Large Atlantic hurricane to hit on August 23rd, with many others to follow.

A very large hurricane is predicted to hit the Gulf Coast on or around the 23rd of August. The weather pattern seems to continue brewing very powerful storms over Africa. These storms are also on the same track as the storm that will only grow in warmer water that is directly in it's path. Note these are reliable models and are used daily for extended forcasts.

Check out the prediction centers GFS map, just click animate, and watch the Western African Coast:
Atlantic GFS Model

Who predicted this? I looked at the link. This is a normal meteorological map. Is there any other link making a prediction. Predicting weather a week ahead is hard enough let alone 2 weeks ahead of time.

Originally posted by wrangell76
Who predicted this?

A highly respected meteorologist on the same website. Dr. Jeff Masters

Originally posted by SpadeofAces


A highly respected meteorologist on the same website. Dr. Jeff Masters

Ok, so I read his forecast, but the only prediction he makes is this: Thus, I think it likely a tropical depression will form off the coast of Africa 3-7 days from now. So where are you getting August 23rd from????

I predict that most peoples predictions(90%) will be wrong or so vauge(8.6%) as to be mistaken for any event. The remaining 1.4% will consist of luck (1%) and real ability(.4%).

Just don't make predictions unless you can achieve at a minimum 70% success rate.

That being said the model show that by at least the 15th or 16th there should be a either very strong tropcial storm or weak hurricane forming just in the Mid Atlantic. If it's right about the track then N.O. is about to get popped again.

Satelite photos do show a tropical wave comming off Africa. By Tuesday things should be clearer.

Originally posted by SpadeofAces
A highly respected meteorologist on the same website. Dr. Jeff Masters

I just read the blog. It mentions nothing about a Major Hurricane, just the possibility for a tropical depression or two are likely to form off of Africa.

Yes, we've been watching that wave since yesterday morning

But no way anyone can tell at present whether it will become a hurricane, nor where it will track.

Check out the new blog about the soon-to-be tropical system off the African coast designated 90L. 90L Hurricane Senario Blog

Of the four scenarios, I believe #2 or #3 are most likely to occur--90L will develop into a tropical storm or hurricane that will affect the Caribbean and/or U.S. East Coast. Residents throughout the Caribbean and U.S. should anticipate the possibility that 90L may become a hurricane--and possibly a major hurricane--that will not recurve. If you plan on being in the Lesser Antilles Islands Thursday August 16 - Sunday August 19, keep in mind there is a heightened risk of a tropical storm or hurricane during that period. Be prepared to adjust your travel plans.

Tropical Storm Dean has formed! Wind shear is up 10-25kts so it had a hard time developing, but with warmer waters ahead, it will most likely become a hurricane within the next day or so.
TS Dean Tracking Page

Hurricane Dean will make it's way through nearly all of the Carribean islands in the next couple days. It is forcasted to be a "Monster" and intensify greatly by Saturday. Click here to read an up to date tropical blog about Dean's status 24/7.






This is a pretty nice flash tool for tracking tropical storms with lots of features:
Flash Tracker

Looks like Cancun is going to probably get hit again, just after they repaired most of the damage done two years ago. The next few days will be critical for the strength and track.

Ya, definetly going to hit Jamaica HARD! Hopefully the track stays the same, which means the U.S. might be in the clear with the exception of Southern Texas. But once it gets in the Gulf it can change any second.