Stock Market Crash

Do any of the see'rs and prophets on here see a stock market crash coming soon; and if so, what are the causes of it?

I'd have to venture a guess that it would be due to China pulling all it's funds out at once, plus them buying up all our debt. I'm sure there's going to be other factors, but China is a main one. In the news the stocks keep rising, even though china's pulling theirs out. I expect that to end and a bad crash to happen. When? I'm not sure, but it will probably be cause to scrap the whole system and go to the one bank system

It will be similar to the situation with Nazi Germany...

Do any of the see'rs and prophets on here see a stock market crash coming soon; and if so, what are the causes of it?

You can be sure there will be ups and downs and even surprises. No known catastrophies in spite of the "chicken littles". However if the Fed raises short term interest rates things may level out..

Actually I'm pretty active in the market and well its success actually scares me because it has not corrected itself in a long time. Yes there are ups and downs I know that, but, we've had a run of success that has really been unrivaled. The market has hit new highs and everyone is making money. I like the china idea, well don't like it but mostly agree with it. Occasionally I get bored and look at Brian's Predictions, some might know about him, anyways, he's predicting wjat acegotflows is mentioning so I really I was curious to see what others would have to say. Any other ideas?

yea, it hasn't corrected itself and it's not going to. Profit margin is increasing while the dollar is dropping off more everyday. Prices rising will make artificial spiking in stocks as consumers still follow suit, and the further that cliff goes up, the harder the fall, since there's nothing to stop the fall. Americans and China are the biggest investors in the dollar. This whole pipeline fiasco won't help either. pipeline issue

Oh that pipeline isn't going to help matters at all. I just looked at the market a little while ago to see how everything was doing; most of my stocks are on the up and up, a few of them that I watch for others where up, and then as usual, there are the ones that move up or down daily. I don't know, I try to think how correct that brian guy is on his perdictions and I think maybe it won't happen, but when I personally look at the market, I get an uneasy feeling just because it's too high. I mean as an investor I like it but I have to have a cautious optimism to it; I like that its high because I'm making money, but then again, I don't like it - the easiest way to explain it, I like it but I don't like it.

it's not a good thing b/c this drop will be off the map. The whole system is set up for implosion. The fact that the stocks keep rising is just an artificial thing. Meanwhile the palestinian Gov has just conceeded to folding.

THE LINK

That sure's not going to help

Other than a major nature or terrorist action, an hiccup with China will massively impact all stock markets.

Just look recent at the falls in the Chinese stock market recently and how quickly it rippled around the world.

I think there will be some corrections

Originally posted by ChrisJr03
...Occasionally I get bored and look at Brian's Predictions, some might know about him, anyways, he's predicting wjat acegotflows is mentioning so I really I was curious to see what others would have to say. Any other ideas?

Ugh! Brian is one of the most outright charlatan's out there. He has been debunked so many times for changing his website after the fact that it's amazing people are still giving him money. Do yourself a favor. Buy a Magic 8-Ball.

I evaluate stocks using the Worden analysis program. I was looking at the chart of the Dow and generally it has been a steady rise since the early 2000's. Last June/July there was a double bottom with a 400 point drop. In March of this year there was a 300 pt. drop and now we're having a hickup which will figure in about a 200 pt drop when it is done. If the fed raised its rates steadily, we went to war with Iran and things went bad around Isreal I could see another 400 pt. drop. That's about it. We are in a pretty solid economic recovery. The Chicken Littles (like Al Gore) are working as hard as they can as usual and having little effect. Life is good!

Maybe you are seeking the wrong assistance, try going to MarthaStewart.com and emailing her, she may have insight into this insider info.

similarities to the Weimar RepublicSimilarities

If that same dance plays out again, it's global...

doesn't the uS stock market have a built in system to prevent (runaway) crashes? i read that a few times somewhere.

Haha, allrighty, I'll get the 8-ball; I don't really believe him anyways, just curious because the market hasn't had ANY problems in a long time. I could see us dropping 400 points in a day; it'd piss me off but it's probably needed. I do believe there is a built in option to prevent runaway crashes, but, I can't remember where I've seen this, probably high school. I don't know if the system is set up for an implosion, I hope not, I could see it happening because I tend to think negatively, but I don't think it would drop more than 5-10% and even that's a lot, probably a 1000 points or so shaved from the Dow. I'd figure that we could see a big drop, but I don't think it would happen in one day; instead I see it gradually happening, like over the course of 2 weeks or so. It seems like everyday the Dow hits a new record high, well we were, but as with most, all good things have to come to an end; I just hope it isn't a big hit.

Originally posted by ChrisJr03
Do any of the see'rs and prophets on here see a stock market crash coming soon; and if so, what are the causes of it?

I have made a living off the stock market one way or the other for the last 15 years and every time except once I predicted a crash it did not happen.

The only time I happened to be correct was the crash that started in 2000. As the old saying goes even the blind squirrel finds the acorn every once and awhile.

I did not see the run up that started in 2003 coming and missed alot of opportunities as a result.

Now for the scary part, (for me) I do think the market is due for a correction. The extent and duration I have no idea but a nice healthy 10% correction to the downside would not be out of the norm from this point in the rally.

The reasons being the sub prime lending market, the housing market and the out of control growth of the US money supply.

That being said another 10% to the upside from here will probably happen given my public proclamation.

Warning: My advise is my opinion only and is not intended as investment advise.







[edit on 14-6-2007 by etshrtslr]

[edit on 14-6-2007 by etshrtslr]

Originally posted by ChrisJr03
Do any of the see'rs and prophets on here see a stock market crash coming soon; and if so, what are the causes of it?

check out the [www. steve quayle . com/index1.html ] site, he has
daily links from doom-&-gloomers concerning the markets....

btw, today the DOW markets gained another 1% (2 days in a row)
along with all the major indices like europe/hongkong/australia/..
it seems everyone is in the 'exhuberance' phase...just like the earlier housing bubble runup...but this tine in the stock market

because it's the next place to be for bloated profits....
considering that all the stock players have been told many times that
the market is undervalued by ~20%, for the last two years as i recall.
plus the hedge funds & the possible players for the Fed
have been instructed to bid up the markets so that foreign investors
& foreign pension funds would still keep their $$capital in the DOW/NASDAQ markets if they saw a significant escalation in value...

it's all a percarious game ! a political-economic charade

I mean I don't think it will "crash" per se, it could, but I think it has to correct itself. When that happens, I don't know; but I check daily for my stocks and others that I watch and I love the fact that I've been making money on my investments; it's a damn good feeling, but, I tend to be negative and thinking and well, some companies have no business trading at what they are now. I'm thinking of one I personally own as an example, its called Dynegy, DYN sym. Anyways, I paid $4.84 per share and now its close to $10 per share, so right now its at 96% gain for me; at one point it was in the 115% range. This company has now $1.1 billion in debt because of an acquisition, but, there portfolio has never impressed me to much. I bought it because it was cheap and had upside even though I look mainly at the income, balance, and cash flow statements to make decisions on what I buy and Dynegy's was not all too impressive. Anyways, this is a stock I own that I know is not worth what its going for. I'm not a big fan of the Fed, but they're doing what they can to keep the market going steady, at least thats my opinion. That housing bubble bursting really didn't hurt stocks too bad, at least not mine and the ones I tend to look at and track. I think foreign investors have more to do with a collapse than us; that being said, something like China calling in some debt owed by the US or their market taking a hit like it did that one day; and while minor then, next time it could be bigger or "the big one" as they say.

Etshrtslr are you a broker? You said you made a living off of it.

Originally posted by ChrisJr03
I mean I don't think it will "crash" per se, it could, but I think it has to correct itself. When that happens, I don't know;

when anything happens....it's all part of the 'risk' we take !

i don't follow Dynegy...but isn't that following th business model of the infamous 'ENRON'.... attempting to become 'the' energy trading platform/market maker ?? for north america

remember the 'flip this property' mentality in the real-estate industry?
wher TV shows about some schmos with a little cash & brass chingaderas
would 'flip' a $500k property, & $50k improvements done by local monkeys for some face-time on TV, would close a sale for $900k
and all the dufus bad boys would be stroking one another's ego
& laughing all the way to the bank....
well that's the crud that's going on in the NYSE/NASDAQ markets right now.

past experience says a bust/correction/reversal is in order...
but i suggest that the present market/equity bubble will continue and will
peak at that +20% gain (using jan 1, 2006 as the base line) before
'something' intervenes in the normal course of business...
by then the Fed will have injected all the 2 trillion in funny money that
is needed to efficiently integrate & 'assimilate' the amnesty citizens
into the economic/political/social frabic of the NAU-America

I don't like the idea of going into euro's world wide. This is where my concerns are deepest. Have you seen Dubai ports? That is a perfect example of too much money being funneled away from us and into the NWO.

Oh ya, I understand the risk, basically it's just gambling thats legal for anyone with out an age restriction. Ya, I don't see too much on the amnesty BS on the news, its mainly on here. My congressman hasn't responded about the NAU or the amnesty bill; however, he did respond about the Fed, and was rather quick about it. I don't really see people flipping a lot of stocks, I just see them going up, and up, and up. I mean the stock has to have a huge risk associated with it for someone, I say someone meaning the average investor who does not do their homework, to buy it. I company that actually did what Dynegy should do is Dendreon, DNDN. It hit $25 from like $6 or so now its back at $8 with a bunch of lawsuits in line for them. $2 trillion dollars coming into the economy won't just mess up the market, it will mess up everything. Our dollar might as well be toilet paper if they do that.