally posted by Ectoterrestrial
reply to post by ngchunter
No offense, NGCHunter, but the Ponzo illusion probably doesn't apply to this case. I find it odd that you are using weakly linked phenomena to question the observations of something you weren't even present to analyze. Sounds like arbitrary negation of other's perceptions. Not particularly scientific.
How do you know it doesn't apply? .. From there, you still must have a way to infer the object's distance to be able to calculate its size, but to suggest that a lay witness could perform such a calculation in their head without knowing the true angular size is just plain silly.
Originally posted by Ectoterrestrial
Originally posted by ngchunter
Originally posted by Ectoterrestrial
reply to post by ngchunter
No offense, NGCHunter, but the Ponzo illusion probably doesn't apply to this case. I find it odd that you are using weakly linked phenomena to question the observations of something you weren't even present to analyze. Sounds like arbitrary negation of other's perceptions. Not particularly scientific.
How do you know it doesn't apply? It was in the sky and you're trying to put some kind of weight on a person's wild ass guess as to the object's size? The fact is that the ponzo illusion shows how completely useless nake eye measurements of an object's size are unless you have a constant point of reference of known angular size. Even the most ardent but intelligent ufologists will tell you that if you experience a sighting, measure the angular size of the object with your fist. THAT is the only way to get a real measurement of the object'ss size. From there, you still must have a way to infer the object's distance to be able to calculate its size, but to suggest that a lay witness could perform such a calculation in their head without knowing the true angular size is just plain silly.
I didn't say I know it doesn't apply. I said your attempt to apply it in this context is probably not useful. You are attempting to invalidate the eye witness accounts without
1) speaking to them
2) analyzing the actual information they present
How do you know that they didn't have
1) Motion as a frame of reference
or
2) More than a single horizon line to observe from
Both of which would invalidate the use of the Ponzo illusion.
In end, the ONLY analysis that will matter will be from those who bother to go down there, treat the observers with respect, LISTEN to them, and find out what happened, instead of dismissing them as 'laypeople'.
[edit on 15-1-2008 by Ectoterrestrial]
Originally posted by Watcher777
The sightings are not the amazing things anymore. The fact that MSM is reporting these sightings on a regular basis has the now become the amazing thing. We need to see this on a regular basis. Keep it in the publics faces
Originally posted by Crakeur
not sure if it's been mentioned but I found it odd that the article starts off talking about the clear, starry night skies and a few people talk about the lights on this thing and then the military guy goes on to say it was two airplanes with sunlight reflections creating an illusion.
an illusion of a craft at night? that's a copperfieldian illusion.
While federal officials insist there's a logical explanation, locals swear that it was larger, quieter, faster and lower to the ground than an airplane. They also said the object's lights changed configuration, unlike those of a plane. People in several towns who reported seeing it over several weeks have offered similar descriptions of the object.
Originally posted by stellawayten
reply to post by TheAvenger
The local papers first report was the 10th. It may have taken this long for the national media to pick it up. i don't know much about msm so not sure how long it would take them to pick it up.