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"This is a very sensitive political issue," said Zharas Takenov, the UNDP's environment team chief in Almaty.
"We lost the Aral Sea because we had several countries using the water. We have the same problem here. If there is no agreement with China on the amount of water it can use from the Ili, Balkhash will be damaged in the same way the Aral was."
"With the population growth curve, agriculture, industry and urbanisation in the western areas of China, there is of course going to be more water use on the Chinese side," Mr Akcura said.
To make things worse, the lake is already being intensively polluted by industrial waste and sewage.