Originally posted by zysin5
Hi Justin.. here are some thoughts that a friend of mine have been working on. How do you think the Republicans can overcome their handicaps?
There is no one quick fix for the Republican party. If you have had a chance to read the things I've posted in this forum, you'll already know that
I think the big picture solution can be found in better civics. The trends in government, as I've defined them, make up the most real conspiracy
that I know of. Our poliitcal and social elties are battling for total control, and they might just get if it we're not careful.
Originally posted by zysin5
I'm not sure that everyone would agree on just what the Republicans'
handicaps are. It appears from the media, and from talking to many of my own acquaintances, that primary among those handicaps are the Iraq war and
the various intelligence-gathering initiatives of the Bush administration that are perceived as dangerous erosions of personal liberties.
Democrats and Republicans alike suffer from too much power, and too much access to every temptiaton. In the past, civil propriety was enough to curb
the appetites of politicians. As long as they did the peole's business, they could pretty much get away with anything they cared to do. Their
flagrant attitudes have gone unsanctioned for nearly two centuries. The simple fact of the matter is that hey really do suffer from too much
elitism.
Originally posted by zysin5
The Republicans' ties to the religious right may also be perceived as a
liability. There are others, of course, as perceived by various interest
groups.
The religious right and the religious left each have ridden the social pendulum. At different points in our history, each has had more power. At
this point in time, the religous right is in decline. Eventually, the religouos left will take things to oo far and they too will fall from
everyone's good graces.
Originally posted by zysin5
The question at hand evidently relates to issues, positions, and
personalities that are unpopular enough as to make it difficult for the Republicans to regain seats in Congress and the presidency in the next
election.
You're stating the obvious, and you've answered your own questions.
Originally posted by zysin5
Each party has a devoted base that is not likely to change no matter what. There is a much smaller group of people that are not devoted but swing
back and forth, depending on what's hot and what's not. It's those people that both parties have to deal with (after the primaries, at least).
I think you might be a little over-generalized. "The middle" as you're defining it is largeer than you suggest. It's worth noting that Libs and
conservatives alike are unhappy about many of the Bush administration's initiatives. You CAN be a conservative and still vote against your fellow
Republicans because they've done something you don't like. As a purely practical matter, you will see a lot of registered Republicans voting to
turn out GOP encumbents as a way of showing their displeasure with the war in Iraq. The voting patterns we see in the '08 primaries may turn out as
you suggest, the November election will be a different matter.
Originally posted by zysin5
Unfortunately, we know that with enough money smartly devoted to media, you can convince many people of almost anything. It might be conjectured that
the people not strongly affiliated with the two parties are generally less interested in politics, less educated about public affairs, and therefore
easier to sway than party devotees.
I recently had the opportunity to be a guest speaker for a room full of undecided voters. It's true that many of them didn't have college doplomas,
but hourly pay is no barometer for intelligence or political awareness. It's been my experience that these people are actually harder to convince
when it comes to politics. Why? Arguments don't mean much to them. The proof they want comes in the form of what impacts them.
Originally posted by zysin5
The third would be to turn the elections into contests of competing
liabilities; that is, into choices of the lesser evils. By this I mean,
using the media to convince people that the Democrats have even worse
problems. This has certainly worked in the past and seems to be
becoming more popular. This approach works particularly well regarding tax increases.
In a class room, you are correct. However, the real world fact in this case is that the GOP candidates are just as flawed as their Democrat
counterparts. In some case, they are more flawed. Hre is an old sayingthat people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. It's worth
noting that Mitt Romney is the only Republican front-runner who has NOT been divorced two or more times. He may very well be the "cleanest" of the
GOP contenders at this time.
Originally posted by zysin5
Fourth, the Republicans could come up with new issues or develop new
positions or solutions to problems. In other words, you turn the focus
of the voters to new issues and away from the problem issues.
I agree. Ultimately, this is the one thing they will have to do. During their time out of power, they will have to re-invent themselves. That's
going to mean encouraging the involvement of people like YOU who can help them shed their old skin in favor of new ideas and new points of view.
Originally posted by zysin5
I have never understood why Republicans think big government is so bad, but unregulated big business is so good. (Well, on some level, perhaps I do
understand why.) The Democrats, on the other hand, just want to tax the hell out big business, which doesn't accomplich much in the long run.
Both parties have said a lot about big business, and both have continued to rake in billions through their corporate associations. Old-school
paleo-conservatives want smaller government in that they want lean and streamlined bureaucracies that get the biggest bang out of every tax dollar
they spend. Today's GOP has lost its way. It no longer champions the case for small nimble government. The simple truth is that both parties want
the same thing. They both want total power and the wealth that comes with it.
You've seen that argument made here on ATS and on other sites. The only real difference between these two parties any more is the route the intend
to take. The GOP favors big business for a faster payout. The Dems favor increased government because they're thinking long term. It's that whole
high-road, low-road thing.
I don't like it any more than you do. I do think that we're fast approaching that moment where the machinery breaks. When that happens, I am
hopeful for the future. I think we've got what it takes to survive the storm and make the fixes. It'll be messy, and it'll certainly take a lot
of people by surprise. That's why people like you and me are here, talking about these things. Some day, when the stunned masses, look back for
some guidance, they'll have a look at conversations like this. Who knows? You may be the one to influence somebody to do some good when it is
needed the most.